KP Open Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 52
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 75
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 78
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 84
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 107
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 119
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 145
8 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 166
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 200
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 8 2 2 1 3 4 20 Jordan Bruce '24
Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 4 8 1 6 8 2 29 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26
Rachel Duggan '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 7 6 4 3 6 3 29 Bridget Green '25
Kate Moran '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 A 11 1 6 4 2 6 30 Peter Lobaugh '24
Bella Rabeni '24
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers A 2 4 3 2 5 16 32 Rayne Duff '25 [1-6]
Kenna Reed '24 [1-5]
Kadi Zheng '24 [6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 6 3 7 7 4 5 32 Benjamin Honig '26
Joshua Zeelander '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 A 9 5 10 5 12 1 42 Beckett Kumler '24
Ashley Abboud '26
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 B 1 7 11 8 11 7 45 Conrad Schofield '27
Kristen Healy '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 10 9 5 16 1 8 49 Winborne Majette '27 [1-6]
Boris Bialer '26 [1-4]
Sophia Pearce '26 [5-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 5 12 8 12 9 9 55 Thomas Walker '24
Frances Depke '25
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 14 10 18 9 7 13 71 Eddie O’Keefe '25
Isabel Kim '24
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 15 11 13 15 10 10 74 Asher Green '24
Virginia Cobbs '25
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers B 13 14 12 10 14 12 75 Everett Botwinick '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Giovanni Perrotti '27 [3-4]
Walter Wolfe '26 [1-2]
Jack Prior '27 [3-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 B 3 16 16 13 15 14 77 Lucas Thress '26 [1-5]
Connor Bennett '26 [6]
Roberto Lugones '24 [1-5]
Alana Shigekane '27 [6]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 12 13 9 14 18 17 83 Ben Hosford '25
Eva Leggett '24
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 18 15 15 11 13 11 83 Rebecca Runyan '25
Nicholas Cunha '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 16 17 14 18 17 15 97 Charlie Lawrence '26
Patrick York '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 17 18 17 17 16 18 103 Oscar Gilroy '27
Elliott Chamberland '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red112233
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 122111818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2334455
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen443322
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners778899
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers887766
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers9910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red10109988
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 1111112121313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2121211111010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners161615151414
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers151516161717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1717181811
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers141413131212
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From E (86°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.6 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · S 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →