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Reed Trophy, Women's New England Ch

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 16 54 70
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 46 26 72
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 46 31 77
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 35 46 81
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 33 69 102
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 45 58 103
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 50 57 107
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 66 45 111
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 67 46 113
10 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 78 49 127
11 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 64 86 150
12 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 81 74 155
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 103 89 192
14 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 111 114 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 1 3 1 1 4 2 16 Anne Haeger '12 [1-8]
Briana Provancha '12 [1-4]
Emily Massa '12 [5-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 5 4 7 2 2 8 3 33 Emily Lambert '12
Alexandra Jumper '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 4 6 2 6 10 1 1 35 Claire Dennis '13
Heather May '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 1 8 4 9 4 7 9 45 Amy Hawkins '12
Caroline Hall '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 10 3 5 4 8 2 10 46 Atlantic Brugman '13
Lucy Wallace '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 2 2 1 7 6 9 12 46 Elizabeth Barry '11 [1-8]
Jessica Claflin '13 [1-4]
Jennifer Adler '11 [5-6]
Amy Walker '11 [7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 7 13 6 5 3 6 4 50 Krysta Rohde '11 [1-8]
Justine Morrison '13 [1-4]
Tanya Cuprak '11 [5-8]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 12 7 8 8 7 5 7 64 Phoebe Sprague '11
Emily Mcneil '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 6 5 13 10 11 3 6 66 Natalie Salk '13 [1-8]
Barbara Murray '14 [1-6]
Sara Carnahan '11 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 8 10 12 3 5 10 11 67 Alexandra Arntsen '12
Kathleen O'Brien '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 9 9 11 10 11 12 11 5 78 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 11 11 9 9 12 9 12 8 81 Katii Gullick '12
Jillian Reddy '11
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 13 12 11 13 13 13 14 103 Erica Lush '14
Catherine Droser '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 14 14 DNS 14 14 14 13 111 Andrea Verdeja '14
Helaine Meyer '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 1 1 2 7 3 1 8 26 Maggie Shea '11 [1-8]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 7 3 4 4 3 6 31 Emily Dellenbaugh '12
Cecilia Strombeck '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 7 8 8 2 2 2 12 45 Catherine Swanson '11
Margaret Rew '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 5 2 5 5 6 13 5 46 Kimberly Kaull '13
Erin Pierce '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 4 4 6 13 7 4 2 46 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green DNF 3 10 4 3 1 12 1 49 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Margaret Wilson '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 8 5 1 9 12 7 11 54 Emily Maxwell '11
Elizabeth Dudley '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 10 6 10 1 10 10 3 57 Jennifer Proctor '11 [1-8]
Kristen Holloway '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Elise Maher '11 [3-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 12 3 7 8 11 5 4 58 Chanel Miller '14 [1-8]
Danielle Fougere '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Catherine Coupland '12 [3-6]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 9 9 12 6 9 6 9 69 Morgan Russom '14
Meghan Wareham '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 11 6 13 11 10 8 8 7 74 Jamie Curran '11
Jacqueline Soegaard '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 11 12 9 12 13 9 10 86 Katherine Doble '13
Sarah Fiske '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 13 11 13 11 5 11 13 89 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 DNF DNS DNS 14 14 14 14 114 Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11
Davida Judelson '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers5577991111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges22141412121010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears442214141212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears779911111313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6644221414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88664422
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson991111131311
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers1010886644
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams121210108866
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111113131133
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1313113355
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers668810101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges111313111199
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears331113131111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears88101012121414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5533111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77553311
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10101212141422
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers99775533
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1111997755
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121214142244
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414224466
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Anne Haeger '12 [1-8] Briana Provancha '12 [1-4]
Emily Massa '12 [5-8]
Eagles Emily Maxwell '11 Elizabeth Dudley '11
Boston University Boston University Erica Lush '14 Catherine Droser '13
Terriers Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Phoebe Sprague '11 Emily Mcneil '14
Polar Bears Katherine Doble '13 Sarah Fiske '13
Brandeis University Brandeis University Andrea Verdeja '14 Helaine Meyer '14
Judges Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11 Davida Judelson '12
Brown University Brown University Elizabeth Barry '11 [1-8] Jessica Claflin '13 [1-4]
Jennifer Adler '11 [5-6]
Amy Walker '11 [7-8]
Bears Emily Dellenbaugh '12 Cecilia Strombeck '11
Connecticut College Connecticut College Atlantic Brugman '13 Lucy Wallace '13
Camels Maggie Shea '11 [1-8] Stephanie Kapinos '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Chandler Salisbury '13 Madilyn Gamble '13
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 Margaret Wilson '13
Harvard University Harvard University Emily Lambert '12 Alexandra Jumper '12
Crimson Morgan Russom '14 Meghan Wareham '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Katii Gullick '12 Jillian Reddy '11
Beavers Jamie Curran '11 Jacqueline Soegaard '12
Tufts University Tufts University Natalie Salk '13 [1-8] Barbara Murray '14 [1-6]
Sara Carnahan '11 [7-8]
Jumbos Catherine Swanson '11 Margaret Rew '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Krysta Rohde '11 [1-8] Justine Morrison '13 [1-4]
Tanya Cuprak '11 [5-8]
Bears Jennifer Proctor '11 [1-8] Kristen Holloway '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Elise Maher '11 [3-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Amy Hawkins '12 Caroline Hall '12
Rams Chanel Miller '14 [1-8] Danielle Fougere '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Catherine Coupland '12 [3-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Alexandra Arntsen '12 Kathleen O'Brien '13
Catamounts Kimberly Kaull '13 Erin Pierce '12
Yale University Yale University Claire Dennis '13 Heather May '13
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14

Conditions — 04/23/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1024.1 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 29.9 kn
From SSE (158°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.4 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1024.1 hPa Rain0.24 in Snow0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn · W 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →