Oxbridge Academy '24
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.67 (fleet 4.33) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–10 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 | 1 | 0–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 0–10 against 0.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-01 | SAISA Baker Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.84 | -1.16 | 0–10 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.3 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 Season | |||||
| SAISA SP's #4 | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.8 | 0.91 |
| SAISA South Points #5 | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.0 | 2.75 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier (District Champs) | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.7 | 1.29 |
| Fall 2023 Season | |||||
| South Points #3 | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.7 | 2.42 |
| SAISA South Points 2 Varsity | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.2 | 1.93 |
| Spring 2023 Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points 1 2022-23 | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.0 | 1.19 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.4 | 1.43 |
| Fall 2021 Season | |||||
| South Points #3 Varsity | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.6 | 1.33 |
| SAISA South Points 1 - Varsity 2021 | Skipper | A | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80 |
| Spring 2021 Season | |||||
| SAISA Baker Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 10 | 0% | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Tyler Lamm |  Brown University |
'28 |
| ISSA | Tyler Lamm |  Unregistered-SEISA |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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