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SAISA/MAISA

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 66 50 116
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 76 54 130
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 90 87 177
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 80 102 182
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 75 118 193
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 85 130 215
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 114 104 218
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 146 127 273
9 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 176 148 324
10 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 194 180 374
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 4 5 7 4 2 1 2 3 3 1 1 3 8 1 3 1 1 9 4 3 66 Reed Baldridge '16
Septima Mcadams '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 4 1 2 5 6 1 1 6 2 6 4 2 5 9 4 DSQ 2 1 2 75 Kyle Sutter '16
Katie Dowling '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 5 1 8 5 3 2 4 7 4 5 5 2 5 2 2 7 2 1 2 4 76 Kayla Gibson '15
Honore Johnson '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 3 6 4 6 4 3 3 2 5 3 2 6 1 3 4 8 3 4 3 7 80 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 6 1 6 5 7 4 1 7 4 7 3 4 1 5 4 3 6 6 85 Walker Banks '14
Amanda Smith '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 7 3 7 1 4 6 6 2 8 3 1 4 6 7 3 5 5 5 1 90 Dominique Wright '15 [1-20]
Darcy Jensen '16 [1-2]
Rebecca Campbell '16 [3-20]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 2 5 3 DSQ 7 5 5 7 4 8 5 6 7 5 2 6 6 7 5 114 John Reddaway '15 [1-10]
Aroldo De Rienzo '13 [11-20]
Aroldo De Rienzo '13 [1-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 7 8 2 8 7 8 9 8 9 6 7 8 7 8 6 6 7 8 9 8 146 Evan Boliakis '14
Sarah Mccormack '14
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 9 10 9 8 9 8 10 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 9 8 7 8 10 176 Alexander Rigsby '13 [1-20]
Evelyn Moseley '15 [1-10, 13-20]
Hayden Kohls '15 [11-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 9 10 9 10 9 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 9 194 Ben Brightwell '13
Scott Bidwell '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 2 1 1 3 2 4 7 3 2 4 1 4 1 1 1 1 7 2 1 50 Jack Jorgensen '16
Michaela Reynolds '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 5 4 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 6 5 2 2 6 1 2 54 Melany Johnson '15
Morgan Buckley '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 7 6 9 1 4 1 3 2 5 6 4 1 2 3 8 4 3 3 9 87 Colleen Hartman '13 [1-20]
Candice Stewart '15 [1-2]
Darcy Jensen '16 [3-20]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 7 3 8 4 7 6 5 1 9 8 5 3 7 4 7 3 6 2 4 3 102 Carly Shevitz '14
Rebekah Schiff '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 5 5 3 9 1 6 6 4 1 3 5 10 8 8 6 3 5 7 5 104 Marten Kendrick '15
Elizabeth Rahn '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 3 4 3 6 5 10 9 8 6 6 9 9 6 7 4 5 8 1 5 4 118 Sarah Mackey '16
Charlotte Saxe '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 9 9 10 8 7 8 4 8 7 1 8 5 3 2 4 9 4 8 8 127 Alex Hitchcock '15
Erin Mccormack '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 6 7 8 6 9 7 9 5 4 7 7 3 5 6 7 5 8 6 6 130 Erik Brydges '14 [1-6, 9-20]
Benjamin Chafee '16 [7-8]
Linsey Kromer '16 [1-8, 13-15]
Benjamin Chafee '16 [9-12, 16-20]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 8 4 2 2 8 3 5 7 9 8 6 9 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 148 Hugh Forester-Bennett '13 [1-12]
Hayden Kohls '15 [13-20]
Emily Klug '14 [1-12]
David Mccormick '15 [13-20]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 10 10 10 7 10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 9 10 9 7 9 9 7 180 Robert Marshall '15
Lucas Crawford '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 13344556677889910101122
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 24433221110109988776655
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 35566778899101011223344
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 46655443322111010998877
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel1122334455667788991010
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2211101099887766554433
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons7788991010112233445566
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials9910101122334455667788
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets8877665544332211101099
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1010998877665544332211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B20B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 13344556677889910101122
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 24433221110109988776655
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 35566778899101011223344
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 46655443322111010998877
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel1122334455667788991010
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2211101099887766554433
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons7788991010112233445566
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials9910101122334455667788
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets8877665544332211101099
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1010998877665544332211

Conditions — 11/03/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1018.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn* · S 7 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →