KP Women's Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 72
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 75
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 101
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 119
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 149
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 202
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 227
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 6 2 3 3 5 2 1 1 1 24 Bridget Green '25
Jana Laurendeau '23
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 1 4 4 4 3 3 6 8 2 35 Ella Withington '22
Sarah Smith '22
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 3 3 5 6 2 5 8 5 3 40 Camille Mcgriff '22
Anna Mcbride '24
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 2 7 6 5 9 4 4 3 4 44 Clara Guarascio '22
Eva Leggett '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 5 1 12 7 4 1 5 6 7 48 Brooke Shachoy '22 [1-9]
Emily O'Connell '24 [1-2]
Amelia Neumann '25 [3-9]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 4 9 2 1 6 9 3 11 5 50 Torrey Chisari '24
Claire Dubois '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 10 5 1 8 1 7 9 2 8 51 Amanda Majernik '22
Amelia Popp '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 8 11 10 11 7 10 2 9 6 74 Elizabeth Cutler '24
Mariana Carta '23
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 9 8 8 2 14 6 13 4 11 75 Caroline Sandoval '23
Rebecca Keller '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 7 10 7 9 8 8 7 10 9 75 Marleigh Henehan '25
Rebecca Runyan '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 13 6 9 10 10 12 10 7 10 87 Sunrae Sturmer '23
Brooke Crowley '25
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves A 12 14 11 12 12 11 11 12 12 107 Kristin Hess '22
Mallory Reading '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 11 13 14 13 13 13 12 13 13 115 Laura Smith '25
Rachel Beisswenger '22
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves B 14 12 13 14 11 14 14 14 14 120 Jessica Schaefer '23 [1-9]
Morgan Bittmann '24 [1-7]
Cassidy Mullin '23 [8-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red112233445
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22111414131312
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen334455667
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners665544332
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers4433221114
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers778899101011
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves556677889

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red887766554
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams9910101111121213
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988776
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313141411223
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111212131314141
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141413131212111110
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves121211111010998

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · SW 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →