Chesapeake Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 161
2 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 200
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 231
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 313
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 442
6 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 534
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 10 2 7 3 2 1 5 4 1 7 3 45 Mariner Fagan '24
Emily Panarella '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas C 1 10 1 4 1 5 4 7 7 6 4 50 Mateo Di Blasi '25
Addi Harris '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 5 1 3 6 10 4 2 3 13 3 2 52 Noyl Odom '24
Asianna Acosta '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 12 3 6 8 7 3 6 1 3 1 5 55 Cooper Walshe '25
Ellie Alex '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 6 9 8 1 4 2 3 12 6 8 7 66 Diego Escobar '25
Marguerite Montagner '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs C 9 4 2 5 5 6 8 5 11 2 11 68 Diogo Silva '26
Lindsey Kaufmann '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 3 11 14 2 3 9 1 2 10 4 13 72 Nathan Smith '26
Julia Christie '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 2 15 9 7 8 8 10 6 2 5 8 80 Parker Purrington '24
Grace Wright '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 4 5 5 10 6 12 14 9 5 10 14 94 Owen Hennessey '25 [1-5]
Jonathan Weed '26 [6-11]
Zoe Hoctor '25 [1-5]
Elizabeth Crane '26 [6-11]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 11 6 10 9 9 11 9 10 8 11 6 100 Felix Cutler '26
Brooke Bertrand '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen C 7 13 4 11 12 7 13 8 14 14 1 104 Trenton Shaw '24
Ryan Wahba '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks C 8 12 12 12 11 10 7 11 17 9 10 119 Charlie Anderson '25 [1-11]
Elizabeth Crane '26 [1-5]
Zoe Hoctor '25 [6-11]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 13 8 11 14 15 14 11 15 9 13 12 135 Joshua Bendura '26
Sebastian Beavers '26
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains C 15 7 15 13 13 13 12 14 12 18 17 149 Laura Smith '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 16 14 16 15 16 15 17 13 4 17 15 158 Aston Atherton '26
Berend Vandermeer '27
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 17 18 17 18 14 17 16 16 15 16 9 173 Kennedy Jones '24
Laurel Krause '24
Washington College Washington College Shoremen C 14 17 13 16 17 16 18 18 18 12 18 177 Hartley Meyer '25
Connor Cooper '24
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 18 16 18 17 18 18 15 17 16 15 16 184 Matthew Collinson '24
Mia Snyder '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas22222222222
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen55555555555
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs33333333333
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks44444444444
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen66666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains77777777777
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas88888888888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111111111111111111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99999999999
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010101010101010101010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1212121212121212121212

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1313131313131313131313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1414141414141414141414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1717171717171717171717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1515151515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1616161616161616161616
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818181818181818181818

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1015.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · SE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →