Navigate

UCSD Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23 25 48
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 27 33 60
3 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 37 30 67
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 43 50 93
5 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 48 67 115
6 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 79 58 137
7 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 75 64 139
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 88 97 185
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 91 98 189
10 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 113 99 212
11 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 118 112 230
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 119 128 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 1 2 1 3 5 1 1 4 1 23 Stephen Long '17
Alexandria Ivory '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 7 1 2 3 4 1 2 2 2 1 2 27 Matthew Hecht '16
Hope Modugno '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 2 5 37 Mark Ryan '15
Nicholas Santos '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 5 5 1 2 5 1 3 3 8 6 43 Kyle Larsen '18
Jackson Pentith '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 3 4 4 5 5 2 6 5 5 5 4 48 Nicolas Delfino '16
Cheyenne Wright '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 DNS 7 7 7 7 8 3 7 10 3 3 75 Kendall Sanson '15
Hollis Barth '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 6 8 8 6 6 6 8 6 9 6 10 79 Greg Kushnir '18
Tarra Sanders '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 5 9 6 9 10 7 7 11 6 9 9 88 Calum Finlayson '17
Elsa Felgar '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 8 6 9 8 9 9 10 10 7 7 8 91 Oliver Kunz '15
Neda Kasraee '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 9 8 10 11 113 Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon '14
Lisa Luciano '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins DNS 10 10 10 8 10 9 12 12 12 12 118 Kimberly Alcorn '15 [1-11]
Alexander Daniele '18 [1-6]
Shad Othman '15 [7-11]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 8 11 11 7 119 Daniel Baldassare '15 [1-5]
Alexandra Bischak '15 [6-11]
Connor Bockman '15 [1-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 1 4 5 2 2 1 3 2 1 25 Kristopher Swanson '18
Danielle Erjavec '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 1 3 3 4 1 7 3 2 1 4 30 Tyler Webb '15
Anna Rubino '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 3 4 2 2 3 3 2 1 4 6 33 John Coakley '16
Paul Chyz '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 7 6 5 1 1 5 1 6 6 7 5 50 Drake Jensen '18
Cassidy Patton '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 4 4 2 5 8 6 5 5 9 3 7 58 Geoffrey Brelsford '18
Haley Weber '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 5 5 7 7 3 7 8 4 7 9 2 64 Olivia Gebelein '15
Nicole Bosetti '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 6 7 6 8 6 4 4 7 5 6 8 67 Brett Farrell '17
Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 8 10 9 6 7 8 9 9 11 10 10 97 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Alexander Heide '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 9 8 9 10 9 6 10 8 11 9 98 Joseph Lausten '18
Alison Gillum '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 11 11 11 11 11 11 DNS 8 4 5 3 99 Peter Wong '18
Caroline Carney '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 8 10 10 9 10 10 12 10 12 11 112 Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-6]
Max Nutkiewicz '15 [7-11]
Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-6]
Marina Lindsay '17 [7-11]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 12 12 12 12 12 DNS 11 12 8 12 128 Alex Bush '15 [1-5]
Eric Cibit '15 [6-11]
William Emberley '16 [1-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 233333333333
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777777
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3371371371371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies471471471471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2828282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313131313131

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 233333333333
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777777
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3371371371371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies471471471471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2828282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313131313131
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Greg Kushnir '18 Tarra Sanders '18
Mustang 1 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Oliver Kunz '15 Neda Kasraee '18
Mustang 2 Joseph Lausten '18 Alison Gillum '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Kyle Larsen '18 Jackson Pentith '17
Keelhaulers Drake Jensen '18 Cassidy Patton '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Mark Ryan '15 Nicholas Santos '15
49ers Tyler Webb '15 Anna Rubino '16
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Daniel Baldassare '15 [1-5]
Alexandra Bischak '15 [6-11]		 Connor Bockman '15 [1-5]
Aggies Alex Bush '15 [1-5]
Eric Cibit '15 [6-11]		 William Emberley '16 [1-5]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Kimberly Alcorn '15 [1-11] Alexander Daniele '18 [1-6]
Shad Othman '15 [7-11]
Bruins Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-6]
Max Nutkiewicz '15 [7-11]		 Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-6]
Marina Lindsay '17 [7-11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 Cheyenne Wright '16
Tritons 1 Brett Farrell '17 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Calum Finlayson '17 Elsa Felgar '16
Tritons 2 Samuel Rohrbach '17 Alexander Heide '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Stephen Long '17 Alexandria Ivory '18
Gauchos Kristopher Swanson '18 Danielle Erjavec '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 Hope Modugno '18
Trojans 1 John Coakley '16 Paul Chyz '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Hollis Barth '16
Trojans 2 Olivia Gebelein '15 Nicole Bosetti '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon '14 Lisa Luciano '18
Trojans 3 Peter Wong '18 Caroline Carney '16

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From W (263°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →