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West Mallory Pre-Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Blake School Blake School Bears 28 40 68
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 23 46 69
3 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 48 39 87
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 52 41 93
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 39 59 98
6 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 62 50 112
7 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 67 46 113
8 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 76 60 136
9 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 73 83 156
10 Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial Varsity 82 87 169
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 10 2 23 Charlie Allen '24 [1-10]
Mark Sellers '26 [1-6, 10]
Henry Schlichting '27 [7-9]
Blake School Blake School Bears 4 4 4 2 3 2 2 2 1 4 28 Teddy Bower '26
Eva Redmond '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 6 7 3 4 1 4 4 1 8 1 39 Dominik Moncur '25 [1-10]
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27 [1]
Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 [2-10]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 2 8 5 4 10 3 4 4 6 48 Frank Ribich '26
Reece Foree '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 7 3 7 7 6 6 5 6 2 3 52 Evy Engebretson '24 [1-3, 6-10]
Connor Jewett '26 [4-5]
Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-8]
David Acheson '24 [9-10]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 9 8 6 6 8 3 6 5 6 5 62 Kaeli Bohman '24
Bri Bohman '24
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 3 5 10 8 7 8 7 8 3 8 67 Henry Ackley '24
Baron Reuter '25
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 8 10 2 9 9 5 9 7 7 7 73 Will Beres '27
Ava Kiss '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 10 6 9 3 5 7 8 10 9 9 76 Lorenzo Good '25
Finnigan Cairns '25
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial Varsity 5 9 5 10 10 9 10 9 5 10 82 Jack Goggins '26
Abigail Smith '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 4 8 3 5 2 4 7 2 3 39 Owen Smith '24 [1-10]
Flinn Opel '25 [1-4, 9-10]
Liz Jelinek '24 [5-8]
Blake School Blake School Bears 3 3 5 5 4 4 5 2 1 8 40 Jimmy Hughes '26
Martha Hughes '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 1 6 4 6 9 3 1 5 2 41 Sofia Sigel '24
Lucy Zinn '24
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 2 7 4 7 7 1 1 9 3 5 46 Carson Boemer '27 [1-10]
Declan Mccormick '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Reuben Pike '26 [3-4, 9-10]
Sloan Pike '27 [5-6]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 7 5 2 1 3 7 7 4 9 1 46 Cole Bebeau '27 [1-5, 10]
Joseph Cavanaugh '27 [6-9]
Taiya De Vries '25 [1-5, 10]
Elizabeth Allen '26 [6-9]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 6 6 1 8 2 8 2 5 8 4 50 Quinn O'Dell '26
Kaylie Rominski '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 8 8 3 2 10 5 6 6 4 7 59 Stonewall Anderson '26 [1-10]
Alyson Liu '24 [1, 5-6, 9-10]
Harper Gordon '26 [2-4, 7-8]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 5 2 7 RAF 8 3 9 3 6 6 60 Adi Narayan '27 [1-10]
Talia Cairns '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Leif Rush '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 10 10 10 9 1 6 10 8 10 9 83 Pierre Lambert '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler David '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Tyler David '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Pierre Lambert '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial Varsity 9 9 9 6 9 10 8 10 7 10 87 Christian Connor '26
Chanel Cullinane '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks1122334455
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears221110109988
Catholic MemorialCatholic Memorial Varsity3344556677
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers443322111010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers5566778899
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders8877665544
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons6655443322
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity778899101011
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans991010112233
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy101099887766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks11111212131314141515
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears12121111202019191818
Catholic MemorialCatholic Memorial Varsity13131414151516161717
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers14141313121211112020
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers15151616171718181919
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders18181717161615151414
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons16161515141413131212
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity17171818191920201111
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans19192020111112121313
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy20201919181817171616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Charlie Allen '24 [1-10] Mark Sellers '26 [1-6, 10]
Henry Schlichting '27 [7-9]
Warhawks Cole Bebeau '27 [1-5, 10]
Joseph Cavanaugh '27 [6-9]		 Taiya De Vries '25 [1-5, 10]
Elizabeth Allen '26 [6-9]
Blake School Blake School Teddy Bower '26 Eva Redmond '26
Bears Jimmy Hughes '26 Martha Hughes '24
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial Jack Goggins '26 Abigail Smith '26
Varsity Christian Connor '26 Chanel Cullinane '26
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Henry Ackley '24 Baron Reuter '25
Hill Toppers Carson Boemer '27 [1-10] Declan Mccormick '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Reuben Pike '26 [3-4, 9-10]
Sloan Pike '27 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evy Engebretson '24 [1-3, 6-10]
Connor Jewett '26 [4-5]		 Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-8]
David Acheson '24 [9-10]
Skippers Sofia Sigel '24 Lucy Zinn '24
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Kaeli Bohman '24 Bri Bohman '24
Raccoons Quinn O'Dell '26 Kaylie Rominski '25
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Will Beres '27 Ava Kiss '25
Varsity Pierre Lambert '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler David '27 [3-4, 7-8]		 Tyler David '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Pierre Lambert '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Frank Ribich '26 Reece Foree '27
Raiders Owen Smith '24 [1-10] Flinn Opel '25 [1-4, 9-10]
Liz Jelinek '24 [5-8]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Lorenzo Good '25 Finnigan Cairns '25
Spartans Adi Narayan '27 [1-10] Talia Cairns '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Leif Rush '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 [1-10] Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27 [1]
Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 [2-10]
Navy Stonewall Anderson '26 [1-10] Alyson Liu '24 [1, 5-6, 9-10]
Harper Gordon '26 [2-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From WSW (247°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →