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The Moody Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 84 77 161
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 90 72 162
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 87 91 178
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 91 111 202
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 121 98 219
6 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 85 138 223
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 118 109 227
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 130 103 233
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 83 155 238
10 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 160 121 281
11 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 154 127 281
12 Boston University Boston University Terriers 113 169 282
13 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 151 152 303
14 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 166 145 311
15 Yale University Yale University Elis 190 123 313
16 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 138 181 319
17 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 176 171 347
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 2 6 10 7 7 2 9 1 4 1 12 12 7 83 Jonathan Pope '17
Kelly Stannard '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 9 1 1 14 2 3 13 6 3 13 4 3 10 84 William Brown '10
Theresa O'Neil '10
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 11 4 3 1 1 7 8 13 9 12 6 5 1 85 Mac Mace '13
Erin Markee '10
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 1 7 4 8 5 6 1 4 2 5 11 17 5 87 Alan Palmer '11
Grace Charles '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 6 5 11 3 10 5 3 8 11 2 7 10 2 90 Anne Haeger '12 [1-14]
Emily Massa '12 [1-10]
Alex Cook '13 [11-14]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 5 3 7 6 4 15 6 14 1 15 8 2 4 91 Clinton Hayes '10
Catherine Solsvig '10
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 8 14 2 10 14 8 5 5 6 9 2 9 11 113 Mathew Renik '19
Sarah Manning '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 3 2 17 15 8 14 2 11 7 6 16 6 6 118 John Darby '14
Haley Okun '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 13 7 12 14 5 12 13 10 16 5 4 1 1 8 121 Frederick Whitman '11
Abby Rowlands '10
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 10 9 6 2 6 11 4 12 12 10 15 15 9 130 Mike Warren '10 [1-10, 13-14]
Ben Quatromoni '10 [11-12]
Carolyn Chaikin '10 [1-10, 13-14]
Lisa Costich '10 [11-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 15 12 11 13 13 11 4 16 7 13 11 5 4 3 138 Carl Shorett '10
Ryann Hall '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 15 8 15 4 9 9 15 3 8 7 17 13 14 151 Jonathan Duffett '11
Elise Maher '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 16 16 13 12 17 16 12 7 2 10 3 10 8 12 154 Eamon Glackin '12
Victoria Lee '10
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 14 10 9 12 13 1 12 9 15 16 9 11 17 160 Shawn Murray '12
Madeleine Fahey '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 17 13 17 8 9 3 10 17 17 17 BKD 3 7 16 166 Zachary Marks '11
Tristen Vail '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 4 16 5 11 15 17 11 15 16 14 13 16 15 176 Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12 [1-14]
Jordana Hanselman '12 [1-10]
Emily Shaw '12 [11-14]
Yale University Yale University Elis 6 17 15 16 16 17 16 14 10 14 8 14 14 13 190 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Margot Benedict '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 8 8 5 7 8 1 11 1 2 4 1 9 6 72 Taylor Canfield '11 [1-14]
Sandra Williams '10 [1-4, 7-10]
Alex Cook '13 [5-6]
Ryan Mullins '13 [11-14]
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 3 1 3 8 5 11 5 2 9 3 6 8 1 77 Mark Towill '11
Ashley Noble '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 2 7 4 4 1 5 8 13 11 6 7 13 8 91 Brendan Kopp '12
Michelle Konstadt '10
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 6 12 7 17 14 6 9 3 5 1 3 10 2 98 Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-14]
Meredith Powlison '11 [1-8]
Ben Lezin '13 [9-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 4 4 13 1 15 3 1 10 14 7 12 2 13 103 Amy Hawkins '12 [1-14]
Missy Hudspeth '10 [1-10]
Emily Anderson '10 [11-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 13 10 16 12 6 9 4 4 7 9 4 1 3 109 Sean Burke '17
Marnie Merrill '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 7 15 1 6 17 2 13 6 4 2 5 6 12 111 Coleman Bowen '11 [1-14]
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-6]
Max Taylor '11 [7-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 17 12 9 6 11 4 8 2 11 3 17 8 3 10 121 Harry Scott '13
William Gallagher '10
Yale University Yale University Elis 7 14 6 2 10 12 15 10 5 8 10 9 11 4 123 Rob Struckett '12
Stephanie Schuyler '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 10 5 5 11 3 9 13 14 16 1 13 11 5 11 127 Andrew Sommer '13
Rachel Licht '10
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 10 14 9 13 3 4 15 9 6 5 15 7 15 138 Andrew Zuber '11
Sarah Somes '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 17 3 DSQ 2 7 12 BKD 15 15 16 10 14 5 145 Sean Ross '12
Tristen Vail '12
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 1 17 12 5 16 7 7 14 16 12 17 12 7 152 Ian Oviatt '10
Amanda Hamlet '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 9 16 14 15 2 14 17 8 13 8 2 15 17 155 Alec Anderson '13
Bianca Rom '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 16 2 10 9 13 16 12 7 10 14 14 16 16 169 Ben Greenfield '11 [1-6]
Adrian Law '17 [7-14]
Fiona Gordon '12 [1-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 15 11 15 16 10 10 6 17 12 11 16 17 9 171 Massimo Soriano '12 [1-14]
Emily Shaw '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Adam Weisman '12 [5-6, 9-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 16 11 13 8 14 11 17 16 12 17 15 13 4 14 181 Graham Gardner '11
Sarah Mckay '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911111313
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012121414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799111113131515
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4466881010121214141616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5577991111131315151717
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams668810101212141416161818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7799111113131515171711
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen881010121214141616181822
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers9911111313151517171133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101012121414161618182244
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212141416161818224466
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131515171711335577
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls14141616181822446688
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks151517171133557799
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161818224466881010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171711335577991111
Yale UniversityYale University Elis18182244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688101012121414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799111113131515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010121214141616
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars5577991111131315151717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears668810101212141416161818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams7799111113131515171711
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson881010121214141616181822
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen9911111313151517171133
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers101012121414161618182244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111131315151717113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131515171711335577
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks14141616181822446688
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls151517171133557799
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks16161818224466881010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos171711335577991111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts18182244668810101212
Yale UniversityYale University Elis113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Anne Haeger '12 [1-14] Emily Massa '12 [1-10]
Alex Cook '13 [11-14]
Eagles Taylor Canfield '11 [1-14] Sandra Williams '10 [1-4, 7-10]
Alex Cook '13 [5-6]
Ryan Mullins '13 [11-14]
Boston University Boston University Mathew Renik '19 Sarah Manning '16
Terriers Ben Greenfield '11 [1-6]
Adrian Law '17 [7-14]		 Fiona Gordon '12 [1-6]
Brown University Brown University William Brown '10 Theresa O'Neil '10
Bears Mark Towill '11 Ashley Noble '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Mac Mace '13 Erin Markee '10
Cougars Andrew Zuber '11 Sarah Somes '13
Fordham University Fordham University Carl Shorett '10 Ryann Hall '11
Rams Graham Gardner '11 Sarah Mckay '12
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 Grace Charles '11
Crimson Brendan Kopp '12 Michelle Konstadt '10
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges John Darby '14 Haley Okun '18
Statesmen Sean Burke '17 Marnie Merrill '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Eamon Glackin '12 Victoria Lee '10
Beavers Andrew Sommer '13 Rachel Licht '10
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Jonathan Pope '17 Kelly Stannard '12
Hawks Alec Anderson '13 Bianca Rom '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 Madeleine Fahey '12
Privateers Harry Scott '13 William Gallagher '10
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Frederick Whitman '11 Abby Rowlands '10
Seahawks Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-14] Meredith Powlison '11 [1-8]
Ben Lezin '13 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12 [1-14] Jordana Hanselman '12 [1-10]
Emily Shaw '12 [11-14]
Jumbos Massimo Soriano '12 [1-14] Emily Shaw '12 [1-4, 7-8]
Adam Weisman '12 [5-6, 9-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Jonathan Duffett '11 Elise Maher '11
Bears Ian Oviatt '10 Amanda Hamlet '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Mike Warren '10 [1-10, 13-14]
Ben Quatromoni '10 [11-12]		 Carolyn Chaikin '10 [1-10, 13-14]
Lisa Costich '10 [11-12]
Rams Amy Hawkins '12 [1-14] Missy Hudspeth '10 [1-10]
Emily Anderson '10 [11-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Zachary Marks '11 Tristen Vail '12
Bulls Sean Ross '12 Tristen Vail '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Clinton Hayes '10 Catherine Solsvig '10
Catamounts Coleman Bowen '11 [1-14] Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [1-6]
Max Taylor '11 [7-14]
Yale University Yale University Andrew Kurzrok '11 Margot Benedict '12
Elis Rob Struckett '12 Stephanie Schuyler '12

Conditions — 10/10/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1008.8 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NW (309°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine4.6 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1008.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →