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Atlantic Coast Tournament

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 163
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 166
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 281
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 296
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 297
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 303
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 305
8 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 366
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 9 1 3 11 1 10 5 1 5 5 4 3 1 2 6 4 71 Andrew Schoene '18 [1-16]
Sage Morgan '18 [1-8, 11-16]
Darcy Curwen '21 [9-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 1 8 8 1 5 1 1 4 1 2 5 6 5 14 8 8 78 Andrew Baird '18
Darby Capellin '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 5 6 9 2 4 3 7 7 7 1 8 8 6 8 1 3 85 Michael Sanandajian '18
Rachel Daye '18
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 6 7 4 6 10 2 4 5 4 12 2 7 7 5 9 2 92 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Hannah Sellers '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 3 2 7 5 8 8 3 2 8 4 3 2 3 4 DSQ 16 95 Geoffrey Nelson '18 [1-16]
Samantha Pynchon '20 [1-4, 9, 11-16]
Virginia Kilbourne '20 [5-8]
Evan Langford '21 [10]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 10 4 1 9 2 11 6 3 14 13 10 1 9 9 4 12 118 Max Thompson '19
Kaitlyn Delisser '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 4 3 10 16 6 6 11 16 12 3 12 13 2 3 2 1 120 Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-16]
Tanner Probst '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Dana Hackett '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-16]
Greta Morrissette '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 11 5 6 8 14 7 10 15 3 10 7 4 13 6 3 6 128 Christos Karplus '21 [1-16]
Megan Laurie '20 [1-6, 11-16]
Thomas Dunn '21 [7-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 2 13 14 12 13 4 2 12 2 11 6 9 10 7 11 5 133 Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-16]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-10]
Michelle Frias '21 [11-16]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 7 10 2 3 3 5 15 9 10 6 11 10 11 12 13 15 142 David Beaudry '20 [1-4, 11-16]
Jack Famiglietti '18 [5-10]
Katie Dodge '18 [1-4, 11-16]
Taylor Brunsvold '21 [5-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 8 14 11 4 12 12 12 10 6 9 1 11 8 11 14 10 153 Alexander Bowen '20 [1-16]
Sydney Clays '21 [1-6, 11-14]
Sergio Gratta '18 [7-10, 15-16]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 16 11 12 14 15 9 14 6 13 7 13 5 4 1 12 11 163 Jennifer Killian '19 [1-2, 5-16]
Bridget Lawless '21 [3-4]
Madeline Lark '20 [1-2, 5-16]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 12 9 15 7 11 14 13 11 15 16 9 15 12 10 7 9 185 Keen Butcher '18 [1-16]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-12]
Greta Morrissette '21 [13-16]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 13 12 13 13 7 13 8 13 9 14 15 14 14 15 5 7 185 Andrew Scotti '20
Geoffrey Calderone '18
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 15 16 5 10 16 16 9 14 11 15 14 12 15 13 10 14 205 Isabella Lemole '20 [1-2, 9-10, 13-14]
Mitchell Powell '20 [3-6, 11-12, 15-16]
Kurban Ali '21 [7-8]
Kurban Ali '21 [1-4, 9-16]
Isabella Lemole '20 [5-6]
Mitchell Powell '20 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 14 15 16 15 9 15 16 8 16 8 16 16 16 16 15 13 224 Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-4, 11-16]
Samuel Armington '18 [5-10]
Taylor Brunsvold '21 [1-4, 11-16]
Katie Dodge '18 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1122334455667788
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5566778899101011111212
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles2211161615151414131312121111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers334455667788991010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66554433221116161515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers77889910101111121213131414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks443322111616151514141313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8877665544332211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons991010111112121313141415151616
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators131314141515161611223344
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles101099887766554433
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1111121213131414151516161122
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141313121211111010998877
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616112233445566
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212111110109988776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312121111101099
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Geoffrey Nelson '18 [1-16] Samantha Pynchon '20 [1-4, 9, 11-16]
Virginia Kilbourne '20 [5-8]
Evan Langford '21 [10]
Tritons Andrew Schoene '18 [1-16] Sage Morgan '18 [1-8, 11-16]
Darcy Curwen '21 [9-10]
Florida State University Florida State University Jeffrey Hayden '20 Hannah Sellers '19
Seminoles Isabella Lemole '20 [1-2, 9-10, 13-14]
Mitchell Powell '20 [3-6, 11-12, 15-16]
Kurban Ali '21 [7-8]		 Kurban Ali '21 [1-4, 9-16]
Isabella Lemole '20 [5-6]
Mitchell Powell '20 [7-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Alexander Bowen '20 [1-16] Sydney Clays '21 [1-6, 11-14]
Sergio Gratta '18 [7-10, 15-16]
Buccaneers Christos Karplus '21 [1-16] Megan Laurie '20 [1-6, 11-16]
Thomas Dunn '21 [7-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-16] Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-10]
Michelle Frias '21 [11-16]
Seahawks Jennifer Killian '19 [1-2, 5-16]
Bridget Lawless '21 [3-4]		 Madeline Lark '20 [1-2, 5-16]
University of Florida University of Florida David Beaudry '20 [1-4, 11-16]
Jack Famiglietti '18 [5-10]		 Katie Dodge '18 [1-4, 11-16]
Taylor Brunsvold '21 [5-10]
Gators Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-4, 11-16]
Samuel Armington '18 [5-10]		 Taylor Brunsvold '21 [1-4, 11-16]
Katie Dodge '18 [5-10]
University of Miami University of Miami Max Thompson '19 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Hurricanes Andrew Scotti '20 Geoffrey Calderone '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Keen Butcher '18 [1-16] Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-12]
Greta Morrissette '21 [13-16]
Quakers Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-16]
Tanner Probst '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Dana Hackett '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-16]
Greta Morrissette '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Michael Sanandajian '18 Rachel Daye '18
Bulls Andrew Baird '18 Darby Capellin '19

Conditions — 11/11/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From ENE (60°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn · NE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →