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Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 48 40 88
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 79 71 150
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 89 62 151
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 106 63 169
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 99 74 173
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 55 136 191
7 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 81 133 214
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 82 148 230
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 153 117 270
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 136 136 272
11 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 155 123 278
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 189 158 347
13 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 196 201 397
14 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 216 227 443
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 5 1 4 6 2 4 4 7 1 1 4 1 4 2 1 48 Elizabeth Barry '11
Amy Walker '11
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 1 3 2 11 4 3 1 1 2 3 5 8 2 3 4 55 Atlantic Brugman '13
Katrina Salk '11
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 2 8 6 5 7 2 5 8 7 6 3 2 6 5 3 79 Claire Dennis '13
Heather May '13
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 9 4 7 1 3 8 9 3 8 4 1 9 5 1 2 81 Emily Lambert '12
Alexandra Jumper '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 4 6 3 2 1 1 2 9 3 12 2 7 3 9 9 82 Caroline Wilhelm '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 10 2 1 8 5 7 8 2 4 5 7 5 9 6 7 89 Krysta Rohde '11
Jaimie Chicoine '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 6 5 11 7 6 5 10 6 6 2 6 3 1 7 8 99 Natalie Salk '13
Madeline Luce '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 8 12 5 4 11 6 3 4 10 8 8 6 7 4 5 106 Emilie Mademann '12
Millicent Gerlak '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 13 9 10 3 14 9 11 5 5 7 10 4 8 8 12 136 Laura Cuccio '14
Margaret Stone '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 3 7 12 10 9 12 7 11 9 13 12 10 11 11 10 153 Phoebe Sprague '11 [1-6, 13-16]
Sarah Fiske '13 [7-12]
Isabel Low '13 [1-6, 13-16]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 12 7 10 9 9 10 11 6 13 13 9 9 11 10 10 6 155 Hanna Vincent '14
Desiree Amadeo '11
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 11 13 14 12 10 12 10 14 11 11 13 12 13 11 189
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 14 13 14 12 8 13 13 12 11 10 13 12 13 12 13 196 Brooke Doyon '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 14 12 14 8 13 13 14 14 14 12 14 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 216 Anna Morton '13
Ann Stallings '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 1 7 4 1 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 40 Jennifer Adler '11
Logan Shanney '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 4 1 2 3 4 6 3 9 11 7 3 2 2 1 3 62 Jennifer Proctor '11
Kristen Holloway '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 3 5 5 1 2 2 3 2 5 DSQ 1 3 8 4 63 Charlotte Dorris '11
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 9 8 11 6 2 5 1 2 5 2 2 4 6 3 2 71 Genoa Warner '12
Stephanie Schuyler '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 3 6 1 2 7 3 7 7 3 3 4 7 4 7 5 74 Renã©E Gagnã© '12
Midori Tanaka '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 5 2 8 10 11 9 11 6 4 9 7 6 9 6 8 117 Emily Mcneil '14
Leah Hughes '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 10 6 5 10 7 6 1 6 10 6 8 10 12 5 11 10 123 Jillian Reddy '11
Reguli Granger '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 10 10 9 8 8 10 10 5 10 4 9 8 10 9 6 133 Caitlin Watson '14 [1-3, 7-9]
Morgan Russom '14 [4-6, 10-16]
Marie Appel '12 [1-12]
Caitlin Watson '14 [13-16]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 12 11 3 4 10 8 8 8 12 11 8 9 12 5 7 136
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 8 9 12 11 12 7 4 4 7 12 5 10 8 4 12 136 Sara Anibal '14
Kathleen O'Brien '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 7 4 6 12 9 11 9 11 8 10 12 5 11 10 11 148 Erica Lush '14
Caitlin Goodrich '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 11 14 13 9 5 12 12 13 9 6 6 11 7 12 9 158 Paige Fagan '14
Brittany Healy '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 13 13 7 13 13 14 14 12 13 13 11 13 13 13 13 201 Eleanor Leonard '13
Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 14 14 12 14 14 14 13 13 14 OCS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 227
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers88899910101011111112121313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears9998887776665544
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears101010111111121212131313141411
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1111111010109998887766
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies4445556667778899
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1212121313131414141112233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1313131212121111111010109988
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1414141112223334455
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers11114141413131312121211111010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats2223334445556677
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos33322211114141413131212
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts555444333222111414
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue66677788899910101111
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs7776665554443322

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1112223334445566
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22211114141413131312121111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3334445556667788
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears44433322211114141313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111111212121313131414141122
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels555666777888991010
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6665554443332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77788899910101011111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers8887776665554433
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats99910101011111112121213131414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010109998887776655
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212121111111010109998877
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue1313131414141112223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs141414131313121212111111101099

Conditions — 09/11/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · E 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →