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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 20 17 37
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 24 23 47
3 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 17 32 49
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 34 36 70
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 30 40 70
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 53 34 87
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 50 54 104
8 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 60 52 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 2 3 4 2 2 1 2 1 17 Forrest Short '17 [1-8]
Michael Coyle '20 [1-2]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [3-4]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [5-6]
Weston Luke '20 [7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 2 2 3 4 2 4 2 20 Alexander Thompson '18
Hannah Barlow '20
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 5 4 1 1 3 6 1 3 24 Harris Cram '19 [1-2]
James Mcavoy '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Caelan Watts '21 [5-6]
Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Lily Zechiel '21 [3-4]
Katherine Robinson '19 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 4 1 3 4 5 3 3 7 30 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8]
Trenton Seely '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Earnshaw '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 3 5 6 5 1 4 5 5 34 Clementine Furber '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Byrnes '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-2, 5-6]
William Hoover '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 6 6 5 8 6 5 6 8 50 Emily Verdoia '20 [1-8]
Arosh Chaudhari '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Young '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 4 53 Aaron Comen '18 [1-8]
Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 8 8 8 6 8 8 8 6 60 Corey Staph '19
Sadie Swindall '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 2 4 1 2 4 1 1 17 Dean Bethel '19
Hayden Montoya '21
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 1 1 2 6 3 1 7 2 23 David Graf '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Malcolm Kriegel '18 [3-4]
Mary Berg '20 [5-6]
Kate Lenhard '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Erbrick '21 [3-4]
Elizabeth Lansdowne '18 [5-6]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 5 3 6 5 1 2 2 8 32 Shelby Thornton '19 [1-4]
Emma Cooledge '20 [5-8]
Weston Luke '20 [1-2]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Shelby Thornton '19 [5-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 3 7 1 3 6 8 3 3 34 Gabriella Wong '20 [1-2, 5-6]
George Walters '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 6 4 3 4 5 5 5 4 36 Sean Tichenor '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Alanna Austin '21 [3-4]
Jessica Andres '20 [5-6]
Jack Bishop '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Jason Lynn-Framm '21 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 4 5 5 2 8 3 6 7 40 Carson Pepper '17 [1-8]
Jette Polasek '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 8 6 7 7 4 7 8 5 52 Charles Larrouilh '21
Josiah Doty '20
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 7 8 8 8 7 6 4 6 54 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas77993355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 188114466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 299335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies11446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 133557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 244668811
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 155779933
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 266881144

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas88114466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 199335577
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 211446688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies33557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 144668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 255779933
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 166881144
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 277993355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8] Trenton Seely '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Earnshaw '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Aggies Carson Pepper '17 [1-8] Jette Polasek '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Alexander Thompson '18 Hannah Barlow '20
Aggies 1 Dean Bethel '19 Hayden Montoya '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Corey Staph '19 Sadie Swindall '21
Aggies 2 Charles Larrouilh '21 Josiah Doty '20
Tulane University Tulane University Harris Cram '19 [1-2]
James Mcavoy '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Caelan Watts '21 [5-6]
Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Lily Zechiel '21 [3-4]
Katherine Robinson '19 [5-6]
Green Wave 1 David Graf '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Malcolm Kriegel '18 [3-4]
Mary Berg '20 [5-6]
Kate Lenhard '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Erbrick '21 [3-4]
Elizabeth Lansdowne '18 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Clementine Furber '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Byrnes '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-2, 5-6]
William Hoover '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Green Wave 2 Sean Tichenor '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Alanna Austin '21 [3-4]
Jessica Andres '20 [5-6]
Jack Bishop '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Jason Lynn-Framm '21 [5-6]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Forrest Short '17 [1-8] Michael Coyle '20 [1-2]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [3-4]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [5-6]
Weston Luke '20 [7-8]
North Texas Shelby Thornton '19 [1-4]
Emma Cooledge '20 [5-8]
Weston Luke '20 [1-2]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Shelby Thornton '19 [5-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Emily Verdoia '20 [1-8] Arosh Chaudhari '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Young '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 1 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Aaron Comen '18 [1-8] Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Gabriella Wong '20 [1-2, 5-6]
George Walters '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 11/11/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From ENE (60°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1021.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →