Navigate

Central 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 41 13 54
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 21 44 65
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 40 28 68
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 39 29 68
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats 48 21 69
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 36 39 75
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 26 60 86
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 42 60 102
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 65 54 119
10 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 60 60 120
11 Providence College Providence College Friars 55 78 133
12 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 82 72 154
13 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 83 80 163
14 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 97 92 189
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 3 2 4 6 3 21 Michael Rush '10
Sarah Muzyka '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 3 4 7 1 3 2 26 Trevor Burd '12
Amanda Kozar '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 10 7 3 3 1 11 36 Johnny Norfleet '13
Kathleen O'Brien '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 4 6 5 2 5 7 39 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Carleton Huntsberger '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 8 9 4 6 2 8 40 Billy Rohman '11
Benjmain Berg '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 2 1 10 10 4 5 41 James Altreuter '11
Elizabeth Lynch '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 5 2 1 5 8 13 42 David Pierce '12
Hannah Wilken '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats 4 6 11 9 7 7 4 48 Mackenzie Spencer '12
Margaret Stone '11
Providence College Providence College Friars 5 11 8 11 8 11 1 55 Carl Lichtenfels '12
Katie Grahn '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 9 5 8 11 10 10 60 Sam Millham '13
Jinyan Zang '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 11 7 10 6 13 9 9 65 Owen Richardson '10
Amelia Quinn '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 12 13 13 12 12 14 6 82 Dylan Griffin '12
Taran Catania '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 12 12 13 9 12 12 83 Andrew Mchenry '13
Cole Shea '12
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 14 14 14 14 13 14 97 Alex Knight '12
Peter Degolia '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 1 1 2 1 3 13 William Hutchings '13
Roisin Magee '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cats 2 2 2 4 3 2 6 21 Connor Aswad '12
Maya Holzhauer '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 3 6 7 1 6 4 28 Tom Charpentier '10
Katharine O'Brien '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 4 3 3 5 3 2 29 Eric Schwarm '13
Megan Carlson '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 6 5 6 4 10 1 39 Bradley Abbott '13
Katharine Brine '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 5 4 2 10 5 10 44 Matthew Schon '11
Austin Schwarz '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 5 8 BKD 8 6 4 DNF 54 Will Pelleteri '12
Ruth Summers '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 9 7 12 7 14 8 60 Nick Waldo '13
Lauren Tiedemann '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 6 10 9 5 9 9 12 60 Samuel Kroger '20
Katharine Collet '11
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 7 10 9 8 7 9 60 Alejandro Bancalari '13
Catherine Droser '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 12 14 8 10 11 12 5 72 Jacon Mayer '10
Rebecca Vaadia '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 11 13 13 12 11 7 78 Mike Bloomstine '13
Alexandra Zweig '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 12 11 11 14 8 11 80 Nicholas Shufransky '12
James Gorman '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 13 12 14 13 13 13 92 Emily Cordner '13
Kathryn Desutter '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221414121210
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson4422141412
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners55779911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers66442214
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars7799111113
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks8866442
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99111113131
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya101088664
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11111313113
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts12121010886
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats131311335
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11131311119
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson3311131311
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners6688101012
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55331113
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars881010121214
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks7755331
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1010121214142
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya9977553
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121414224
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts111199775
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Cats141422446
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals13131111997

Conditions — 10/24/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 96%  ·  Pressure 1006.7 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 29.9 kn
From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity96% Pressure1006.7 hPa Rain0.36 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 11 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →