SAISA South Points 1 - Varsity 2021

HostHistoric Virginia Key Beach Park
Date10/02/2021
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	11	12	23
2	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	27	18	45
3	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	44	36	80
4	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	30	52	82
5	The Pine School	Knights	19	70	89
6	Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	49	41	90
7	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	66	26	92
8	Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	46	52	98
9	Pine Crest School	Panthers	54	47	101
10	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	71	36	107
11	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	66	56	122
12	Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	64	65	129
13	Palmer Trinity School	Flacons	47	83	130
14	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	66	77	143
15	Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	76	69	145
16	Naples High School	Golden Eagles	100	81	181
17	Venice High School (FL)	Indians	94	104	198

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	1	2	1	3	2	2	11	Justin Callahan '22 [1-6] Danny Rianno '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-4]
The Pine School	Knights	2	3	6	1	3	4	19	Peter Foley '22 Michael Blotnick '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	7	1	9	8	1	1	27	Guthrie Braun '22 Danny Drysdale '22
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	3	6	10	2	6	3	30	Cort Snyder '23 Madeline Hughes '22
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	6	9	2	6	10	11	44	Ian Fox '24 [1-6] Sophia Adams '23 [1-4] Boris Bialer '22 [5-6]
Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	9	4	8	7	11	7	46	Bo Dwyer '22 Morgan Gahan '22
Palmer Trinity School	Flacons	8	8	3	11	8	9	47	Brayden Benesch '24 Carlos Roig '24
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	4	10	7	4	DNF	6	49	Tyler Lamm '24 Zander Pestrichelli '22
Pine Crest School	Panthers	17	12	5	10	5	5	54	Ryan Kronrad '22 Jake Julien '24
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	14	OCS	13	5	4	10	64	Milo Miller '23 Brielle Schindler '23
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	10	OCS	4	13	13	8	66	Mathew Pittman '22 Johnathan Pittman '22
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	13	7	15	12	7	12	66	William Kulas '24 Kaitlin Eaton '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	15	5	14	9	9	14	66	Cody Roe '25 [1-3] Laura Hamilton '23 [4-6] Kj Hill '25 [1-4] Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	13	12	14	14	13	71	Sidney Moyer '23 [1-4] Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [5-6] Dluzneski Luke '24 [1-4] Sidney Moyer '23 [5-6]
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	12	11	11	15	12	15	76	Denali Harold '24 Luke Franco '23
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	11	OCS	16	DNF	15	16	94	Alyssa Jongsma '23 Sarah Burbank '24
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	16	DNF	17	16	16	17	100	Maia Musial '22 Conner Bricco '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	1	1	6	2	1	1	12	Mitchell Callahan '22 Brianna Ross '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	4	2	3	3	3	3	18	Ethan Danielson '22 Kate Danielson '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	7	4	2	1	5	7	26	Jack Redmond '22 [1-6] Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-4] Kj Hill '25 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	14	1	10	4	2	36	Bella Shakespeare '23 Travis Brackin '22
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	6	7	9	7	2	5	36	Olivia Drulard '23 [1-4] Jackson Mcaliley '23 [5-6] Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 5-6] David Dubovy '22 [3-4]
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	2	12	4	9	6	8	41	Will Dimaio '22 Zan Checetto '22
Pine Crest School	Panthers	9	5	8	5	10	10	47	Bella Casaretto '22 Molly Schlesinger '23
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	3	6	7	8	15	13	52	Leo Seuss '23 [1-4] Dante Garcia '24 [5-6] Jonas Carvalho '23 [1-4]
Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	11	3	12	6	16	4	52	Zachary Syska '22 Ryan Terski '22
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	10	8	13	4	9	12	56	Reid Nelson '23 [1-4] Julia Conneely '22 [5-6] Alexandra Crow '22 [1-4]
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	15	11	5	11	12	11	65	Ariana Schwarts '23 [1-2] Alex Tonin '23 [3-6] Miles Timmon '23 [1-2] Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-6]
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	12	9	15	13	11	9	69	Sydney Ohs '23 [1-6] Catherine Lovelady '23 [1-2] Katherine Bounassi '23 [3-6]
The Pine School	Knights	13	OCS	11	14	8	6	70	Audrey Foley '24 Tanner Spurlin '23
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	8	10	14	15	14	16	77	Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-6] Michael Horn '25 [1-2, 5-6] Matt Baer '25 [3-4]
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	14	13	16	16	7	15	81	Carson Page '23 Kamila Murray '30
Palmer Trinity School	Flacons	16	DNF	10	12	13	14	83	Ryan Keenan '24 [1-6] Ignacio Del Hierro '25 [1-2] Reece Weber '24 [3-6]
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	17	15	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	104	Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 Kane Fenton '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Fort Myers High School Green Wave	15	15	15	15	15	15
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	3	3	3	3	3	3
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	2	2	2	2	2	2
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	18	18	18	18	18	18
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	1	1	1	1	1	1
Naples High School Golden Eagles	5	5	5	5	5	5
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	16	16	16	16	16	16
Palmer Trinity School Flacons	14	14	14	14	14	14
Pine Crest School Panthers	17	17	17	17	17	17
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	11	11	11	11	11	11
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	10	10	10	10	10	10
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	13	13	13	13	13	13
The Pine School Knights	9	9	9	9	9	9
Venice High School (FL) Indians	8	8	8	8	8	8
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	4	4	4	4	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Fort Myers High School Green Wave	15	15	15	15	15	15
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	3	3	3	3	3	3
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	2	2	2	2	2	2
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	18	18	18	18	18	18
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	1	1	1	1	1	1
Naples High School Golden Eagles	5	5	5	5	5	5
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	16	16	16	16	16	16
Palmer Trinity School Flacons	14	14	14	14	14	14
Pine Crest School Panthers	17	17	17	17	17	17
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	11	11	11	11	11	11
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	10	10	10	10	10	10
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	13	13	13	13	13	13
The Pine School Knights	9	9	9	9	9	9
Venice High School (FL) Indians	8	8	8	8	8	8
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	4	4	4	4	4	4

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Fort Myers High School	Bo Dwyer '22	Morgan Gahan '22
Green Wave	Zachary Syska '22	Ryan Terski '22
Good Hope County Day School	Milo Miller '23	Brielle Schindler '23
Panthers	Ariana Schwarts '23 [1-2] Alex Tonin '23 [3-6]	Miles Timmon '23 [1-2] Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School	Cort Snyder '23	Madeline Hughes '22
Raiders	Leo Seuss '23 [1-4] Dante Garcia '24 [5-6]	Jonas Carvalho '23 [1-4]
H. B. Plant High School	Mathew Pittman '22	Johnathan Pittman '22
Panthers	Reid Nelson '23 [1-4] Julia Conneely '22 [5-6]	Alexandra Crow '22 [1-4]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Justin Callahan '22 [1-6]	Danny Rianno '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-4]
Royal Lions	Mitchell Callahan '22	Brianna Ross '22
Jensen Beach High School	William Kulas '24	Kaitlin Eaton '23
Falcons	Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-6]	Michael Horn '25 [1-2, 5-6] Matt Baer '25 [3-4]
Naples High School	Maia Musial '22	Conner Bricco '22
Golden Eagles	Carson Page '23	Kamila Murray '30
Oxbridge Academy	Tyler Lamm '24	Zander Pestrichelli '22
ThunderWolves	Will Dimaio '22	Zan Checetto '22
Palmer Trinity School	Brayden Benesch '24	Carlos Roig '24
Flacons	Ryan Keenan '24 [1-6]	Ignacio Del Hierro '25 [1-2] Reece Weber '24 [3-6]
Pine Crest School	Ryan Kronrad '22	Jake Julien '24
Panthers	Bella Casaretto '22	Molly Schlesinger '23
Ransom Everglades School	Ian Fox '24 [1-6]	Sophia Adams '23 [1-4] Boris Bialer '22 [5-6]
Raiders	Olivia Drulard '23 [1-4] Jackson Mcaliley '23 [5-6]	Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 5-6] David Dubovy '22 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Guthrie Braun '22	Danny Drysdale '22
Chargers	Ethan Danielson '22	Kate Danielson '24
St. Petersburg High School	Sidney Moyer '23 [1-4] Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [5-6]	Dluzneski Luke '24 [1-4] Sidney Moyer '23 [5-6]
Green Devils	Bella Shakespeare '23	Travis Brackin '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cody Roe '25 [1-3] Laura Hamilton '23 [4-6]	Kj Hill '25 [1-4] Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-6]
Raiders	Jack Redmond '22 [1-6]	Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-4] Kj Hill '25 [5-6]
The Pine School	Peter Foley '22	Michael Blotnick '23
Knights	Audrey Foley '24	Tanner Spurlin '23
Venice High School (FL)	Alyssa Jongsma '23	Sarah Burbank '24
Indians	Roman Khrushchinskiy '23	Kane Fenton '23
Vero Beach High School	Denali Harold '24	Luke Franco '23
Vero Beach	Sydney Ohs '23 [1-6]	Catherine Lovelady '23 [1-2] Katherine Bounassi '23 [3-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

SAISA South Points 1 - Varsity 2021

Division A

Division B

From the notes