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Cascadia Cup Gold College

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 3 4 7
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 6 11
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 7 13 20
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 16 4 20
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 10 11 21
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 14 22
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 17 8 25
8 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 17 12 29
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 18 32
10 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 13 20 33
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 1 3 Emily Smith '25
Maya Outhred '24
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 5 Clay Myers '25
Charles Bedford '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 4 3 7 Kira Blumhagen '24
Ella Barnard '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 6 2 8 Benjamin Luu '26
Grace Smith '24
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 7 10 Dale Whitmore '24 [1]
Maclain Walsworth '28 [2]
Anna Schroeder '23 [1]
Nathan Reinheimer '26 [2]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 8 13 Eloise Glickman '24
Benjamin Nelson '23
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 9 5 14 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 10 6 16 Zach Thompson '23
Nicole Eastman '23
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 7 10 17 Nikolo Vo '23
Annika Phillips '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 9 17 Tyler Nolasco '23
Eddie Nosal '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers7575
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28282

Division B

Team1B2B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers7575
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28282

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1014.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn · NE 2 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →