Sharon High School '23
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.45 (fleet 0.71) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 8–7 (53%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 8–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 8–7 against 6.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-20 | National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) | skipper | 1.02 | 1.31 | 2–5 | 1.7 | +0.29 | 0.0 | 57% |
| 2023-05-06 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament(Terk Trophy) | skipper | 0.77 | 1.71 | 6–2 | 4.8 | +0.93 | 0.6 | 31% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sharon Invitational | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.3 | 0.89 |
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament(Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 17 | 35% | — |
| Merc Silver - 2023 Zimba MBL Championship | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.9 | 0.95 |
| Donald Greene Regatta '23 | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.4 | 4.21 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| St. George's Fall Invitational | Skipper | B | 2 | 9.0 | 0.49 |
| DBMS Invitational | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.0 | 0.45 |
| Arnold Brown 2022 | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.0 | -0.22 |
| 2022 Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.5 | -0.89 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Donald Greene Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.4 | 1.70 |
| 2022 Sharon Invitational | Skipper | A | 3 | 12.7 | -0.36 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 2 | 17.5 | -2.94 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Rohan Shah |  Olin College of Engineering |
'27 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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