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Atlantic Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 10 19 29
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 33 37 70
3 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 47 29 76
4 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 36 64 100
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 32 76 108
6 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 57 52 109
7 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 61 52 113
8 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 77 44 121
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 87 37 124
10 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 66 66 132
11 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 62 75 137
12 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 68 76 144
13 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 62 98 160
14 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 86 92 178
15 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 113 71 184
16 Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 95 90 185
17 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 89 108 197
18 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 120 111 231
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 10 Thomas Sitzmann '23 [1-7]
Raam Fox '22 [1-6]
Scarlett Harris '24 [7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs OCS 3 2 2 1 3 2 32 Henry Allgeier '23
Audrey Permenter '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 5 4 6 5 5 3 33 Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22 [1-7]
Pj Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-3, 5-7]
John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23 [4]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 6 1 10 4 3 2 10 36 Steven Hardee '22 [1-7]
Sean Beaver '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Harry Fredericks '22 [3-4]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 DSQ 3 3 4 13 4 47 Sophie Fisher '22 [1-7]
Hope Breslin '22 [1-2, 7]
Courtland Doyle '22 [3-6]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 10 8 12 7 9 6 5 57 Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-7]
Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 7]
Boris Bialer '22 [3-6]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 11 12 5 11 6 4 12 61 Charlie Allen '24
Will Platten '23
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 4 17 5 8 11 8 62 Hugh Carty '23 [1-7]
Owen Macwilliams '24 [1-3, 7]
Claire Woynerowski '22 [4-6]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 15 6 6 8 14 7 6 62 Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-7]
Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-2, 7]
Bryce Vitiello '23 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 7 9 9 9 10 8 14 66 Jacob Zils '23 [1-7]
Carmen Lineer '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Marley Barrett '23 [3-4]
Ana Stewart '23 [7]
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 8 7 8 14 11 9 11 68 Jack Vanderhorst '22
Ashley Almquist '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 12 11 16 10 7 12 9 77 Cody Roe '25 [1-7]
Mary Dwyer '23 [1-2, 7]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [3-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 13 16 7 12 15 10 13 86 Gavin Webster '24
Colin Hexter '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 14 11 DSQ 16 16 7 87 Maggie Campbell '22 [1-2, 4]
Robert Chase '22 [3, 5-7]
Clara Murphy '23 [1-2]
Adam Elci '22 [3-6]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [7]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 3 13 14 15 13 15 16 89 Eva Ermlich '22
Gregg O'Rourke '22
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 16 10 15 13 12 14 15 95 Arden Carleton '22 [1-3, 7]
Toby Clarkson '24 [4-6]
Alton Coolidge '22 [1-4]
Piper Carleton '24 [5-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 14 17 13 16 18 18 17 113 Sofia Dolan '22 [1-7]
Addison Pohl '23 [1-4, 7]
Mayka Mariscal '23 [5-6]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 17 15 DNS 17 17 17 18 120 Eric Kim '22 [1-6]
Henry Do '23 [7]
Venya Gupta '22 [1-2, 7]
Henry Do '23 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 4 2 3 1 3 5 19 Robby Meek '23
Lilly Baker '23
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 3 1 4 2 2 6 11 29 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '22 [1-7]
Sloane Mullin '23 [1-4]
Lucca Antonietti '25 [5-7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 2 1 RDG 18 2 4 37 Harrison Thomson '22
Kiana Beachy '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 10 5 8 1 5 5 3 37 Jj Klempen '23 [1-2]
Jordan Vieira '24 [3-4]
Madeline Janzen '25 [5-7]
Aidan Iaconis '22 [1-2]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 14 3 5 7 11 2 44 Kj Hill '25 [1-7]
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Martha Dwyer '23 [3-4]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 9 3 13 17 8 1 1 52 Cole Schweda '23 [1-7]
Adam Biwer '22 [1-4]
Riley Jensen '23 [5-7]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 15 9 7 6 4 4 7 52 Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2, 7]
Ian Fox '24 [3-6]
Sophia Adams '23 [1-4]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [5-7]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 4 7 6 12 12 13 10 64 Gavin Hudson '24 [1-7]
Mairead Reitzel '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Jp Bennet '23 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 12 10 12 14 3 9 6 66 Max Sigel '22 [1-7]
Jordi Malaret '23 [1-4]
Emma Komis '22 [5-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 14 13 11 8 6 7 12 71 Annie Samis '25
Parker Kumler '23
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 8 11 9 7 16 8 16 75 Anna Groszkowski '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Ava Farley '22 [3-4]
Claire Woynerowski '22 [1-2]
Michael Hinrichs '22 [3-4]
Christina Pierce '25 [5-6]
Kaitlyn Zimmerman '24 [7]
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 7 18 5 10 14 14 8 76 Jonathan Mack '22 [1-7]
Ella Adelman '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 11 12 14 9 11 10 9 76 Rebecca Schill '23 [1-7]
Sean Trudell '24 [1-4]
Marin Soderberg '24 [5-7]
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 5 6 16 18 15 16 14 90 Bobby Clarkson '23 [1-6]
Alton Coolidge '22 [7]
Kate Mason '23 [1-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 17 15 10 16 9 12 13 92 Braden Vogel '23
Grant Corrion '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 16 8 17 13 10 17 17 98 Colin Guerrera '22 [1-7]
Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-2]
Connor Feury '22 [3-4]
Kyle Lombardino '25 [5-7]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 13 16 18 15 13 15 18 108 Posie Cabaniss '23 [1-6]
Aoife Mahoney '23 [7]
Valyn Mogensen '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Fox Fernald '22 [3-4]
Posie Cabaniss '23 [7]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 18 17 15 11 17 18 15 111 Andrew Liu '23 [1-4, 7]
Rohan Shah '23 [5-6]
Zander Lai '23 [1-4, 7]
Isabella Cho '23 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1133557
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks2244668
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets3355779
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses44668810
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts55779911
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles6688101012
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils7799111113
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles881010121214
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers991111131315
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs10101212141416
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks11111313151517
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs12121414161618
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1313151517171
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders171711335
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1414161618182
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity15151717113
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons16161818224
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears181822446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244668
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks3355779
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets44668810
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses55779911
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts6688101012
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles7799111113
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils881010121214
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles991111131315
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers10101212141416
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs11111313151517
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks12121414161618
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1313151517171
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1414161618182
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders181822446
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals15151717113
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity16161818224
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons171711335
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Hugh Carty '23 [1-7] Owen Macwilliams '24 [1-3, 7]
Claire Woynerowski '22 [4-6]
Cavaliers Anna Groszkowski '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Ava Farley '22 [3-4]		 Claire Woynerowski '22 [1-2]
Michael Hinrichs '22 [3-4]
Christina Pierce '25 [5-6]
Kaitlyn Zimmerman '24 [7]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Charlie Allen '24 Will Platten '23
Warhawks Cole Schweda '23 [1-7] Adam Biwer '22 [1-4]
Riley Jensen '23 [5-7]
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ashley Almquist '22
Rockets Jonathan Mack '22 [1-7] Ella Adelman '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [3-4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22 [1-7] Pj Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-3, 5-7]
John "Peyton" Mcdonald '23 [4]
Seahorses Jj Klempen '23 [1-2]
Jordan Vieira '24 [3-4]
Madeline Janzen '25 [5-7]		 Aidan Iaconis '22 [1-2]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-7] Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-2, 7]
Bryce Vitiello '23 [3-6]
Colts Colin Guerrera '22 [1-7] Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-2]
Connor Feury '22 [3-4]
Kyle Lombardino '25 [5-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Sofia Dolan '22 [1-7] Addison Pohl '23 [1-4, 7]
Mayka Mariscal '23 [5-6]
Eagles Annie Samis '25 Parker Kumler '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gavin Webster '24 Colin Hexter '23
Blue Devils Braden Vogel '23 Grant Corrion '22
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Arden Carleton '22 [1-3, 7]
Toby Clarkson '24 [4-6]		 Alton Coolidge '22 [1-4]
Piper Carleton '24 [5-7]
Eagles Bobby Clarkson '23 [1-6]
Alton Coolidge '22 [7]		 Kate Mason '23 [1-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jacob Zils '23 [1-7] Carmen Lineer '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Marley Barrett '23 [3-4]
Ana Stewart '23 [7]
Skippers Max Sigel '22 [1-7] Jordi Malaret '23 [1-4]
Emma Komis '22 [5-7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 Audrey Permenter '23
Bulldogs Rebecca Schill '23 [1-7] Sean Trudell '24 [1-4]
Marin Soderberg '24 [5-7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maggie Campbell '22 [1-2, 4]
Robert Chase '22 [3, 5-7]		 Clara Murphy '23 [1-2]
Adam Elci '22 [3-6]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [7]
Oaks Harrison Thomson '22 Kiana Beachy '24
Portland High School Portland High School Eva Ermlich '22 Gregg O'Rourke '22
Bulldogs Posie Cabaniss '23 [1-6]
Aoife Mahoney '23 [7]		 Valyn Mogensen '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Fox Fernald '22 [3-4]
Posie Cabaniss '23 [7]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-7] Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 7]
Boris Bialer '22 [3-6]
Raiders Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2, 7]
Ian Fox '24 [3-6]		 Sophia Adams '23 [1-4]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [5-7]
Severn School Severn School Thomas Sitzmann '23 [1-7] Raam Fox '22 [1-6]
Scarlett Harris '24 [7]
Admirals Robby Meek '23 Lilly Baker '23
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eric Kim '22 [1-6]
Henry Do '23 [7]		 Venya Gupta '22 [1-2, 7]
Henry Do '23 [3-6]
Varsity Andrew Liu '23 [1-4, 7]
Rohan Shah '23 [5-6]		 Zander Lai '23 [1-4, 7]
Isabella Cho '23 [5-6]
St. George's School St. George's School Sophie Fisher '22 [1-7] Hope Breslin '22 [1-2, 7]
Courtland Doyle '22 [3-6]
Dragons Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '22 [1-7] Sloane Mullin '23 [1-4]
Lucca Antonietti '25 [5-7]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Cody Roe '25 [1-7] Mary Dwyer '23 [1-2, 7]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [3-6]
Raiders Kj Hill '25 [1-7] Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Martha Dwyer '23 [3-4]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Steven Hardee '22 [1-7] Sean Beaver '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Harry Fredericks '22 [3-4]
Bears Gavin Hudson '24 [1-7] Mairead Reitzel '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Jp Bennet '23 [3-4]

Conditions — 11/13/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn · W 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion University: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Old Dominion University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →