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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 28 25 53
2 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 41 18 59
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 23 39 62
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 18 52 70
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 60 10 70
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 32 48 80
7 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 29 70 99
8 University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 60 41 101
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 73 28 101
10 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 34 69 103
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 55 63 118
12 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 60 62 122
13 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 75 54 129
14 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 79 72 151
15 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 77 85 162
16 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 84 98 182
17 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 94 91 185
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 4 3 4 2 4 1 18 Lea Fetterman '17
Jasmine Gerraty '17
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 2 14 1 2 23 Sam Parish '15
Cory Baranski '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 8 2 7 5 3 3 28 Paul Foley '15
Hope Odendahl '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 1 4 1 3 2 DNS 29 Geoff Abel '14
Adele Horbulyk '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 8 6 6 6 4 32 Alexander Halliday '16
Emily Levalley '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 6 7 5 4 7 5 34 Taylor Martin '16
Haley Bolin '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 5 9 3 9 8 7 41 Cody Odou '17
Aike Burger '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 7 5 8 16 9 10 55 Jake Fetterman '15
Benjamin Kaas '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 10 12 9 7 11 11 60 Eliza Pearce '15
Joseph Albertine '15
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 12 10 11 13 5 9 60 Josef Schwan '16
Minna Schwan '15
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 13 15 12 1 13 6 60 Tate Higgins '13
Melissa Hickenbottom '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 17 14 13 11 10 8 73 David Widder '17 [1-3]
Stephen Moran '16 [4-6]
Kooper Mcgee '15 [1-3]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 15 6 17 10 15 12 75 Matthew Darling '14
Harriet Newhouse '14
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 9 16 10 12 16 14 77 Brianne Busey '14
Alyssa Staples '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 14 11 16 8 12 DNS 79 Jordan Pow '17
Sarah Berry '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 11 13 15 DNF 14 13 84 Lindsay Maggard '14
Annin Ramsing '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 16 17 14 15 17 15 94 William Service '15
Matt Sklar '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 10 Hanno Kite-Powell '17
Gregory Woollgar '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 2 1 2 4 7 18 Brian Hickman '15
Cragan Smith '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 6 2 6 3 4 25 Gabe Hill '16
John Burey '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 3 3 5 6 8 28 Ryan Fritsen '14
Chelsea Sussman '16
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 8 11 4 2 3 39 Michael Mallory '15
Soren Heinecke '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 6 4 6 10 5 10 41 Kaili Swetland '14
Mickey Scott '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 8 12 8 7 11 2 48 Greg Moran '17
Jessica Olsen '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 7 7 10 8 9 11 52 Rachael Mccrady '14
Julia Barnes '15
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 12 5 12 12 8 5 54 Ser Gin Ong '15
Hudson Stoffels '17
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 14 13 13 9 7 6 62 Colin Bartels '17
Zengyang Mi '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 13 11 9 11 10 9 63 Ryan Mclaughlin '16
Ryan Van Slyck '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 9 15 7 14 12 12 69 Caleb Paulsen '17
Aaron Zilz '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 5 10 16 3 DNS DNS 70 Jasmin Chana '13
Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 10 9 4 13 DNS DNS 72 Jacqui Martindale '17
Nicholas Whyte '18
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 15 14 15 15 13 13 85 Quanah Green '17 [1-6]
Elisabeth Michaels '15 [1-2]
Kelita Kresin '17 [3-6]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 16 16 14 16 15 14 91 Benjamin Greene '14
Aaron Wells '16
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 17 DNF 17 17 14 15 98 Christopher Eichar '16
Emma Franz '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1711711711711711711
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 1111111
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 2222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 1848484848484
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 2858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1711711711711711711
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 1111111
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 2222222
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 1848484848484
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 2858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Cody Odou '17 Aike Burger '16
Beavers Brian Hickman '15 Cragan Smith '14
Portland State University Portland State University Brianne Busey '14 Alyssa Staples '14
Vikings Quanah Green '17 [1-6] Elisabeth Michaels '15 [1-2]
Kelita Kresin '17 [3-6]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Josef Schwan '16 Minna Schwan '15
UBC Thunderbirds 1 Hanno Kite-Powell '17 Gregory Woollgar '17
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Matthew Darling '14 Harriet Newhouse '14
UBC Thunderbirds 2 Ser Gin Ong '15 Hudson Stoffels '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon David Widder '17 [1-3]
Stephen Moran '16 [4-6]		 Kooper Mcgee '15 [1-3]
Ducks Ryan Fritsen '14 Chelsea Sussman '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Eliza Pearce '15 Joseph Albertine '15
Women's Kaili Swetland '14 Mickey Scott '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Lindsay Maggard '14 Annin Ramsing '13
Loggers 1 Christopher Eichar '16 Emma Franz '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound William Service '15 Matt Sklar '16
Loggers 2 Benjamin Greene '14 Aaron Wells '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Geoff Abel '14 Adele Horbulyk '16
Thunder 1 Jasmin Chana '13 Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Jordan Pow '17 Sarah Berry '15
Thunder 2 Jacqui Martindale '17 Nicholas Whyte '18
University of Washington University of Washington Sam Parish '15 Cory Baranski '16
Huskies Michael Mallory '15 Soren Heinecke '17
University of Washington University of Washington Tate Higgins '13 Melissa Hickenbottom '16
Husky Women Colin Bartels '17 Zengyang Mi '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Alexander Halliday '16 Emily Levalley '16
Vikings 1 Greg Moran '17 Jessica Olsen '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Paul Foley '15 Hope Odendahl '16
Vikings 2 Gabe Hill '16 John Burey '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Taylor Martin '16 Haley Bolin '17
Vikings 3 Caleb Paulsen '17 Aaron Zilz '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Lea Fetterman '17 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Vikings 4 Rachael Mccrady '14 Julia Barnes '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Jake Fetterman '15 Benjamin Kaas '17
Vikings 5 Ryan Mclaughlin '16 Ryan Van Slyck '17

Conditions — 10/26/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From N (5°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.24 means a rating gap counts about 21% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →