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South #1/ Senators Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 50 54 104
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 60 48 108
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 56 68 124
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 84 56 140
5 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 78 108 186
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 126 70 196
7 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 141 141 282
8 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 160 125 285
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Maryland 110 179 289
10 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 153 148 301
11 American University American University American 142 187 329
12 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 208 121 329
13 Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 164 173 337
14 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 169 199 368
15 St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 225 236 461
16 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 251 255 506
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 2 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 2 1 6 5 6 2 3 50 Max Lopez '14
Caroline Lockett '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 2 3 1 4 5 3 12 1 4 5 2 4 4 4 56 Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-12]
Ian Liberty '14 [13-16]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [1-12]
Nicole Deangeli '14 [13-16]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 9 3 4 2 6 3 2 10 3 3 9 1 1 1 1 60 Michael Campbell '11 [1-12]
Chris Barnard '13 [13-16]
Annalee Leggett '13 [1-12]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [13-16]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 8 1 2 7 9 2 6 9 5 2 1 6 3 6 2 78 Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-16]
Linda Codega '13 [1-12]
Madeline Gill '12 [13-16]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 4 8 1 4 2 4 7 3 10 6 4 4 8 5 7 84 Ike Babbitt '11
Catherine Pelo '13
University of Maryland University of Maryland Maryland 8 10 14 7 3 3 6 4 7 8 10 3 7 2 7 11 110 Russell Cramer '11
Laurin Parthemos '11
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 7 7 11 8 10 10 11 6 4 9 8 10 7 10 5 126 Gavin Rudolph '12
Julia Wiesner '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 10 14 13 9 10 7 7 5 2 13 8 7 3 11 8 14 141 Tyler Myers '11
Kira Munger '12
American University American University American 6 6 10 8 9 12 8 15 5 6 14 12 13 5 3 10 142 Billy Hluchan '12
Chaselynn Collins '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 3 6 13 11 14 9 9 15 9 13 11 8 12 9 6 153 William Ricketson '11
Kaitlin Denny '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 5 11 12 13 8 12 10 8 7 12 10 9 10 12 8 160 Samuel Bedinger '13 [1-10]
Hadley Burnhaintly '?? [11-16]
Karl Kurland '11 [1-10, 13-16]
Matt Lawler '13 [11-12]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 11 15 4 10 6 15 13 14 4 14 5 2 14 14 11 12 164 Kyle Miller '11
Julia Faiella '14
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 11 9 6 14 5 11 8 11 12 11 15 11 9 13 9 169 Andrew Shoemaker '15
Athnel George '13
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 12 15 16 15 13 15 13 13 11 7 14 12 13 14 13 208 Jonathan Conway '12
Delaney Osborn '13
St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 15 13 12 14 12 11 14 12 14 15 15 16 15 16 16 15 225 Evgenia Olimpieva '14 [1-12]
Sarah Hartzell '13 [13-16]
Sean Sabella '14 [1-4]
Dillon Sullivan '14 [5-12]
Annika Schwiebert '13 [13-16]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 16 16 16 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 13 DNF 15 15 16 251 Alejandra Deza Raygada '12
Danica Tan '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 3 5 3 4 3 3 5 2 3 4 4 4 1 1 2 48 Lauren Burke '12 [1-12]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [13-16]
Rebecca Evans '12 [1-12]
Victoria Lynch '13 [13-16]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 1 4 2 7 6 2 3 3 2 1 6 5 2 3 3 54 Jason Carminati '12
Chelsea Smith '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 6 2 1 1 1 1 6 1 5 8 11 3 1 6 2 1 56 Louis Padnos '14
Rebecca Liggins '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 4 2 5 8 5 4 4 1 5 5 8 2 4 5 4 68 Fletcher Sims '14 [1-16]
Ainsley Thomson '13 [1-12]
Kelley Merryman '14 [13-16]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 5 6 10 2 2 1 9 4 4 2 2 3 3 4 6 70 Brady Stagg '14
Rachel Pokorny '12
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 11 9 7 8 3 9 7 6 8 1 3 1 8 10 9 8 108 Christopher Stessing '14 [1-16]
Veronica Manuel '14 [1-12]
Linda Codega '13 [13-16]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 10 9 7 9 7 11 2 6 7 6 13 7 11 8 5 121 Isaac Clark '12
Derrill Hagood '13
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 10 8 3 6 5 4 8 7 9 11 9 14 9 9 6 7 125 Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-16]
Paul Miller '14 [1-12]
Matt Lawler '13 [13-16]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 6 8 9 11 10 5 8 7 14 10 7 6 7 12 9 141 Maxwell Plarr '11
Meghan Magee '12
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 8 RDG 13 4 6 12 10 10 11 6 8 12 13 5 10 11 148 Nicholas Koeniger '14
Sonya Ropek '14
Salisbury University Salisbury University Salisbury 5 RDG 11 11 10 11 9 15 10 9 7 10 14 14 14 12 173 John Kinnally '11
Shaylyn Leary '12
University of Maryland University of Maryland Maryland 13 12 10 14 12 8 13 12 12 12 14 5 11 8 13 10 179 Sarah Hamm '13
Carey Goldman '14
American University American University American 9 7 14 15 13 13 14 11 13 10 12 9 10 13 11 13 187 Bryan Schapperle '13 [1-16]
Leigh Cramer '12 [1-2, 13-16]
Kara Lang '11 [3-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 11 12 12 15 14 12 13 14 13 13 11 12 12 7 14 199 Kimannee Simon '14 [1-16]
Anya Sippen '12 [1-12]
Joshua Gopeesingh '14 [13-16]
St. John's College St. John's College St. John's 15 13 15 13 14 15 15 14 16 15 15 15 15 16 15 15 236 Luke Wakeen '12 [1-12]
Stephen Monteiro '11 [13-16]
Megan Faulkner '12 [1-6]
Lawrence Leibowitz '14 [7-12]
Maria Jung '12 [13-16]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech DNF 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 RAF 16 16 DNF 15 16 16 255 Benjamin Amoss '11 [1-16]
Lindsay Day '14 [1-10]
Eileen Stevens '14 [11-16]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
American UniversityAmerican University American1122334455667788
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2211161615151414131312121111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials334455667788991010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas443322111616151514141313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates5566778899101011111212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66554433221116161515
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Maryland77889910101111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8877665544332211
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121313141415151616
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Salisbury101099887766554433
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College St. John's1111121213131414151516161122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212111110109988776655
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141313121211111010998877
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Virginia Tech131314141515161611223344
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen15151616112233445566
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe161615151414131312121111101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
American UniversityAmerican University American1122334455667788
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2211161615151414131312121111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials334455667788991010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas443322111616151514141313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates5566778899101011111212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66554433221116161515
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Maryland77889910101111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8877665544332211
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121313141415151616
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Salisbury101099887766554433
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College St. John's1111121213131414151516161122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212111110109988776655
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141313121211111010998877
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Virginia Tech131314141515161611223344
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen15151616112233445566
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe161615151414131312121111101099
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Billy Hluchan '12 Chaselynn Collins '12
American Bryan Schapperle '13 [1-16] Leigh Cramer '12 [1-2, 13-16]
Kara Lang '11 [3-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Tyler Myers '11 Kira Munger '12
Captains Maxwell Plarr '11 Meghan Magee '12
George Washington University George Washington University William Ricketson '11 Kaitlin Denny '14
Colonials Nicholas Koeniger '14 Sonya Ropek '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Michael Campbell '11 [1-12]
Chris Barnard '13 [13-16]		 Annalee Leggett '13 [1-12]
Hilary Kenyon '13 [13-16]
Hoyas Lauren Burke '12 [1-12]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [13-16]		 Rebecca Evans '12 [1-12]
Victoria Lynch '13 [13-16]
Hampton University Hampton University Andrew Shoemaker '15 Athnel George '13
Pirates Kimannee Simon '14 [1-16] Anya Sippen '12 [1-12]
Joshua Gopeesingh '14 [13-16]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Ike Babbitt '11 Catherine Pelo '13
Statesmen Louis Padnos '14 Rebecca Liggins '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Gavin Rudolph '12 Julia Wiesner '14
Monarchs Brady Stagg '14 Rachel Pokorny '12
Salisbury University Salisbury University Kyle Miller '11 Julia Faiella '14
Salisbury John Kinnally '11 Shaylyn Leary '12
St. John's College St. John's College Evgenia Olimpieva '14 [1-12]
Sarah Hartzell '13 [13-16]		 Sean Sabella '14 [1-4]
Dillon Sullivan '14 [5-12]
Annika Schwiebert '13 [13-16]
St. John's Luke Wakeen '12 [1-12]
Stephen Monteiro '11 [13-16]		 Megan Faulkner '12 [1-6]
Lawrence Leibowitz '14 [7-12]
Maria Jung '12 [13-16]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-12]
Ian Liberty '14 [13-16]		 Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [1-12]
Nicole Deangeli '14 [13-16]
Seahawks Fletcher Sims '14 [1-16] Ainsley Thomson '13 [1-12]
Kelley Merryman '14 [13-16]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Max Lopez '14 Caroline Lockett '12
Midshipmen Jason Carminati '12 Chelsea Smith '14
University of Maryland University of Maryland Russell Cramer '11 Laurin Parthemos '11
Maryland Sarah Hamm '13 Carey Goldman '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-16] Linda Codega '13 [1-12]
Madeline Gill '12 [13-16]
Wahoos Christopher Stessing '14 [1-16] Veronica Manuel '14 [1-12]
Linda Codega '13 [13-16]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Alejandra Deza Raygada '12 Danica Tan '12
Virginia Tech Benjamin Amoss '11 [1-16] Lindsay Day '14 [1-10]
Eileen Stevens '14 [11-16]
Washington College Washington College Samuel Bedinger '13 [1-10]
Hadley Burnhaintly '?? [11-16]		 Karl Kurland '11 [1-10, 13-16]
Matt Lawler '13 [11-12]
Shoremen Sam Fitzgerald '14 [1-16] Paul Miller '14 [1-12]
Matt Lawler '13 [13-16]
William and Mary William and Mary Jonathan Conway '12 Delaney Osborn '13
Tribe Isaac Clark '12 Derrill Hagood '13

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From NNE (20°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1015.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →