NJISA 2024 TR Spring Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 17 9 26
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 16 10 26
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 13 21 34
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 12 29 41
5 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 32 13 45
6 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 18 27 45
7 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 31 22 53
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 20 37 57
9 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 3 28 38 66
10 Panthers Panthers Panthers 48 24 72
11 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 34 44 78
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 52 38 90
13 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 43 52 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 4 4 1 12 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 3 7 2 13 Cole Buczkowski '27
Matthew Dupree '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 6 5 2 3 16 Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-4]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 5 1 1 10 17 Turner Ryon '25
No Show
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 2 3 5 18 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 2 6 5 7 20 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 3 9 7 8 4 28 Cameron Hart '27
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 10 9 6 6 31 Liam Marcell '26
Annabelle Arcuri '27
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 7 8 9 8 32 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 4 11 10 9 34 Matthew Moses '24
Seth Santos '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 11 10 11 11 43 Allison Beisel '24
Greta Senft '24
Panthers Panthers Panthers 12 12 12 12 48
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 13 13 13 13 52 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 6 1 1 9 Jude Ryon '27
Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 2 3 3 2 10 Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
Erin Little '24 [3-4]
No Show [1-2]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 5 1 4 3 13 Rex Salzer '26
Lilly Keenan '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 4 5 4 21 Luke Pennisi '24
Alton Deoliveria '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 3 2 8 9 22 Nicole Small '27
Oliver Roske '27
Panthers Panthers Panthers 6 5 2 11 24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 9 7 6 5 27 Grace Ciak '26
Richard Mcgowan '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 7 8 7 7 29 Kyle Lombardino '25
Daniel Kuzloski '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 4 9 12 12 37 Greyson Colman '25 [1-2]
Christopher Quincannon '27 [3-4]
Christopher Badenhausen '26 [1-2]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 10 12 10 6 38 Alex Dacosta '24
Samantha Goldberg '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 3 11 10 9 8 38 Scarlett Colman '26
Gianna Deresz '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 12 11 11 10 44 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Erick Shi '24 [3-4]
Aidan Kenney '26 [1-2]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 13 13 13 52 Ava Santamaria '26
Julianna Walsh '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 17777
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 314141414
PanthersPanthers Panthers6666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 113131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 212121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians11111111
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 110101010
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 29999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 17777
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 314141414
PanthersPanthers Panthers6666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 113131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 212121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians11111111
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 110101010
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 29999

Conditions — 04/24/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1011.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 26.4 kn
From W (280°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1011.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ranney: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →