Navigate

Fairifeld Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 21 33
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 28 16 44
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 46 18 64
4 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 43 32 75
5 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 36 42 78
6 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 60 48 108
7 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 46 71 117
8 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 63 54 117
9 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 63 60 123
10 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 64 82 146
11 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 71 76 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 1 12 Andrew Savage '19
Kahler Newsham '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 3 3 1 11 1 2 28 Ben Crosby '20
Hunter Jensen '21
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 2 6 2 7 4 7 5 3 36 Lillian Vincens '19
Lilliana Delmonico '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 5 8 5 4 5 4 8 4 43 Timothy Burns '22
Austin Schofield '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 4 DNF 9 2 2 DNS 46 Anthony Root '22
Zachary Steuer '21
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 8 7 6 2 2 10 6 5 46 Brian Hayes '21
Wynn Simmons '21
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 10 9 7 6 8 3 11 6 60 Andrew Reynolds '19
Victoria Kyle '20
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 5 11 9 7 5 10 9 63 Noah Adams Tyshynski '21
Sam Lowery '23
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 11 10 8 8 6 6 7 7 63 Jonathan Schwartz '21
Kathleen Wells '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 9 11 9 5 10 8 4 8 64 Isabel Rombult '19
Page Veaze '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 4 10 DNF 11 9 9 10 71 Nick Jaczko '19
Erich Wu '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 3 2 2 1 2 3 2 16 Elliott Gear '21
Nathan Van Buren '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks RDG 4 3 1 2 1 2 3 18 Alex Bowdler '22
Chase Guard '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 1 4 4 7 1 1 21 Evan Robison '21
Kristina Puzak '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 6 5 3 3 3 5 4 32 Griffin Brayer '20
Eric Adams '21
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 2 4 8 6 5 7 5 42 Davis Doherty '19
Christopher Connolly '20
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 4 5 8 7 5 6 6 7 48 John Holt '22
Kathryn Dechambeau '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 8 6 5 8 8 4 9 54 Jacob Asher '21
Allison Rice '23
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 7 7 6 7 11 8 6 60 Finn Bascio '23
Alex Marley '22
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 7 DSQ 9 11 10 4 10 8 71 Graham Hughes '20
Liam Mcginley '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 9 9 11 9 9 9 9 11 76 Acadia Hegedus '22
Benjamin Dohan '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 10 10 10 10 11 10 11 10 82 Abbey Rogers '21
Melanie Muzyka '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1010101212121414
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1616161818182020
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1111111313131515
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1212121414141616
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1313131515151717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414141616161818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515151717171919
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1717171919191010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818182020201111
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1919191010101212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs2020201111111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1111111313131515
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1717171919191010
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1212121414141616
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1313131515151717
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1414141616161818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1515151717171919
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616161818182020
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1818182020201111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1919191010101212
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards2020201111111313
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1010101212121414

Conditions — 10/20/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1004.6 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1004.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · NW 15 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairfield: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Fairfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →