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Women's Pacific Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 25 9 34
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 14 30 44
3 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 19 29 48
4 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 24 45 69
5 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 49 20 69
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 39 36 75
7 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 33 54 87
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 70 31 101
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 49 61 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 1 2 1 3 1 3 14 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 1 2 1 4 2 2 7 19 Francesca Cappellini '16 [1-7]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-4]
Courtney Newell '17 [5-7]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 5 3 5 2 1 6 2 24 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Anna Rubino '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 3 3 4 3 5 25 Ginger Luckey '16
Natalie Davidson '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 4 4 7 5 5 4 33 Kate Andersen '15
Kathryn Benight '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 6 7 8 6 4 1 39 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4]
Kendall Sanson '15 [5-7]
Caroline Carney '16 [1-4]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [5-7]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 8 8 6 7 8 6 49 Danielle Sams '16 [1-7]
Kanyanat Tongprasearth '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Yuhui Jin '17 [3-4, 7]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 8 7 6 5 8 7 8 49 Christina Stege '14 [1-7]
Lauren Orloff '16 [1-4]
Casey Weisenseel '15 [5-7]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 70 Elizabeth Hays '17 [1-7]
Sarah Wyman '17 [1-4]
Erin Kelly '17 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 9 Olivia Godfrey '17
Kristina Miller '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 4 5 2 1 3 4 1 20 Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7]
Claudia Marino '17 [1-4]
Sarah Davis '14 [5-7]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 3 7 6 2 2 3 29 Melissa Shadden '17 [1-7]
Madeleine Fawcett '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Newell '17 [3-4]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [7]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 5 4 3 4 5 3 6 30 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-2]
Louise Currie '18 [3-7]
Louise Currie '18 [1-2]
Cecilia Jansson '15 [3-6]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [7]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 2 4 3 6 7 7 31 Erica Parker '14 [1-4]
Sarah Wyman '17 [5-7]
Justina Leo '15 [1-4]
Kylie Sullivan '17 [5-7]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 6 6 5 7 5 4 36 Hollis Barth '16
Nicole Bosetti '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 7 5 9 4 8 5 45 Foya Lazare '14
Sarah Costa '15
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 8 9 7 8 6 8 54 Ellen Suder '16 [1-4]
Bridget Steiner '14 [5-7]
Bridget Steiner '14 [1-4]
Ellen Suder '16 [5-7]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 61 Elsa Felgar '16 [1-4]
Erika Poynter '16 [5-7]
Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers10101212141416
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows12121414161618
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters14141616181811
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos15151717101012
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans16161818111113
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters17171010121214
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins13131515171710
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons11111313151517
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos18181111131315

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers11111313151517
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows13131515171710
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters15151717101012
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos16161818111113
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans17171010121214
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters18181111131315
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins14141616181811
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons12121414161618
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos10101212141416
School / Team SkipperCrew
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Anna Rubino '16
49ers Foya Lazare '14 Sarah Costa '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Christina Stege '14 [1-7] Lauren Orloff '16 [1-4]
Casey Weisenseel '15 [5-7]
Otters Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7] Claudia Marino '17 [1-4]
Sarah Davis '14 [5-7]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Cappellini '16 [1-7] Rachel Flanagan '14 [1-4]
Courtney Newell '17 [5-7]
Broncos Melissa Shadden '17 [1-7] Madeleine Fawcett '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Newell '17 [3-4]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [7]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Kate Andersen '15 Kathryn Benight '15
Anteaters Ellen Suder '16 [1-4]
Bridget Steiner '14 [5-7]		 Bridget Steiner '14 [1-4]
Ellen Suder '16 [5-7]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 [1-7] Sarah Wyman '17 [1-4]
Erin Kelly '17 [5-7]
Bruins Erica Parker '14 [1-4]
Sarah Wyman '17 [5-7]		 Justina Leo '15 [1-4]
Kylie Sullivan '17 [5-7]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Danielle Sams '16 [1-7] Kanyanat Tongprasearth '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Yuhui Jin '17 [3-4, 7]
Tritons Elsa Felgar '16 [1-4]
Erika Poynter '16 [5-7]		 Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-4]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ginger Luckey '16 Natalie Davidson '16
Gauchos Olivia Godfrey '17 Kristina Miller '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbows Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-2]
Louise Currie '18 [3-7]		 Louise Currie '18 [1-2]
Cecilia Jansson '15 [3-6]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [7]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4]
Kendall Sanson '15 [5-7]		 Caroline Carney '16 [1-4]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [5-7]
Trojans Hollis Barth '16 Nicole Bosetti '15

Conditions — 10/26/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From WSW (242°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · SW 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →