Protest Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 13 23
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 14 11 25
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 18 9 27
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 28 43
5 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 31 19 50
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 18 34 52
7 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 34 27 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 5 2 1 1 10 D.J. Hatch '11
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 1 4 2 14 Daniel Slate '11
Victoria Eastman '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 2 3 5 3 15 John Giuliano '11
Ashley Cuprak '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 3 4 2 5 18 Nick Sneath '13
Emily Egan '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 5 1 5 3 4 18 Guttorm Straume '14
Andrew Labbe '13
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 6 6 7 6 6 31 Brennan Ashton '13
Joshua Hines '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 7 6 7 7 34 Stephanie Clement '12
Emma Millson-Taylor '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 1 1 2 9 Richard Graef '14
Leo Connolly '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 3 2 1 11 Charles Proctor '14
Eliza White '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 1 2 4 3 13 Emily Mcneil '14
Leah Hughes '11
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 4 2 6 3 4 19 Mike Brendlinger '14
Joshua Hines '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 6 4 6 5 27 Maxime Fecteau '14
Evan Henry '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 5 5 5 RAF 28 Eleanor Leonard '13
Kelley Connolly '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 7 7 7 6 34 Ryan Lovering '12
Reilly Bergin-Pugh '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats44661
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears55772
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies22446
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66113
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos33557
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech11335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats55772
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears66113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies33557
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77224
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds11335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos44661
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech22446

Conditions — 10/10/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1006.1 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1006.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bates: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bates by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Bates, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →