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May Madness Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 23 25 48
2 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 39 31 70
3 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 39 39 78
4 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 41 42 83
5 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 58 87 145
6 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 110 58 168
7 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 109 62 171
8 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 86 102 188
9 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 104 85 189
10 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 100 95 195
11 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 82 113 195
12 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 135 82 217
13 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 124 112 236
14 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 89 150 239
15 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 108 148 256
16 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 127 157 284
17 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 157 145 302
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 4 1 2 1 1 3 8 1 1 1 23 Charlie Allen '24
Mark Sellers '26
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 3 4 1 14 5 1 3 2 2 4 39 Elizabeth Frost '23
Amy Ren '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 7 2 3 5 4 5 1 5 4 3 39 Peter Stewart '24
Orla Gilroy '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 2 5 4 2 6 6 2 6 3 5 41 Cole Schweda '23
Elizabeth Allen '26
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 1 11 8 7 2 7 9 3 8 2 58 David Kiss '23
Ava Kiss '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 12 9 13 8 3 2 4 4 13 14 82 David Ren '24 [1-8]
Bryan Pan '23 [9-10]
Lydia Frost '25 [1-8]
David Ren '24 [9-10]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 5 7 OCS 3 9 12 6 10 10 6 86 Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-10]
William Jankowski '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kira Schienke '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 14 6 11 6 10 4 11 12 7 8 89 Natalia Bretones '23
Lia Nafe '25
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 10 15 14 4 8 10 5 14 11 9 100 Owen Smith '24 [1-10]
Jake Leismer '24 [1-6]
Sarah Shear '25 [7-10]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 17 3 7 11 15 13 12 13 6 7 104 Quinn Frakt '27 [1-10]
Duke Diep '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Martha Anderson '26 [5-6]
Damian Amoruso '26 [9-10]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 6 8 5 10 12 14 17 15 5 16 108 Watson Conant '26
Olivia Chigas '24
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 8 12 16 17 14 8 7 7 9 11 109 Noah Blake '23
Stella Brown '23
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 11 10 9 16 13 9 10 8 14 10 110 Quinn O'Dell '26 [1-10]
Joseph Cavanaugh '27 [1-2, 7-10]
Abby Smith '26 [3-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 9 14 10 9 16 16 15 11 12 12 124 Finn Mcdaniel '24
Ralph Zemaitis '25
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 15 16 6 15 7 15 14 9 15 15 127 Hayden Johansen '23
Henry Schlichting '27
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 16 13 12 13 11 11 13 16 17 13 135 Phillip Nakamura '23 [1-10]
Alex Gaspar '23 [1-2, 5-10]
Evan Olevich '23 [3-4]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 13 17 15 12 17 17 16 17 16 17 157 Flinn Opel '25 [1-10]
Truman Pond '27 [1-6]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 3 6 1 5 1 2 2 1 3 1 25 Will Platten '23
Taiya De Vries '25
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 4 1 6 1 2 7 1 3 2 4 31 Grace Renz '26
Georgia Beal '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 2 4 8 4 3 3 5 2 6 2 39 Jack Colyer '25
Illana Umanskiy '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 5 7 4 3 4 1 6 4 5 3 42 Sophie Niemann '26
Marina Puestow '27
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 7 5 2 2 13 6 3 10 4 6 58 Kaeli Bohman '24
Bri Bohman '24
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 1 2 3 10 6 9 4 9 11 7 62 Merritt Woolridge '23
Gavin Parsons '24
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 8 8 7 9 5 8 9 7 13 8 82 Tyler Lee '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tomas Nakamura '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Sage Mcroberts '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 6 14 10 6 7 5 11 5 8 13 85 Gavin Eskilson '25 [1-10]
Damian Amoruso '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Smith '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 12 10 13 8 10 4 8 8 9 5 87 Carly Elliot '27 [1-6]
Nathan Kamath '24 [7-10]
Christa Veum '27 [1-6]
Pierre Lambert '27 [7-10]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 15 3 9 7 8 10 12 12 10 9 95 Nat Green '24
Liz Jelinek '24
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 10 12 12 13 11 13 7 6 7 11 102 Cailey Elliott '24 [1-10]
Charlotte Waldraff '25 [1-6]
Will Beres '27 [7-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 11 9 14 15 12 12 13 13 1 12 112 Lion Birnecker '26
Harper Jamison '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 9 11 5 11 9 14 10 14 15 15 113 Sophie Li '26
Ray Han '26
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 13 DNF 11 12 14 15 15 11 DNS DNS 145 Maksim Williams '29 [1-6]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [7-10]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [1-6]
Flinn Opel '25 [7-10]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 16 13 15 14 15 11 17 17 14 16 148 Jack Lomer '24
Audrey Yen '26
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 14 16 16 17 16 16 14 15 16 10 150 Frank Wildi '25
Molly Fitzsimmons '25
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 17 15 17 16 17 17 16 16 12 14 157 Suzy Larson '25
Laine Beard '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 11133557799
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2224466881010
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers335577991111
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 115151717224466
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2161611335577
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits44668810101212
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans55779911111313
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 16688101012121414
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 27799111113131515
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY881010121214141616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers991111131315151717
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers101012121414161611
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 11313151517172244
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 214141616113355
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons111113131515171722
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity1212141416161133
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins171722446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 1224466881010
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2335577991111
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers44668810101212
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1161611335577
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2171722446688
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits55779911111313
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans6688101012121414
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 17799111113131515
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 2881010121214141616
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY991111131315151717
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers101012121414161611
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers111113131515171722
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 114141616113355
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 215151717224466
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1212141416161133
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity1313151517172244
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Charlie Allen '24 Mark Sellers '26
Warhawks 1 Will Platten '23 Taiya De Vries '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Cole Schweda '23 Elizabeth Allen '26
Warhawks 2 Sophie Niemann '26 Marina Puestow '27
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Noah Blake '23 Stella Brown '23
Trailblazers Merritt Woolridge '23 Gavin Parsons '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Finn Mcdaniel '24 Ralph Zemaitis '25
Wildkits Lion Birnecker '26 Harper Jamison '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Watson Conant '26 Olivia Chigas '24
Titans Jack Lomer '24 Audrey Yen '26
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Peter Stewart '24 Orla Gilroy '25
Eagles 1 Grace Renz '26 Georgia Beal '24
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Quinn Frakt '27 [1-10] Duke Diep '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Martha Anderson '26 [5-6]
Damian Amoruso '26 [9-10]
Eagles 2 Gavin Eskilson '25 [1-10] Damian Amoruso '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Smith '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-10] William Jankowski '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kira Schienke '24 [3-4, 7-10]
VARSITY Cailey Elliott '24 [1-10] Charlotte Waldraff '25 [1-6]
Will Beres '27 [7-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Natalia Bretones '23 Lia Nafe '25
Ramblers Frank Wildi '25 Molly Fitzsimmons '25
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hayden Johansen '23 Henry Schlichting '27
Hill Toppers Suzy Larson '25 Laine Beard '25
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Quinn O'Dell '26 [1-10] Joseph Cavanaugh '27 [1-2, 7-10]
Abby Smith '26 [3-6]
Raccoons Kaeli Bohman '24 Bri Bohman '24
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School David Kiss '23 Ava Kiss '25
Varsity Carly Elliot '27 [1-6]
Nathan Kamath '24 [7-10]		 Christa Veum '27 [1-6]
Pierre Lambert '27 [7-10]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Flinn Opel '25 [1-10] Truman Pond '27 [1-6]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [7-10]
Raiders 1 Maksim Williams '29 [1-6]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [7-10]		 Ellison Leonhard '28 [1-6]
Flinn Opel '25 [7-10]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Owen Smith '24 [1-10] Jake Leismer '24 [1-6]
Sarah Shear '25 [7-10]
Raiders 2 Nat Green '24 Liz Jelinek '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools David Ren '24 [1-8]
Bryan Pan '23 [9-10]		 Lydia Frost '25 [1-8]
David Ren '24 [9-10]
Maroons 1 Sophie Li '26 Ray Han '26
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Elizabeth Frost '23 Amy Ren '23
Maroons 2 Jack Colyer '25 Illana Umanskiy '25
Whitney Young Whitney Young Phillip Nakamura '23 [1-10] Alex Gaspar '23 [1-2, 5-10]
Evan Olevich '23 [3-4]
Dolphins Tyler Lee '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tomas Nakamura '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sage Mcroberts '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1021.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Lake Sailing School: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Lake Sailing School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Pewaukee Lake Sailing School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →