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Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 65 65
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 71 71
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 79 79
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 91 91
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 98 98
6 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 112 112
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 121 121
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 122 122
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 128 128
10 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 130 130
11 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 150 150
12 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 152 152
13 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 161 161
14 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 161 161
15 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 161 161
16 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 167 167
17 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 210 210
18 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 216 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 9 8 3 11 9 5 3 1 1 3 2 2 2 6 65 Winborne Majette '27
Sophia Pearce '26
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 7 2 6 3 1 3 4 5 4 1 6 10 12 7 71 Jackson Mcaliley '27
Joshua Zeelander '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 1 5 9 5 9 2 2 13 13 5 6 5 2 79 Beckett Kumler '24
Bella Rabeni '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 6 3 12 10 17 13 1 11 2 5 1 3 3 4 91 Will Murray '24 [1-14]
Valyn Mogensen '26 [1-2, 7-14]
Colin Dubose '25 [3-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 15 4 15 4 2 2 5 4 9 9 4 1 16 8 98 Patrick Dolan '25
Kristen Healy '24
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 3 5 17 13 6 1 6 7 14 6 3 17 9 5 112 Spencer Barnes '24
Shawn Tirone '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 5 12 7 8 7 7 14 10 3 7 15 5 11 10 121 Javier Garcon '25 [1-6]
Benjamin Honig '26 [7-14]
Caroline Friendly '27 [1-6]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 1 15 10 18 10 11 13 6 10 2 8 16 1 1 122 Sophia Devling '26
Amelia Neumann '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 10 6 8 1 15 4 8 12 12 4 9 8 18 13 128 Lars Osell '24
Rey Jacob Alino '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 16 10 2 2 12 8 11 15 5 8 11 4 7 DNS 130 Jack Vanderhorst '27
Ellary Boyd '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 11 11 7 18 14 9 3 11 12 16 18 4 12 150 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26 [1-12]
Thomas Walker '24 [13-14]
Rachel Duggan '25 [1-2, 7-12]
Elijah Goldman '26 [3-6]
Frances Depke '25 [13-14]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 12 7 14 17 13 10 12 9 7 11 14 13 10 3 152 Cole Woodworth '26
Alice Nuyttens '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 8 13 9 5 8 6 16 16 15 16 18 12 8 11 161 Jacob Zils '27 [1-6, 13-14]
Peter Lobaugh '24 [7-12]
Isabela Hillmann '27 [1-6, 13-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 14 14 4 6 3 17 15 14 8 14 12 9 15 16 161 Reed Mcallister '27
Patrick York '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 17 9 1 16 4 15 7 8 17 17 17 11 13 9 161 Jj Klempen '27 [1-10]
Cooper Delbridge '26 [11-12]
Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon '26 [13-14]
Maya Mahoney '27 [1-2, 7-12]
Cooper Delbridge '26 [3-6]
Rachel Duggan '25 [13-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 11 18 13 15 14 12 10 13 6 10 7 7 14 17 167 Jack Merrill '24 [1-12]
Aidan Lane '24 [13-14]
Boris Bialer '26 [1-12]
Wynne Williams '27 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 13 17 16 12 16 18 18 17 18 18 13 14 6 14 210 Ben Hosford '25
Nicholas Cunha '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 18 16 18 14 11 16 17 18 16 15 10 15 17 15 216 Brooks Turcotte '26
Harrison Trout '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 111111122222233
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 222222233333344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 333333344444455
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 144444455555566
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 255555566666677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 366666677777788
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 177777788888899
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 28888889999991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 39999991010101010101111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11313131313131414141414141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 21414141414141515151515151616
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 31515151515151616161616161717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 11010101010101111111111111212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 21111111111111212121212121313
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 31212121212121313131313131414
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 11616161616161717171717171818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 217171717171718181818181811
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 318181818181811111122
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 Sophia Devling '26 Amelia Neumann '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 Winborne Majette '27 Sophia Pearce '26
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 Jack Merrill '24 [1-12]
Aidan Lane '24 [13-14]		 Boris Bialer '26 [1-12]
Wynne Williams '27 [13-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 Patrick Dolan '25 Kristen Healy '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 Beckett Kumler '24 Bella Rabeni '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 Jacob Zils '27 [1-6, 13-14]
Peter Lobaugh '24 [7-12]		 Isabela Hillmann '27 [1-6, 13-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 Will Murray '24 [1-14] Valyn Mogensen '26 [1-2, 7-14]
Colin Dubose '25 [3-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26 [1-12]
Thomas Walker '24 [13-14]		 Rachel Duggan '25 [1-2, 7-12]
Elijah Goldman '26 [3-6]
Frances Depke '25 [13-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 Jj Klempen '27 [1-10]
Cooper Delbridge '26 [11-12]
Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon '26 [13-14]		 Maya Mahoney '27 [1-2, 7-12]
Cooper Delbridge '26 [3-6]
Rachel Duggan '25 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 Spencer Barnes '24 Shawn Tirone '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 Ben Hosford '25 Nicholas Cunha '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 Brooks Turcotte '26 Harrison Trout '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 Jack Vanderhorst '27 Ellary Boyd '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 Lars Osell '24 Rey Jacob Alino '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 Reed Mcallister '27 Patrick York '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 Javier Garcon '25 [1-6]
Benjamin Honig '26 [7-14]		 Caroline Friendly '27 [1-6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 Cole Woodworth '26 Alice Nuyttens '27
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 Jackson Mcaliley '27 Joshua Zeelander '24

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From NNW (326°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →