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VISA Southside Fleet Race Series #1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 47
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 48
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 51
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 55
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 58
6 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 90
7 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 95
8 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 A 7 3 1 1 12 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Madeline Ballard '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 B 5 5 7 2 19 Brandt Adams '30
Jesse Hanenburg '30
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 A 1 1 13 7 22 James Allgeier '27 [1-2, 4]
Mady Mcgee '27 [3]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-2, 4]
Owen Peluso '26 [3]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 A 6 7 5 5 23 Grant Fernandez '27
Addie Lesley '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 A 4 2 2 DNS 25 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 B 8 4 9 4 25 Vera Hartz '26
Amanda Wong '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 B 2 6 4 14 26 Alex Salzberg '25
Finian Bohan '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 B 10 14 8 3 35 Lillian Rippel '25
Lenox Wakefield '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 A 3 11 11 11 36 Anna Lenox '28
Corrine Todd '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 B 9 9 12 6 36 Eliana Mopper '26
David Martin '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 B 11 8 6 13 38 Margaret Poston '28
Anna Iacobucci '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 A 13 13 3 12 41 Samuel Rogge '28
Caspian Collett '25
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons B 14 10 10 8 42 Nathan Libby '26
Aniyah Lang '28
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons A 12 12 15 9 48 Levi Stillman '25
Aline Hughes '30
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 B 15 15 14 10 54 Elias Bowes '27
Ryan Mouak '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 A DNF DNS DNS DNS 68 Jack Poynter '25
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 113131313
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 214141414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 17777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 28888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 39999
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 12222
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 23333
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons15151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 116161616
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 217171717
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 110101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 211111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 312121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 15555
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 26666
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons18181818

Conditions — 04/03/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.6 kn
avg  ·  max 14.6 kn
Gusts to 33.4 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1021.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.29 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.25 means a rating gap counts about 22% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Norfolk Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →