Reese's Cup

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 1 1 4 Max Teo '28
Delanie Massenet '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 1 4 2 7 Buck Rathbun '28
Meg Woolverton '27
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 7 3 3 13 William Delong '25
Marshall Rodes '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners B 5 2 8 15 Matthew Diaz '29
Joseph Zubelik '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 3 10 7 20 Marykate Hanus '28
Julia Cotsonas '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners A 4 6 11 21 Isaac Thompson '27
William Ries '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 6 11 5 22 Jack Whitman '27
Ryan Tedeschi '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 8 5 9 22 Brendan Obrien '27
Maggie Sandbeck '28
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 B 10 8 4 22 Ian Mccaffrey '25
Lucas Camara '28
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges A 9 9 6 24 Myles Hazen '26
Peter Roussanov '28
McGill University McGill University Redbirds A 12 7 10 29 Marguerite Deseau '27
Brendan Chinn '26
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges B 11 13 12 36 Miles Laker '27
Dominic Qin '27
McGill University McGill University Redbirds B 13 12 14 39 Pierre Offredi '26
Axel Grundberg Rydmark '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 15 14 13 42 Aditya Khanna '27
Alexander Rosen '28
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 A 14 16 15 45 Sara Donahue '28
Brian Graham '28
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 16 15 16 47 Angelina Papa '26
Audrey Bilotta '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 A 17 17 17 51 Annette Limoges '25
Marcus Robichaud '28
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 B 18 18 18 54 Likhil Naik Vislavath '24
Sri Raag Baasara '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges222
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners333
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen666
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds444
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats999
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies555
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1777
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2888

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers101010
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges111111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners121212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen151515
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds131313
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats181818
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies141414
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1161616
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2171717

Conditions — 10/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From SSW (206°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.24 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.67 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →