Navigate

Mid-week Firefly #2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers! 4 4
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 6 6
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 10 10
4 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 13 13
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 14 14
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 16 16
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 25 25
8 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 26 26
9 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 26 26
10 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 29 29
11 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 1 36 36
12 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 2 37 37
13 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 3 40 40
14 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 42 42
15 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 2 44 44
16 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 1 45 45
17 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 2 49 49
18 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 3 54 54
19 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 4 55 55
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers! 2 1 1 4 Conor Fowler '14
Erica Lush '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 1 2 3 6 Brendan Cook '16
Hannah Callahan '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 3 5 2 10 William Livernois '16
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 4 4 5 13 Colby Vickerson '17
Andrew Snodgrass '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 5 3 6 14 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Cameron Fraser '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 6 6 4 16 Nicole O'Brien '17
Alissa Borshchenko '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 8 7 10 25 Cali Warner '16
Megan Mcknelly '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 7 8 11 26 Kyle Joba-Woodruff '17
Victoria Stivanello '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 9 10 7 26 Andrew Stratton '15
Sophie Goemans '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 12 9 8 29 Jeremy Kalas '16
Grace Young '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 1 10 12 14 36 Juliette Mann '17
Sarah Ertle '16
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 2 17 11 9 37 Josh Mandelbaum '17
Jimmy German '14
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 3 14 13 13 40 Jared Reineck '17
Marycatherine Dunne '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 11 15 16 42 Gordon Moseley Andrews '17
Ellie Simonson '17
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 2 15 17 12 44 Emma Ambrogi '16
Jordan Sessa '16
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 1 16 14 15 45 John Zupkud '16
Andrea Thoen '16
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 2 13 19 17 49 Christine Reighley '15
Andrew Snodgrass '17
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 3 18 18 18 54 Kerry Lydon '17
Anna Kennedy '17
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 4 DNS 16 19 55 Jenny Searborough '17
Juliann Gavin '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 1111111
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 2121212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 1141414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 2161616
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers!151515
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway 1131313
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway 2171717
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway 3181818
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway 4192020
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers222
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers333
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2444
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3555
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4666
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5777
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue 1888
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue 2999
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue 3101010

Conditions — 10/23/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1005.1 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 3.4 kn
Gusts to 8.2 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine5.8 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1005.1 hPa

What this breeze does at MIT — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at MIT in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled fleet-race days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →