SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 10 21
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 14 12 26
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 30 21 51
4 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 27 34 61
5 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 45 27 72
6 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 35 40 75
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 42 38 80
8 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 38 47 85
9 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 53 45 98
10 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 39 63 102
11 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 64 60 124
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 2 2 2 2 2 11 Scott Harris '22
Olivia Gregg '22
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 4 3 1 1 1 14 Ryan Ratliffe '21
Emmi Triplett '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 6 1 7 5 3 27 Allison Chenard '19
Patrick Wickson '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 1 6 4 6 6 30 Theodore Goldenberg '23 [1-6]
Liam Ordner '23 [1-4]
William Buxton '23 [5-6]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 9 8 4 6 4 4 35 Matthew Sparacio '22 [1-2]
Ryan Travers '23 [3-6]
Josephine Levy '22 [1-2]
Catherine Carpenter '23 [3-6]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 3 3 7 8 7 10 38 Carolina Cassedy '22 [1-6]
Christine Catherman '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Katie Cassedy '20 [4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 5 DNF DNF 3 5 39 Harrison Reisinger '22 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 9 8 3 8 8 42 Walker Mullin '23
Matthew Conder '23
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 8 10 5 5 10 7 45 Thompson Betts '20
Eleanor Christianson '23
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 7 9 9 9 9 53 Robert Williams '21
David Robertson '21
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 11 11 10 10 11 11 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 1 2 2 2 2 10 Adam Larson '24 [1-6]
Robert Dubman '21 [1-4]
Weatherley Tripp '23 [5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 4 1 1 1 1 12 Jack Howard '23
Elizabeth Dipietro '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 2 5 3 3 6 21 Trevor Honeycutt '23
Matthew Dalton '20
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 3 5 4 4 8 3 27 Matthew Chenard '21 [1-6]
Phoebe Flaherty '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Emma Johnson '23 [4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 6 3 5 7 5 34 Amanda Heckler '21
Noah Pierzchajlo '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 9 6 7 6 4 38 Brandon Westerfield '22
Jacqueline Hanna '23
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 5 3 10 10 4 8 40 Benjamin Folds '20 [1-2]
Cameron Sechrist '22 [3-6]
Haley Smith '22 [1-2]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 8 7 6 5 9 45 Drew Davey '22 [1-6]
Jacob Stasiewicz '22 [1-2]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-6]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 7 8 9 9 7 47 Josh Gohlke '21 [1-3, 5-6]
Maya Lytje '23 [4]
Benjamin Rubin '23 [1-3, 5-6]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 9 11 9 8 11 DNF 60
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 11 10 11 11 10 10 63 Greg Farrell '21 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars224466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers113355
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats335577
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils446688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs77991111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557799
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels88101011
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66881010
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers10101133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99111122
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons11112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224466
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats446688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils557799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88101011
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66881010
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels99111122
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77991111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers11112244
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks10101133
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Walker Mullin '23 Matthew Conder '23
Tigers Brandon Westerfield '22 Jacqueline Hanna '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Ryan Ratliffe '21 Emmi Triplett '23
Cougars Jack Howard '23 Elizabeth Dipietro '23
Duke University Duke University Carolina Cassedy '22 [1-6] Christine Catherman '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Katie Cassedy '20 [4]
Blue Devils Josh Gohlke '21 [1-3, 5-6]
Maya Lytje '23 [4]
Benjamin Rubin '23 [1-3, 5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Theodore Goldenberg '23 [1-6] Liam Ordner '23 [1-4]
William Buxton '23 [5-6]
Yellow Jackets Trevor Honeycutt '23 Matthew Dalton '20
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Scott Harris '22 Olivia Gregg '22
Wolfpack Adam Larson '24 [1-6] Robert Dubman '21 [1-4]
Weatherley Tripp '23 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Allison Chenard '19 Patrick Wickson '22
Bulldogs Amanda Heckler '21 Noah Pierzchajlo '21
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Thompson Betts '20 Eleanor Christianson '23
Tar Heels Matthew Chenard '21 [1-6] Phoebe Flaherty '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Emma Johnson '23 [4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Robert Williams '21 David Robertson '21
Seahawks Drew Davey '22 [1-6] Jacob Stasiewicz '22 [1-2]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Harrison Reisinger '22 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Volunteers Greg Farrell '21 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Matthew Sparacio '22 [1-2]
Ryan Travers '23 [3-6]
Josephine Levy '22 [1-2]
Catherine Carpenter '23 [3-6]
Demon Deacons Benjamin Folds '20 [1-2]
Cameron Sechrist '22 [3-6]
Haley Smith '22 [1-2]

Conditions — 09/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.36 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →