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SAISA Fall Women's Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 14 25 39
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 30 27 57
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 28 34 62
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 53 41 94
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 52 52 104
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 75 63 138
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 87 53 140
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 68 91 159
9 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 68 96 164
10 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 95 90 185
11 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 89 115 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 14 Alie Toppa '20
Annabel Carrington '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 2 1 5 3 1 3 5 3 28 Marina Barzaghi '21
Darby Capellin '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 7 3 4 1 2 4 2 4 1 30 Charlotte Rose '22
Gigi Arias '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 5 7 6 3 5 7 7 2 5 52 Carrie Marshall '21
Madison Carroll '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 3 9 5 6 6 6 4 3 7 53 Ainsley Parramore '20 [1-10]
Delphine Carroll '19 [1-6]
Jackie Morrison '23 [7-10]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 9 4 7 9 4 9 6 9 4 68 Sarah Deloach '21
Grace O'Hare '22
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 8 6 3 4 11 3 8 7 9 68 Allison Chenard '19
Amanda Heckler '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 6 10 8 8 10 8 5 6 8 75 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 10 8 11 10 8 5 10 8 6 87 Olivia Keefe '21
Gracie Gigliotti '20
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 10 4 5 9 11 9 10 11 BKD 11 89 Victoria Newberry '20
Katherine Richardson '19
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 RAF 11 10 7 7 11 9 10 10 95 Teagan Walsh '20
Corinne Keogh '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 5 2 4 2 1 2 2 1 5 25 Liza Toppa '20
Caroline Bracken '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 7 3 1 3 3 1 1 3 2 27 Paula Resto '20 [1-10]
Madison Reynolds '21 [1-6]
Shaynah True '19 [7-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 4 5 1 2 3 3 2 6 34 Kathryn Bornarth '21
Rachel Yannelli '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 4 5 2 6 4 4 6 5 1 41 Margaret Maccormack '21
Rebekah Woodburn '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 2 6 6 4 5 6 4 6 7 52 Jenn Casey '20
Hannah Oswalt '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 9 1 3 10 6 5 7 4 3 53 Leah Harper '22 [1-6]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [7-10]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [1-6]
Grace Harden '22 [7-10]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 1 9 9 5 7 7 5 7 4 63 Darby Reddaway '19
Hannah Gersch '19
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 10 8 DNF 10 8 9 9 8 8 8 90 Samantha Capozzi '21
Rose Nadler '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 3 8 7 7 10 DNS DNF DNF DNF 91 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Kate Maner '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 10 7 8 DNF 8 8 DNF DNF DNF 96 Keara Paquette '21
Kate Karger '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 DNF DNF 11 9 DNF DNS DNF DNF DNF 115 Anneliese Carlson '21 [1-10]
Baxter Barrett '20 [1-4]
Olivia Gregg '22 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2233445566
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers1122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons3344556677
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88991010111111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4455667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins5566778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes99101011111122
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack667788991010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars77889910101111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks10101111112233
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111111223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars14141515161617171818
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers13131414151516161717
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons15151616171718181919
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs20202121222223231313
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets16161717181819192020
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins17171818191920202121
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes21212222232313131414
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack18181919202021212222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars19192020212122222323
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks22222323131314141515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls23231313141415151616

Conditions — 10/27/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine7.8 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1012.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →