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Timme's Tune-Up

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 6 10
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 11 6 17
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 15 23 38
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 28 15 43
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 24 22 46
6 Purdue University Purdue University Purdue Pete 30 22 52
7 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 39 28 67
8 University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 40 30 70
9 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 33 38 71
10 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 35 40 75
11 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 27 50 77
12 Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 39 42 81
13 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 39 50 89
14 University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 56 40 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 1 4 Matthew Graham '13
Kirsten Corneliussen '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 4 2 2 3 11 Ryan Grosch '14
Paige Boegeman '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 5 3 3 4 15 Phillip Morley '13
Jennifer Burke '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 11 4 2 24 Jacob Bruce '16
Luke Vogelzang '15
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 8 9 5 5 27 Eric Sauter '13
Molly Strieker '15
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 7 6 13 28 Christopher Avallone '13
Stephen Anthony '15
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue Pete 6 4 10 10 30 Phil Holt '14 [1-4]
Christine Mckee '15 [1-2]
Calvin Barnett '16 [3-4]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 10 6 11 6 33 Zi Chong Kao '14 [1-4]
Rachelle Koch '16 [1-2]
Connor Lynch '16 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 12 13 7 35 Kelly Kramer '13 [1-2]
Ian Walter '16 [3-4]
Ian Walter '16 [1-2]
Kelly Kramer '13 [3-4]
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 11 5 12 11 39 William Kyle '14
Cory Vanhouten '13
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 12 8 7 12 39 Laura Woldt '18 [1-4]
Benjamin Wheeler '13 [1-2]
Charles Mcchristian '14 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 13 10 8 8 39 Jack Greve '15
Blake Utz '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 9 13 9 9 40 Ryan Davidson '15 [1-4]
Abigail Rogers '16 [1-2]
Kathryn Ried '15 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 14 14 14 14 56 Alex Mayo '15
Tyler Weiss '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 2 1 6 Ryan Seago '14
Elizabeth Wallace '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 1 1 2 6 Emily Oltrogge '15
Teresa Westin '16
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 3 4 3 5 15 Meghan Bouman '15
Kathleen Schneider '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 3 6 9 22 John Hodges '13
Connor Schmitt '14
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue Pete 6 9 4 3 22 Grant Pollock '16
David Mirkhaef '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 7 6 BKD 4 23 Ian Norman '18
Thaddeus Brown '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 8 8 5 7 28 Ryan Mabie '16
Kevin Luther '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 5 7 10 8 30 Karinne Smolenyak '15 [1-4]
Jenny Koloms '15 [1-2]
John Mccormick '15 [3-4]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 9 12 7 10 38 Katy Carlyle '15
Leah Chapman '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 10 11 8 11 40 Kendall Witmer '15 [1-2]
Andrew Roth '15 [3-4]
Jean Rafaelian '16 [1-2]
Alison Bradley '16 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 12 13 9 6 40 David Meyerson '15 [1-4]
Elliot Busta '15 [1-2]
Benjamin Reiland '15 [3-4]
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 11 5 12 14 42 Robert Ottman '16
William Wiegand '15
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 13 14 11 12 50 Blake Banovitz '14 [1-4]
Charles Mcchristian '14 [1-2]
Benjamin Wheeler '13 [3-4]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 14 10 13 13 50 Rebecca Abellera '15
Joseph Knight '16
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University William Kyle '14 Cory Vanhouten '13
Bowling Green Robert Ottman '16 William Wiegand '15
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Laura Woldt '18 [1-4] Benjamin Wheeler '13 [1-2]
Charles Mcchristian '14 [3-4]
Foresters Blake Banovitz '14 [1-4] Charles Mcchristian '14 [1-2]
Benjamin Wheeler '13 [3-4]
Marquette University Marquette University Christopher Avallone '13 Stephen Anthony '15
Golden Eagles Meghan Bouman '15 Kathleen Schneider '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 Luke Vogelzang '15
Wildcats John Hodges '13 Connor Schmitt '14
Purdue University Purdue University Phil Holt '14 [1-4] Christine Mckee '15 [1-2]
Calvin Barnett '16 [3-4]
Purdue Pete Grant Pollock '16 David Mirkhaef '15
University of Chicago University of Chicago Zi Chong Kao '14 [1-4] Rachelle Koch '16 [1-2]
Connor Lynch '16 [3-4]
Maroons Katy Carlyle '15 Leah Chapman '15
University of Iowa University of Iowa Eric Sauter '13 Molly Strieker '15
Hawkeyes Rebecca Abellera '15 Joseph Knight '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Mayo '15 Tyler Weiss '15
Blue Kendall Witmer '15 [1-2]
Andrew Roth '15 [3-4]		 Jean Rafaelian '16 [1-2]
Alison Bradley '16 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Ryan Davidson '15 [1-4] Abigail Rogers '16 [1-2]
Kathryn Ried '15 [3-4]
Maize Karinne Smolenyak '15 [1-4] Jenny Koloms '15 [1-2]
John Mccormick '15 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Matthew Graham '13 Kirsten Corneliussen '13
Wolverines Ryan Seago '14 Elizabeth Wallace '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Ryan Grosch '14 Paige Boegeman '14
Minnesota Women Emily Oltrogge '15 Teresa Westin '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Phillip Morley '13 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers 1 Ian Norman '18 Thaddeus Brown '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Kelly Kramer '13 [1-2]
Ian Walter '16 [3-4]		 Ian Walter '16 [1-2]
Kelly Kramer '13 [3-4]
Badgers 2 David Meyerson '15 [1-4] Elliot Busta '15 [1-2]
Benjamin Reiland '15 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Jack Greve '15 Blake Utz '16
Western Michigan Ryan Mabie '16 Kevin Luther '15

Conditions — 11/10/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1013.3 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.9 kn
avg  ·  max 15.6 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From S (175°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1013.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · S 20 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →