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Donaghy Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 8 10 18
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 25 12 37
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 27 22 49
4 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 25 33 58
5 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 32 33 65
6 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 30 37 67
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 50 49 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8 Franco Bilik '18
Henry Sharpe '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 3 2 4 4 6 5 1 25 Thomas Pluchino '18
Amanda Balbi '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 5 2 2 2 2 6 25 Matthew Gibbs '17
Matthew Griswold '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 6 3 6 3 4 3 27 Haley Kachmar '18
Olivia Liebnick '16
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 5 4 5 5 4 3 4 30 Noah Brayer '18 [1-7]
Beatrice Genco '17 [1-4]
Jenna Careri '17 [5-7]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 4 3 6 3 5 6 5 32 Kimberly Jackman '16
Melissa Conway '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 7 DNS 7 7 7 7 7 50 Christopher Baker '16
Charles Zizza '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 10 Macklin Fluehr '17
Abigayle Konys '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 12 Sam Rush '19
Ellis Havelock '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 3 3 2 3 3 4 22 Sam Simonds '19
Elaina Lambright '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 3 6 4 4 6 4 6 33 Corie Fay '16
Alexandra Rice '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 33 Marina Merchant '18 [1-7]
Brianne Giambagno '18 [1-2, 5-7]
Hope Murray '17 [3-4]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 6 5 6 6 5 6 3 37 Molly Gallagher '17 [1-7]
Jenna Careri '17 [1-2]
Victoria Brandley '19 [3-7]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 49 Jonathan Huzil '17
Christian Hoofman '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears16161818202022
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 119192121161618
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 220202222171719
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels17171919212116
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats18182020222217
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst21211616181820
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams22221717191921

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears17171919212116
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 120202222171719
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 221211616181820
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels18182020222217
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats19192121161618
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst22221717191921
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161818202022

Conditions — 09/20/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From N (349°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →