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Central Series 1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 109
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 146
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 152
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 163
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 229
6 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 267
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 352
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 381
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 A 9 1 1 2 3 1 6 3 1 1 2 1 2 33 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 2 6 7 4 4 2 11 6 2 5 1 3 4 57 Hunter Mumma '12
Margaret Stone '11
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 4 5 2 5 2 10 5 5 4 7 6 4 1 60 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Tatyana Camejo '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 A 8 3 10 3 1 4 3 1 7 4 4 12 9 69 Ian Donahue '12
Shelby Hamilton '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 B 1 4 3 1 5 8 8 9 5 9 9 6 8 76 Christopher Remeika '12
Caroline Quincy '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 7 8 11 7 6 3 2 2 11 13 3 11 5 89 Steven Pelissier '14
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 5 2 9 DNS DNS 7 4 8 8 2 5 2 6 92 Genoa Warner '12
Stephanie Schuyler '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 B 3 9 5 8 9 9 12 10 6 6 7 7 3 94 Carolyn Naughton '14 [1-13]
Isabelle Salvaterra '14 [1-5, 9-13]
Evan Woodford '14 [6-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 10 11 6 6 11 6 1 4 9 15 13 10 11 113 Jacob Denney '13
Nicole Becker '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A 6 7 4 9 7 12 9 11 14 10 8 8 10 115 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 12 13 8 11 12 5 7 7 10 8 11 5 7 116 Cameron Barclift '14
Eliza White '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B 13 10 13 12 8 13 10 12 12 12 14 9 14 152 James Fales '13 [1-8]
Colin Silveno '12 [9-13]
Doug Harrison '11 [1-8]
Catherine Stavola '14 [9-13]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 14 12 12 10 10 11 14 13 DNS 14 12 16 12 167 Alexander Strothe '14
Alexander Beall '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 13 14 3 3 15 15 13 175 Colin Henderson '15 [1-13]
Angela Lukstein '11 [1-8]
Sydney Rey '13 [9-13]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 11 14 14 DNF 13 15 15 15 13 11 10 13 16 177 Olin Nelson '13 [1-8]
Zach Shapiro '15 [9-13]
Lillian Nelson '15 [1-8]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 16 14 15 214 Emily Cordner '13
Nicole Hoesterey '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 11111111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 22222222222222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies6666666666666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers3333333333333
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4444444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5555555555555
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts7777777777777
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs8888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 19999999999999
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 210101010101010101010101010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies14141414141414141414141414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers11111111111111111111111111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies12121212121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131313131313131313131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151515151515151515151515
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs16161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 03/19/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NNE (25°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1022.8 hPa Rain0.01 in Snow0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn · E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston College: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →