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Pere Marquette

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 19 14 33
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 26 18 44
3 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 19 42 61
4 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 34 29 63
5 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 34 30 64
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 31 33 64
7 Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 34 45 79
8 Marquette University Marquette University MU White 39 46 85
9 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 43 42 85
10 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 62 27 89
11 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 45 65 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 2 4 5 2 4 19 Jacob Siegel '19
Soren Hughes '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 4 3 2 4 4 2 19 Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-4]
Michael Valverde '18 [5-6]
Maya Smith '19 [1-4]
Jessica Faragher '19 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 5 6 7 6 26 Noah Janssen '19
Tyler Leach '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 6 5 BKD BKD 5 5 31 Eric Villadsen '17
Ryan Sigurdson '18
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 3 4 RAF 3 9 3 34 Ian Schappe '16 [1-6]
Max Spehlmann '17 [1-2]
Paul Dunham '17 [3-6]
Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 8 9 7 8 1 1 34 Mason Chrabaszcz '18
Colleen Fessler '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 9 7 3 2 6 7 34 Brenden Jacobs '16
Jean-Philippe Backman '18
Marquette University Marquette University MU White 7 8 6 7 3 8 39 Conor Daniel Claflin '17 [1-2]
Ryan Clulo '18 [3-6]
Alexander Dawson '18 [1-2]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 10 11 1 1 10 10 43 Skyler Hughes '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Patrick Power '15 [3-4]
Jacob Hoyt '17 [1-2]
Molly Lafave '19 [3-4]
Helen Carey '18 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 5 6 8 9 8 9 45 Andre Deriaz '18
Aaron Stange '19
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 11 10 9 10 11 11 62 Noah Vodisek '17 [1-6]
Jordyn Noennig '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brett Hutchinson '19 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 14 Ari Tessitore '17
Alexander Campbell '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 10 1 2 3 18 Elliot Busta '15
Chris Haisch '19
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 6 5 4 5 3 4 27 Susie Voltz '19 [1-2]
John Schmidt '18 [3-6]
Brett Hutchinson '19 [1-2]
Susie Voltz '19 [3-6]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 3 4 9 7 1 5 29 Taylor Valentor '16 [1-6]
No Show [1-2]
Brian Waddell '16 [3-6]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters BKD BKD 7 6 6 1 30 Charles Koules '17 [1-4]
Alexander O'Grady '17 [5-6]
Celia Woldt '18 [1-4]
Laura Woldt '18 [5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 5 8 6 3 5 6 33 John O'Leary '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cailin Oakes '18 [3-4]
Julia Sachs '19 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8 7 3 4 10 10 42 Maloney Foster '18 [1-2]
Colleen Wiechart '19 [3-4]
Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [5-6]
Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2]
Colleen King '16 [3-4]
Maloney Foster '18 [5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 DNF 3 1 10 7 9 42 Michael Adkins '17 [1-6]
Bailey Adkins '19 [1-4]
Ce Chen '16 [5-6]
Marquette University Marquette University MU Blue 4 DNF 5 8 9 7 45 Learon Mcginn '19
Evan Boutelle '19
Marquette University Marquette University MU White 7 6 8 9 8 8 46 Patrick Barry '17 [1-6]
Matthew Leiser '18 [1-2]
Grant Younger '18 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 9 DNF 11 11 11 11 65 Brittni Begale '16
Ben Scotty '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames88555151
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters111111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU Blue448855
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU White11113838
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1111138385252
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 25551518181
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish3838525241624162
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1818111
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2416241624488
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 15151818111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 252524162416244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames111138385252
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters448855
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU Blue11113838
Marquette UniversityMarquette University MU White88555151
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 15551518181
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 23838525241624162
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish5151818111
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1416241624488
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2111111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 152524162416244
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2818111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Ian Schappe '16 [1-6] Max Spehlmann '17 [1-2]
Paul Dunham '17 [3-6]
Foresters Charles Koules '17 [1-4]
Alexander O'Grady '17 [5-6]		 Celia Woldt '18 [1-4]
Laura Woldt '18 [5-6]
Marquette University Marquette University Mason Chrabaszcz '18 Colleen Fessler '16
MU Blue Learon Mcginn '19 Evan Boutelle '19
Marquette University Marquette University Conor Daniel Claflin '17 [1-2]
Ryan Clulo '18 [3-6]		 Alexander Dawson '18 [1-2]
MU White Patrick Barry '17 [1-6] Matthew Leiser '18 [1-2]
Grant Younger '18 [3-6]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Brenden Jacobs '16 Jean-Philippe Backman '18
Flames Taylor Valentor '16 [1-6] No Show [1-2]
Brian Waddell '16 [3-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-4]
Michael Valverde '18 [5-6]		 Maya Smith '19 [1-4]
Jessica Faragher '19 [5-6]
Gophers 1 Michael Adkins '17 [1-6] Bailey Adkins '19 [1-4]
Ce Chen '16 [5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Eric Villadsen '17 Ryan Sigurdson '18
Gophers 2 John O'Leary '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cailin Oakes '18 [3-4]		 Julia Sachs '19 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Skyler Hughes '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Patrick Power '15 [3-4]		 Jacob Hoyt '17 [1-2]
Molly Lafave '19 [3-4]
Helen Carey '18 [5-6]
Fighting Irish Maloney Foster '18 [1-2]
Colleen Wiechart '19 [3-4]
Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [5-6]		 Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2]
Colleen King '16 [3-4]
Maloney Foster '18 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Noah Janssen '19 Tyler Leach '18
Badgers 1 Elliot Busta '15 Chris Haisch '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Jacob Siegel '19 Soren Hughes '18
Badgers 2 Ari Tessitore '17 Alexander Campbell '19
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Andre Deriaz '18 Aaron Stange '19
Panthers 1 Brittni Begale '16 Ben Scotty '19
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Noah Vodisek '17 [1-6] Jordyn Noennig '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brett Hutchinson '19 [3-4]
Panthers 2 Susie Voltz '19 [1-2]
John Schmidt '18 [3-6]		 Brett Hutchinson '19 [1-2]
Susie Voltz '19 [3-6]

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1033.0 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From E (90°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1033.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 22 kn · NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Marquette: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →