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Chesapeake Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 162
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 180
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 199
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 333
5 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 363
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 473
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 2 2 7 1 7 5 2 3 3 8 40 Nathan Smith '26
Ellie Alex '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 5 1 1 3 1 2 7 4 10 7 41 Enzo Menditto '26
Margot Gordon '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 1 8 11 8 5 1 3 7 5 3 52 Henry Allgeier '27
Fiona Cullen '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 3 10 2 2 10 3 10 2 7 4 53 Nathan Jensen '27
Brooke Bertrand '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 7 6 6 6 6 6 4 1 2 12 56 Landon Cormie '27
Emily Shioutakon '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen C 6 7 3 13 9 4 6 8 12 2 70 Jack Welburn '26
Darby Graham '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks C 15 5 8 4 2 12 1 10 4 10 71 Raam Fox '26
Mary Govan '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 4 9 12 5 3 15 12 11 1 5 77 Peter Barnard '27
Teddy Stoldt '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas C 11 3 5 10 11 10 13 6 11 1 81 Peter Herlihy '29
Scarlett Harris '28
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 12 11 14 14 4 8 8 5 6 9 91 Tyler Wood '26
Caitlyn Schwartz '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs C 9 4 10 9 12 7 9 16 13 6 95 Marina Conde '28
Emil Body-Goldberg '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 10 13 4 15 8 9 11 13 17 11 111 Blake Goodwin '27
Lindsey Kaufmann '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 14 12 9 11 18 16 5 9 16 17 127 Pierce Brindley '28
Madison Bivins '29
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries C 16 18 13 7 14 14 15 15 9 13 134 Hayden Clary '28
Adrian Atwater '28
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 8 15 15 12 16 18 16 12 8 18 138 Jedidiah Bechtel '26
Ella Adelman '26
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 18 17 18 17 13 11 14 14 14 16 152 Joshua Bendura '26
Hannah Louise Roethel '28
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains C 13 14 16 18 15 17 17 17 18 14 159 Aston Atherton '26
Berend Vandermeer '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 17 16 17 16 17 13 18 18 15 15 162 Grace Watlington '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Noah Hubbard '26 [7-8]
Jonathan Matney '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Griffin Donahoe '28 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries2222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas3333333333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen6666666666
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs4444444444
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks5555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains7777777777
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries8888888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas9999999999
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs10101010101010101010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks11111111111111111111

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains13131313131313131313
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries14141414141414141414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas15151515151515151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen18181818181818181818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs16161616161616161616
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks17171717171717171717

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SSE (167°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · E 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →