U. S. Naval Academy '23
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.63 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 178 | Fall 2022 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.83 (fleet 3.91) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 61–55 (53%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 6 | 34–29 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 3 | 17–4 | — |
| Spring 2021 | 2 | 3–8 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 7–14 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 12 graded regattas (116 matches) the record is 61–55 against 61.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-27 | College Sailing Team Race National Championship | skipper | 3.18 | 3.46 | 8–9 | 7.1 | +0.28 | 0.2 | 40% |
| 2023-04-08 | Prosser Trophy - MAISA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 3.19 | 2.70 | 4–3 | 4.7 | −0.49 | 0.2 | 85% |
| 2023-03-25 | Admiral Moore Open Team Race | skipper | 3.20 | 2.74 | 6–7 | 7.1 | −0.46 | 0.4 | 85% |
| 2023-03-18 | St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | skipper | 3.21 | 2.58 | 2–6 | 3.0 | −0.63 | 0.4 | 88% |
| 2023-03-11 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.29 | 3.36 | 9–4 | 8.8 | +0.08 | 0.0 | 59% |
| 2023-03-04 | GW Team Race | skipper | 3.10 | 6.10 | 5–0 | 3.9 | ≥+3.00 | 2.0 | 23% |
| 2022-03-26 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.01 | 2.84 | 4–1 | 4.1 | −0.16 | 0.0 | 79% |
| 2022-03-19 | 2022 Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.08 | 3.54 | 3–1 | 2.6 | +0.47 | 0.1 | 57% |
| 2022-03-05 | GW Team Race | skipper | 2.91 | 2.80 | 10–2 | 10.2 | −0.10 | 0.0 | 73% |
| 2021-04-11 | Navy Quad Team Race | skipper | 2.58 | 2.43 | 1–2 | 1.1 | −0.14 | 0.0 | 80% |
| 2021-03-27 | Navy Spring Team Race | skipper | 2.54 | 2.66 | 2–6 | 1.9 | +0.11 | 0.0 | 61% |
| 2020-02-29 | Bob Bavier Team Race | skipper | 2.22 | 2.21 | 7–14 | 7.0 | −0.01 | 0.0 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | Skipper | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| College Sailing Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| College Sailing Open Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.0 | 4.89 |
| College Sailing Dinghy National Championship | Skipper | A | 7 | 16.7 | 1.78 |
| Prosser Trophy - MAISA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 100% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.0 | 4.25 |
| Admiral Moore Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 53% | — |
| 2023 Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.0 | 4.78 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.3 | 4.30 |
| Glen S. Foster Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.4 | 3.28 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championships, Round 1A | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.5 | 4.38 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championships, Final | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.5 | 4.27 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.1 | 4.35 |
| Chesapeake Invitational | Skipper | A | 13 | 4.3 | 3.68 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.7 | 3.80 |
| 2022 Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.7 | 3.84 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 83% | — |
| Admirals Cup | Skipper | A | 17 | 8.3 | 3.86 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 13 | 54% | — |
| 2022 Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 2 | 12.0 | 2.12 |
| Top 9 MAISA Coed Regatta | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.0 | 1.26 |
| College Sailing Singlehanded Nationals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.2 | 3.49 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.2 | 4.20 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.3 | 3.95 |
| Chesapeake Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.0 | 3.39 |
| Carl Van Duyne Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.2 | 3.42 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Spring Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Navy Quad Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| Navy Quad Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.0 | 2.23 |
| Men's Open Singlehanded National Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.9 | 4.30 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 15 | 8.5 | 3.02 |
| LaserPerformance Men's Singlehanded Nationals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.9 | 3.37 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.4 | 3.97 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Men's Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.4 | 4.11 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Gavin Mcjones |  Palos Verdes High School |
'19 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
