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MDISA Kent Island Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Key School Key School Zags 20 15 35
2 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 22 50 72
3 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 37 35 72
4 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 38 34 72
5 Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 58 30 88
6 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 64 32 96
7 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 30 71 101
8 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 55 47 102
9 Gunston Gunston Herons 51 53 104
10 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 67 73 140
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 1 6 1 5 1 1 1 4 20 Antoine Ismael '25 [1-8]
Ana Fishback '27 [1-4]
Gaetan Ismael '23 [5-8]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 3 2 1 5 6 2 1 22 Maggie Dowling '27
Carter Steiert '27
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 4 1 10 BKD 2 2 6 3 30 Victor Schlecker '26
Emerson Stehl '26
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 3 4 4 9 3 5 3 6 37 Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Neeland '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Lily Moss '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Annika Fisher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 6 2 8 3 4 4 9 2 38 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Theodore Jones '24
Gunston Gunston Herons 5 8 5 DSQ 6 7 4 5 51 Logan Kille '25 [1-8]
Wylie Keegan '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Randolph '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 7 DSQ 7 6 7 3 5 9 55 William Fachet '23 [1-2, 7-8]
James Biles '27 [3-4]
Preston Allen '27 [5-6]
Benjamin Kennedy '27 [1-2]
Preston Allen '27 [3-4]
Alejandro Piquero '27 [5-6]
Ava Worley '26 [7-8]
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 9 5 9 4 8 8 7 8 58 Nathan Joseph '24 [1-6]
Holden Shrum '28 [7-8]
Holden Shrum '28 [1-6]
Nathan Joseph '24 [7-8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 10 7 3 8 9 10 10 7 64 Henry Oaten '26 [1-8]
Maddie Bly '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrea Runk '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 8 9 6 7 10 9 8 10 67 Mady Hurtt '26 [1-8]
Emma Mountford '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Stover '24 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 15 Gaetan Ismael '23 [1-4]
Ana Fishback '27 [5-8]
Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomas Coloton '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 2 4 2 4 2 3 6 7 30 Lance Shrum '25 [1-2, 5, 7]
Finn Urie '26 [3-4, 6, 8]
Finn Urie '26 [1-2, 5, 7]
Lance Shrum '25 [3-4, 6, 8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 5 6 5 3 7 2 3 32 Rosie Benson '27
Layla Nichols '27
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 7 2 8 7 5 2 1 2 34 Julia Kozlowski '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Campbell Peters '24 [3-6]
Thomas Pedersen '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Ezra Ebert '26 [3-4, 7-8]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 5 3 4 9 4 5 4 1 35 Hayden Medick '26
Zen Corby '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 8 5 2 7 8 7 6 47 Zachary Wells '25 [1-2]
Caden Latchaw '23 [3-4]
Brooke Hayward '23 [5-6]
Benjamin Clark '27 [7-8]
Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Aidan Plank '24 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [5-6]
Gavin Klakring '27 [7-8]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 8 6 3 3 6 6 9 9 50 Liam Grigg '28 [1-6]
Carter Steiert '27 [7-8]
Lucianno Russo '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Rory Campbell '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 9 9 6 9 4 5 5 53 Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2]
Thomas Callahan '24 [3-4]
Grace Anne Philips '23 [5-8]
Yaxin Lin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Johnston '25 [3-4, 7-8]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 9 10 7 8 8 9 10 10 71 Jack Lewin '27
Gideon Garber '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 7 10 10 10 10 8 8 73 Reese Bauer '25
Charlotte Ryan '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11335577
Baltimore Polytechnic InstituteBaltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots22446688
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557799
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals4466881010
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers6688101022
Key SchoolKey School Zags77991133
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks8810102244
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs99113355
GunstonGunston Herons55779911
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1010224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446688
Baltimore Polytechnic InstituteBaltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots33557799
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4466881010
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals55779911
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers77991133
Key SchoolKey School Zags8810102244
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks99113355
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1010224466
GunstonGunston Herons6688101022
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Mady Hurtt '26 [1-8] Emma Mountford '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Stover '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Cavaliers Reese Bauer '25 Charlotte Ryan '25
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Nathan Joseph '24 [1-6]
Holden Shrum '28 [7-8]		 Holden Shrum '28 [1-6]
Nathan Joseph '24 [7-8]
Poly Parrots Lance Shrum '25 [1-2, 5, 7]
Finn Urie '26 [3-4, 6, 8]		 Finn Urie '26 [1-2, 5, 7]
Lance Shrum '25 [3-4, 6, 8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Henry Oaten '26 [1-8] Maddie Bly '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrea Runk '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins Rosie Benson '27 Layla Nichols '27
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Marcus Kozlowski '26 Theodore Jones '24
Cardinals Julia Kozlowski '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Campbell Peters '24 [3-6]		 Thomas Pedersen '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Ezra Ebert '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Gunston Gunston Logan Kille '25 [1-8] Wylie Keegan '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Randolph '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Herons Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2]
Thomas Callahan '24 [3-4]
Grace Anne Philips '23 [5-8]		 Yaxin Lin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Johnston '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School William Fachet '23 [1-2, 7-8]
James Biles '27 [3-4]
Preston Allen '27 [5-6]		 Benjamin Kennedy '27 [1-2]
Preston Allen '27 [3-4]
Alejandro Piquero '27 [5-6]
Ava Worley '26 [7-8]
Buccaneers Zachary Wells '25 [1-2]
Caden Latchaw '23 [3-4]
Brooke Hayward '23 [5-6]
Benjamin Clark '27 [7-8]		 Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Aidan Plank '24 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [5-6]
Gavin Klakring '27 [7-8]
Key School Key School Antoine Ismael '25 [1-8] Ana Fishback '27 [1-4]
Gaetan Ismael '23 [5-8]
Zags Gaetan Ismael '23 [1-4]
Ana Fishback '27 [5-8]		 Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomas Coloton '27 [3-4, 7-8]
South River High School South River High School Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Neeland '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Lily Moss '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Annika Fisher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Seahawks Hayden Medick '26 Zen Corby '26
Southern High School Southern High School Maggie Dowling '27 Carter Steiert '27
Bulldogs Liam Grigg '28 [1-6]
Carter Steiert '27 [7-8]		 Lucianno Russo '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Rory Campbell '28 [3-4, 7-8]
The Tome School The Tome School Victor Schlecker '26 Emerson Stehl '26
Titans Jack Lewin '27 Gideon Garber '28

Conditions — 04/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 15.0 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From WNW (289°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1013.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kent Island: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →