Spencer Barnes

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded3.11unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)115Fall 2023

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
2.67 (fleet 3.76) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) −0.05 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 21–93 (18%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202443–44—
Spring 202334–21—
Spring 2022311–25—
Spring 202113–3—
22.12.22.32.42.5Spring 2022Spring 2023Spring 2024GW Team Race (2022-03-05): rating 2.15, fleet rating alone 2.16, offset -0.01; record 3-9 in this boatJohn Jackson Memorial Team Race (2022-03-12): rating 2.13, fleet rating alone 2.16, offset -0.03; record 2-6 in this boatAdmiral Moore Team Race (2022-03-26): rating 2.11, fleet rating alone 2.16, offset -0.05; record 6-10 in this boatGW Team Race (2023-03-04): rating 2.14, fleet rating alone 2.20, offset -0.06; record 0-1 in this boatGW Team Race (2023-03-04): rating 2.14, fleet rating alone 2.20, offset -0.06; record 0-4 in this boatJohn Jackson Memorial Team Race Regatta (2023-03-11): rating 2.16, fleet rating alone 2.22, offset -0.07; record 1-6 in this boatAdmiral Moore Open Team Race (2023-03-25): rating 2.14, fleet rating alone 2.21, offset -0.07; record 3-10 in this boatDC Team Race / GW (2024-03-02): rating 2.32, fleet rating alone 2.36, offset -0.04; record 0-8 in this boatSt. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference (2024-03-09): rating 2.32, fleet rating alone 2.37, offset -0.05; record 1-15 in this boatGraham Hall Team Race (2024-03-16): rating 2.32, fleet rating alone 2.37, offset -0.06; record 1-14 in this boatAdmiral Moore Open Team Race (2024-03-23): rating 2.34, fleet rating alone 2.39, offset -0.05; record 1-7 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 11 graded regattas (114 matches) the record is 21–93 against 25.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 6 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-03-23Admiral Moore Open Team Raceskipper2.782.301–71.5−0.490.282%
2024-03-16Graham Hall Team Raceskipper2.763.071–140.8+0.310.155%
2024-03-09St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conferenceskipper2.772.391–151.4−0.380.178%
2024-03-02DC Team Race / GWskipper2.76-0.240–80.4≤−3.000.5>99%
2023-03-25Admiral Moore Open Team Raceskipper2.543.343–101.9+0.800.727%
2023-03-11John Jackson Memorial Team Race Regattaskipper2.642.871–60.9+0.230.079%
2023-03-04GW Team Raceskipper2.58-0.420–50.6≤−3.001.0>99%
2022-03-26Admiral Moore Team Raceskipper2.482.286–106.6−0.200.173%
2022-03-12John Jackson Memorial Team Raceskipper2.601.662–63.2−0.950.894%
2022-03-05GW Team Raceskipper2.571.933–94.3−0.640.689%
2021-04-17MAISA North National Qualifier - Team Raceskipper2.442.043–33.6−0.400.282%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Western Open National Semi-Finals Skipper A 2 17.5 0.36
Vietor Trophy Skipper A 13 3.8 4.02
Truxtun Umstead Regatta Skipper A 10 4.2 4.36
St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference Skipper TR 16 6% —
Graham Hall Team Race Skipper TR 15 7% —
DC Team Race / GW Skipper TR 8 0% —
America Trophy - Conference Championship Skipper A 15 6.1 4.35
Admiral Moore Open Team Race Skipper TR 8 12% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
WAR MEMORIAL Skipper A 12 8.8 3.45
Open Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A Skipper A 14 10.5 3.78
Nevins Trophy Skipper A 10 10.5 3.44
Laser North Singlehanded Skipper A 8 2.8 3.74
Kennedy Cup Keelboat Crew A 3 8.0 —
Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite Skipper A 14 8.0 3.48
Intrepid Trophy - MAISA Match Race Keelboat Crew A 1 4.0 —
Atlantic Coast Tournament Skipper A 14 10.3 3.25
Spring 2023 Team page Season
College Sailing Open Western Semifinal Skipper B 13 7.7 4.22
John Jackson Memorial Team Race Regatta Skipper TR 7 14% —
GW Team Race Skipper TR 5 0% —
America Trophy Skipper B 12 5.2 4.25
Admirals Cup Skipper B 10 11.5 3.20
Admiral Moore Open Team Race Skipper TR 12 25% —
2023 Truxtun Umsted Skipper B 8 5.4 3.81
Fall 2022 Team page Season
War Memorial Skipper B 2 7.0 3.71
Top 9 Open Skipper A 12 7.2 2.42
Open Atlantic Coast Tournament Skipper B 12 7.8 3.58
Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded Skipper A 6 2.0 4.94
Jesuit Invite Skipper A 10 4.6 3.10
Jack Boehringer '52 Memorial Regatta Skipper C 8 10.9 1.48
Carl Van Duyne MAISA Singles Singlehanded Skipper A 14 13.9 1.81
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Navy Spring Regatta Skipper B 6 10.5 2.66
John Jackson Memorial Team Race Skipper TR 7 14% —
GW Team Race Skipper TR 12 25% —
America Trophy - MAISA Open Dinghy Championships Skipper B 13 11.2 2.48
Admirals Cup Skipper B 9 9.0 3.41
Admiral Moore Team Race Skipper TR 16 38% —
Fall 2021 Team page Season
War Memorial Skipper B 4 8.8 3.21
Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded Skipper A 13 9.5 1.98
David Lee Arnoff Trophy Skipper A 12 5.7 3.47
Coed ACC's Round 1A Skipper B 2 17.0 0.65
Cayuga Lake Invite Skipper B 14 10.9 -0.49
Carl Van Duyne Trophy Singlehanded Skipper A 11 13.0 1.99
Spring 2021 Team page Season
Men's Open Singlehanded National Championship Singlehanded Skipper A 14 25.9 2.44
MAISA North National Qualifier - Team Race Skipper TR 6 50% —
MAISA North National Qualifier - Coed Skipper A 1 6.0 —

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ISSA Spencer Barnes St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH '20
ISSA Spencer Barnes Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →