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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 38 24 62
2 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 19 44 63
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 44 35 79
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 63 16 79
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 58 27 85
6 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 35 65 100
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 62 41 103
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 41 63 104
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 73 34 107
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 64 54 118
11 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 67 56 123
12 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 62 63 125
13 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 62 83 145
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 94 65 159
15 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 79 87 166
16 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 102 90 192
17 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 109 90 199
18 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 125 91 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 6 3 1 3 2 1 19 Benton Amthor '23
John Vail '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 11 1 8 2 3 6 35 Jordan Bruce '24
Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 7 8 4 6 1 4 38 Leo Boucher '22
Ellie Sekowski '23
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 2 13 3 1 11 10 41 Noyl Odom '24
Asianna Acosta '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 5 2 11 10 4 3 44 Gavin Mcjones '23
Ellie Alex '26
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 10 16 2 4 7 7 58 Payne Donaldson '24
Kenna Reed '24
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 2 9 7 5 16 9 14 62 Stewart Gurnell '23
Kennedy Jones '24
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 11 8 9 6 13 10 5 62 Tyler Wood '26
Abbie Chipps '25
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 15 3 5 9 15 6 9 62 Will Murray '24
Tess Weber '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 14 16 11 7 5 8 2 63 Mateo Di Blasi '25 [1-2]
Mariner Fagan '24 [3-7]
Caro Gaston '25 [1-2]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 4 10 13 8 12 12 64 Kenneth Corsig '23
Kristen Healy '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 1 4 15 11 18 11 67 Lucas Sawin '25 [1-6]
William Weinbecker '25 [7]
Ellary Boyd '24 [1-6]
Rey Jacob Alino '25 [7]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 15 6 12 12 5 13 73 Hayden Earl '25 [1-6]
Lauren Ehnot '24 [7]
Sophia Fogarty '25 [1-6]
Lucija Ruzevic '24 [7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 13 12 15 10 7 14 8 79 Connor Mraz '23
Nelson Chow '23
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 13 14 16 14 15 16 94 Brian Fox '23
Carson Rozell '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 17 17 12 14 9 16 17 102 Andrew Montague '25
Mason Chapman '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 16 14 17 17 17 13 15 109 Valerio Palamara '24 [1-7]
Mateo Manzanares '23 [1-4]
Can Dilikoglu '23 [5-7]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 125 Elliot Tindall '24
William Siegener '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 5 1 2 6 1 16 Enzo Menditto '26
Spencer Kriegstein '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 3 2 3 8 3 24 Owen Hennessey '25
Sam Muir '22
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 8 1 5 8 1 4 27 Everett Botwinick '26
Kadi Zheng '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 7 9 7 2 2 34 J.J. Smith '24
Sophia Mulvania '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 4 4 1 10 6 35 Nathan Smith '26
Ryan Wahba '25
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 8 3 9 9 8 41 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26
Rachel Duggan '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 2 16 6 5 9 44 Nick Chisari '23 [1-4]
Spencer Barnes '24 [5-6]
Mark Modzelewski '23 [1-4]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 13 11 13 3 5 54 Patrick Dolan '25
Lauren Miller '23
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 12 13 12 7 10 56 Jack Vanderhorst '27
Ruby Redmond '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 11 10 6 10 13 13 63 Diogo Silva '26
Jarred Hosking '26
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 12 6 17 5 11 12 63 Oscar Macgillivray '24
Kaleigh Morgan '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 9 12 15 15 11 65 David Grace '23
Shelby Svilich '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 15 OCS 4 4 7 65 Christopher Sharpless '23 [1-2]
Javier Garcon '25 [3-6]
Kiki Bruzzi '25 [1-2]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 18 11 7 16 17 14 83 Joseph Bonacci '25
Emma Macturk '23
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 17 18 8 14 14 16 87 Jasper Waldman '25 [1-2]
Asher Green '24 [3-6]
Calif Chen '23 [1-2]
Anna Eaton '24 [3-6]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 13 17 14 11 16 RAF 90 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 15 14 15 17 12 17 90 Maxwell Penders '25 [1-4]
Connor Lothrop '24 [5-6]
Colin Miedler '26 [1-4]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 14 16 10 18 18 15 91 Kayla Maguire '25
Hayden Graff '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1122334
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2211181817
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3344556
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue4433221
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates6655443
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77889910
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners13131414151516
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen14141313121211
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111212131314
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8877665
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers991010111112
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers101099887
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212111110109
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171818112
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18181717161615

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22111818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue443322
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas556677
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates665544
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131314141515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen141413131212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers111112121313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs887766
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers151516161717
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers9910101111
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers10109988
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121211111010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161615151414
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Brian Fox '23 Carson Rozell '23
Captains David Grace '23 Shelby Svilich '23
Cornell University Cornell University Hayden Earl '25 [1-6]
Lauren Ehnot '24 [7]		 Sophia Fogarty '25 [1-6]
Lucija Ruzevic '24 [7]
Big Red J.J. Smith '24 Sophia Mulvania '26
Fordham University Fordham University Kenneth Corsig '23 Kristen Healy '24
Rams Patrick Dolan '25 Lauren Miller '23
George Washington University George Washington University Tyler Wood '26 Abbie Chipps '25
Buff and Blue Oscar Macgillivray '24 Kaleigh Morgan '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Mateo Di Blasi '25 [1-2]
Mariner Fagan '24 [3-7]		 Caro Gaston '25 [1-2]
Hoyas Enzo Menditto '26 Spencer Kriegstein '25
Hampton University Hampton University Valerio Palamara '24 [1-7] Mateo Manzanares '23 [1-4]
Can Dilikoglu '23 [5-7]
Pirates Stefano Palamara '25 Tommaso Ciaglia '25
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Will Murray '24 Tess Weber '23
Statesmen Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26 Rachel Duggan '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Noyl Odom '24 Asianna Acosta '26
Monarchs Diogo Silva '26 Jarred Hosking '26
Princeton University Princeton University Connor Mraz '23 Nelson Chow '23
Tigers Jasper Waldman '25 [1-2]
Asher Green '24 [3-6]		 Calif Chen '23 [1-2]
Anna Eaton '24 [3-6]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Elliot Tindall '24 William Siegener '23
Tigers Kayla Maguire '25 Hayden Graff '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Benton Amthor '23 John Vail '24
Privateers Nick Chisari '23 [1-4]
Spencer Barnes '24 [5-6]		 Mark Modzelewski '23 [1-4]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Leo Boucher '22 Ellie Sekowski '23
Seahawks Owen Hennessey '25 Sam Muir '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Lucas Sawin '25 [1-6]
William Weinbecker '25 [7]		 Ellary Boyd '24 [1-6]
Rey Jacob Alino '25 [7]
Mariners Jack Vanderhorst '27 Ruby Redmond '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Gavin Mcjones '23 Ellie Alex '26
Midshipmen Nathan Smith '26 Ryan Wahba '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jordan Bruce '24 Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
Quakers Christopher Sharpless '23 [1-2]
Javier Garcon '25 [3-6]		 Kiki Bruzzi '25 [1-2]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Andrew Montague '25 Mason Chapman '26
Wahoos Maxwell Penders '25 [1-4]
Connor Lothrop '24 [5-6]		 Colin Miedler '26 [1-4]
Washington College Washington College Stewart Gurnell '23 Kennedy Jones '24
Shoremen Joseph Bonacci '25 Emma Macturk '23
Webb Institute Webb Institute Payne Donaldson '24 Kenna Reed '24
Clippers Everett Botwinick '26 Kadi Zheng '24

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1031.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1031.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn · E 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →