U. S. Merchant Marine Academy '25
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.94 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 114 | Fall 2022 |
| Keelboat | 1.35 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 32 | Fall 2024 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 (fleet 3.28) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–42 (14%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 4–9 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 3 | 3–33 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (49 matches) the record is 7–42 against 12.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−5.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-25 | Admiral Moore Open Team Race | skipper | 2.47 | 1.92 | 4–9 | 4.9 | −0.55 | 0.4 | 87% |
| 2022-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.56 | 0.93 | 1–15 | 3.3 | −1.63 | 2.3 | 99% |
| 2022-03-12 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 2.60 | 1.73 | 1–7 | 1.9 | −0.87 | 0.5 | 90% |
| 2022-03-05 | GW Team Race | skipper | 2.35 | 1.51 | 1–11 | 2.0 | −0.84 | 0.6 | 90% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| 2025 Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta (J/105) Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 4.9 | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.9 | 1.94 |
| McMillan Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.8 | 0.71 |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 5.2 | — |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 3 | 3.0 | — |
| 2023 McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 2.7 | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Admiral Moore Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| 2023 CGA J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Reserve | A | 14 | 5.6 | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.3 | 3.51 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championships, Round 1A | Skipper | A | 15 | 10.8 | 3.58 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championships, Final | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.6 | 3.25 |
| Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.7 | 2.90 |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.5 | 0.88 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.9 | 2.16 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta - PHRF A Keelboat | Reserve | A | 2 | 4.5 | — |
| College Sailing Open Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.8 | 3.52 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 14 | 3.2 | 1.29 |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 8% | — |
| America Trophy - MAISA Open Dinghy Championships | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.0 | 3.40 |
| Admirals Cup | Skipper | A | 17 | 11.2 | 3.11 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 6% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.7 | 4.12 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 7.5 | 3.82 |
| Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.6 | 3.11 |
| John Quinn | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.1 | 3.50 |
| Coed ACC's Round 1B | Skipper | B | 12 | 12.2 | 2.83 |
| Carl Van Duyne Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.8 | 2.75 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 7 | 10.4 | 2.34 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Lucas Sawin |  Crown Leadership Academy |
'20 |
| ISSA | Lucas Sawin |  Wando High School |
'20 |
| ISSA | Lucas Sawin |  Waccamaw High School |
'20 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
