Lake Virginia Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 34 23 57
2 Rollins College Rollins College Gold 74 41 115
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 80 45 125
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 55 76 131
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 69 69 138
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 73 70 143
7 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 79 68 147
8 Rollins College Rollins College Blue 91 80 171
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 92 112 204
10 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 103 123 226
11 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 122 115 237
12 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 114 130 244
13 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 107 140 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 2 3 6 1 5 3 1 5 4 2 34 Cole Schweda '27
Kayla Putzke '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 2 7 1 1 5 3 11 9 1 2 6 55 Benjamin Usher '27
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 5 10 2 3 9 7 10 4 3 6 4 69 Josh Becher '26
Brady Briggs '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 5 4 11 3 1 13 5 12 9 3 73 Luke Justin '25
Colin Molnar '25
Rollins College Rollins College Gold 10 9 1 12 2 2 6 9 2 6 10 5 74 Hilton Kamps '25
Sam Frushone '27
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 3 13 7 7 10 11 1 6 11 1 7 79 Brendan Smucker '25
Sofia Scarpa '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 9 8 3 11 5 7 4 5 8 4 7 9 80 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Fiona Froelich '28
Rollins College Rollins College Blue 8 7 4 5 12 13 2 4 10 2 RAF 10 91 Jackson Mcgeough '25
Zi Burns '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 10 8 6 13 6 12 6 7 9 3 1 92 James Ozaki '23
Grace Jenkins '27
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 6 12 8 8 8 13 2 13 8 8 13 103 Kenneth Buck '26
Alana Hantz '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 13 6 10 9 4 8 12 11 10 11 8 107 Zechariah Frantz '25
Shane Hayward '24
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 12 11 9 9 10 11 10 8 3 7 12 12 114 Charlie Eckert '27
Thomas Ingram '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 13 12 11 13 4 12 9 7 12 13 5 11 122 Lily Schwartz '25
Eloise Weiss '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 1 1 2 5 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 23 Hank Seum '27
Roman Borger '26
Rollins College Rollins College Gold 1 3 2 4 2 2 3 4 8 6 3 3 41 Ka Hamner '26
Maggie Burnham '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 3 2 8 1 4 5 9 3 2 1 2 5 45 Ella Bilow '26
Payton Ruth '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 6 8 4 6 1 4 4 9 5 8 6 7 68 Keegan Mackinnon '27
Henry Hill '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 4 6 3 12 11 2 5 1 4 7 9 69 Timothy Hibben '27
Jospeh Iacono '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 7 5 6 3 5 6 12 7 5 6 70 Catherine Brennan '26
Zach O'Connor '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 10 3 10 8 6 6 7 6 5 4 4 76 Maddison Carew '27
Julia Boutet '27
Rollins College Rollins College Blue 8 5 10 9 9 13 7 2 4 3 8 2 80 Julia Scott '27
Henry Campbell '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 12 11 8 7 7 8 10 7 9 10 12 112 Oscar Gilroy '27
Elliott Chamberland '27
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 10 9 9 7 3 8 10 13 11 11 13 11 115 Sophie Leduc '26
Addisyn Petrulli '27
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 12 11 5 11 11 10 12 11 10 10 12 8 123 Damian Uzonwanne '27
Preston Cyr '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 9 7 13 12 10 9 13 12 13 13 9 10 130 Joseph Mrazek '24 [1-12]
Nikolas Pantelis '24 [1-6]
Christopher Garcia '24 [7-12]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 13 13 12 13 13 12 11 8 9 12 11 13 140 Timothy Dolan '26
William Coates '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs999111111131313222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111333555777
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444666888
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555777999
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444666888101010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins555777999111111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners101010121212111333
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes121212111333555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666888101010121212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Blue888101010121212111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Gold777999111111131313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131313222444666
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights111111131313222444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs101010121212111333
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222444666888
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555777999
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666888101010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555777999111111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins666888101010121212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners111111131313222444
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131313222444666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777999111111131313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Blue999111111131313222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Gold888101010121212111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333555777
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights121212111333555

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →