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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 93
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 99
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 135
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 137
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 142
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 149
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 157
8 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 206
9 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 241
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 A 6 1 3 1 5 5 3 6 30 Anna Huebschmann '18
Irene Dobbs '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 2 4 6 15 1 2 4 11 45 Daniel Lawless '17
Anna Palmer '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 B 1 5 5 2 10 13 10 3 49 Audrey Franchett '17
Jessica Resnick '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 A 7 9 11 5 8 3 6 5 54 Michael Sanandajian '18
Darby Capellin '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 11 6 2 4 9 6 14 2 54 Stephan Verhulst '19
Benjamin Tino '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 16 8 4 3 3 1 1 DNF 55 Samuel Armington '18 [1-8]
Jasmine Dahlby '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachel Daye '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 B 3 3 10 12 13 9 5 8 63 Matthew Peterson '18
Aliki Fornier '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 A 17 2 RDG 9 2 12 15 1 66 Joseph Bello '18
Miosotys Felipe '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 A 10 7 8 7 7 10 11 7 67 Sara Simon '15
Tiffany Nicholson '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 B 8 14 7 8 11 4 13 4 69 Dylan Hancock '19
Audrey Scanlon '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 B 14 10 1 6 6 17 9 12 75 Kelly Stukbauer '19
Megan Hostetter '19
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 5 15 15 10 4 15 8 10 82 Aaron Burnett '19
Katie Freeley '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 4 17 12 16 15 18 2 13 97 Brandon Buonaiuto '17 [1-4]
Max Thompson '19 [5-8]
Michael Stone '19 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 A 9 13 13 13 17 11 7 17 100 Heidi Carlson '16
Kim Kusminsky '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 B 15 11 16 17 12 7 16 9 103 Orrin Starr '19
Isabella Uribe '18
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles B 13 12 14 11 16 8 18 15 107 No Show
Caitlin Clark '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 12 18 9 14 14 16 12 14 109 Jacob Dannin '18 [1-7]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [8]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-7]
Jacob Dannin '18 [8]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles A 18 16 17 18 18 14 17 16 134 Ryan Clarke '16
Trevor Johnson '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2221118181717
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33445566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44332211
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66554433
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 17788991010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 288776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 399101011111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11010998877
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 21111121213131414
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles12121111101099
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1414131312121111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1313141415151616
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1515161617171818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 11616151514141313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2171718181122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 31818171716161515

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From W (278°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1014.1 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Eckerd: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.43 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →