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SAISA Womens Fall 2014 Doublehanded

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 51
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 57
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 62
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 84
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 115
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 122
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 2 2 1 1 6 3 15 Melany Johnson '15
Brianna Green '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 5 3 2 4 4 19 Clerc Cooper '15
Chloe Dapp '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 3 2 4 2 2 19 Dominique Wright '15 [1-6]
Charlie Bess '17 [1-2]
Darcy Jensen '16 [3-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 4 7 6 6 1 5 29 Laura Hernandez '15
Kara Voss '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 9 1 9 7 5 1 32 Alison Knoles '17 [1-6]
Kayla Burrows '17 [1-3]
Kristen Walker '17 [4-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 7 6 4 BKD 8 7 38 Rebekah Schiff '16
Morgan Buckley '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 8 12 13 3 3 8 47 Anna Huebschmann '18 [1-6]
Heidi Carlson '16 [1-4]
Jessica Resnick '16 [5-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 3 10 11 14 11 6 55 Meredith Rutledge '16
Kelly Daniels '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 5 11 8 11 10 10 55 Taylor Scheuermann '15
Alexandra Damley-Strnad '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 13 8 7 10 7 12 57 Kara Wheeler '18
Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins A 11 4 12 9 12 11 59 Natalie Butler '18
Victoria Caba '17
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 10 13 5 5 14 13 60 Karina Edwards '18
Cali Mcgovern '14
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins B 14 9 10 12 9 9 63 Anna Palmer '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Allison Price '16 [3-4]
Hannah Knighton '17 [1-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 12 14 14 13 13 14 80 April Lamb '17
Kristin Neill '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22111414
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers112233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons334455
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins443322
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes556677
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack665544
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars9910101111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers887766
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons10109988
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins111112121313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes121211111010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1313141411
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls141413131212

Conditions — 10/05/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From N (0°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1013.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.37 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →