Hewitt Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 32 18 50
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 30 28 58
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 37 33 70
4 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 32 40 72
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 36 41 77
6 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 53 59 112
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 76 74 150
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 68 85 153
9 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 87 72 159
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 3 5 3 3 1 4 2 2 30 Albert Nichols '13
Charlotte Welbourn '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 1 6 5 1 3 1 8 4 32 Jeff Goodrich '12
Benjmain Berg '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 2 4 1 1 2 4 DSQ 1 3 32 Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-10]
Edward Moan '14 [1-4]
Eve Boyce '13 [5-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 5 2 3 4 7 2 2 5 5 36 Richard Graef '14
Graham Philpot '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 6 6 2 2 4 5 3 3 1 37 Martin Mcdonald '12
Stephanie Hernandez '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 6 3 5 4 6 5 6 6 6 6 53 Tyler Nemsdale '14
Benjamin Nichols '12
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 7 8 7 8 6 8 5 4 7 68 Terry Clarke '13
Alyssa Reetz '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 8 7 8 7 8 7 8 7 9 76 Alex Knight '12
Olivia Lau '14
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 9 8 87 John Kline '10
Amelie Sirois Leclerc '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 3 2 2 18 D.J. Hatch '11
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 2 5 5 1 3 2 1 4 1 28 Ben Weigel '14
Kathleen Kwasniak '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 6 1 2 6 4 3 2 1 3 33 Sarah Hylton '13
Gwendolyn Tetirick '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 5 4 3 3 2 7 4 3 6 40 Ian Gilchrist '11
Julia Elizabeth Murphy '11
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 2 4 7 6 4 5 5 4 41 Leo Connolly '13
Jason Pollock '12
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 7 4 7 7 4 7 5 6 7 5 59 Cameron Murphy '14
Zachary Vickers '12
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 7 9 8 8 5 6 8 8 7 72 Bogdan Istrate '13
Evan Henry '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 8 8 6 6 9 8 8 7 6 8 74 Paul Hildebrand '11
Molly Talbert '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 9 8 9 5 9 9 9 9 9 85 Phillip Parsons '13
Conner Maciver '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557799
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22121210108866
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44221212101088
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners557799111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66442212121010
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds779911111133
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers886644221212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats991111113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111111335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466881010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111111997755
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green331111119977
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners66881010121222
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers553311111199
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds88101012122244
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers775533111111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats10101212224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121222446688

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1011.8 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From NW (318°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1011.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →