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Buckeye Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 6 7 13
2 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 4 10 14
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 14 14 28
4 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 20 8 28
5 Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 20 20 40
6 Wittenberg University Wittenberg University Tigers 21 20 41
7 Ohio University Ohio University Ohio 25 21 46
8 Miami University Miami University Miami University 26 21 47
9 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 23 25 48
10 Denison University Denison University Big Red 1 20 29 49
11 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 24 27 51
12 Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 37 41 78
13 Auburn Auburn Auburn 45 45 90
14 Denison University Denison University Big Red 2 45 45 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 2 1 1 4 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 1 2 3 6 Adam Gilbertson '13
Andrew Miller '12
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 7 3 4 14 Ryan Forrest '16
Miruna Scutea '13
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 3 OCS 2 20 Bill Weiland '14
Colton Radenbaugh '15
Denison University Denison University Big Red 1 4 7 9 20 William Jaquinde '12 [1-3]
Becca Jost '13 [1-2]
Elisabeth Bertolett '15 [3]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 10 5 5 20 Alex Graves '15
Evan Miller '12
Wittenberg University Wittenberg University Tigers 5 6 10 21 William Weible '13
Liam Mcdonald Mcdonald '12
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 8 4 11 23 Jacob Snyder '13
Hilary Kelly '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 9 8 7 24 Danielle Sookiasian '15
Andrew Fantigrossi '14
Ohio University Ohio University Ohio 6 11 8 25 Evan Graves '13
Erika Haren '13
Miami University Miami University Miami University 11 9 6 26 William Andreae '13
Alex Hess '12
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green OCS 10 BKD 37 Sam Logan '14
Jacqueline Gedeon '13
Auburn Auburn Auburn DNS DNS DNS 45
Denison University Denison University Big Red 2 DNS DNS DNS 45
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 1 3 3 7 Devin Copfer '14
Dana Blowes '14
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 2 4 8 Corinne Sackett '15
Gwendolyn Mulvey '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 3 5 2 10 Andrew Green '14
Emily Nolan '13
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 5 8 1 14 Andrew Logan '15
Katlyn Smelser '13
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 4 1 DNF 20 Elizabeth Dust '15
Sheelagh Mccarthy '13
Wittenberg University Wittenberg University Tigers 6 6 8 20 Austin Miller '15 [1-3]
Dan Puhe '15 [1, 3]
Halle Harklau '15 [2]
Miami University Miami University Miami University 7 7 7 21 Samantha Maras '12 [1-2]
Connor Doyle '13 [3]
Megan Stoll '12 [1-2]
Rachel Keesey '13 [3]
Ohio University Ohio University Ohio 8 4 9 21 Connor Madden '15
James Bohland '13
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 11 9 5 25 Daniel Drummond '12
Christian John '14
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 10 11 6 27 Michael Danta '14
Jacob Romanowsky '14
Denison University Denison University Big Red 1 9 10 10 29 Tara Foster '14
Rachel Fenton '14
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green DNS DNS 11 41 Hilary Rieman '13
Melissa Ripke '14
Auburn Auburn Auburn DNS DNS DNS 45
Denison University Denison University Big Red 2 DNS DNS DNS 45
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
AuburnAuburn Auburn445
Bowling Green State UniversityBowling Green State University Bowling Green556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo232324
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red 1667
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red 2778
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University9910
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State889
Ohio UniversityOhio University Ohio181819
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes202021
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.101018
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions191920
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester212122
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo222223
Wittenberg UniversityWittenberg University Tigers24244

Division B

Team1B2B3B
AuburnAuburn Auburn445
Bowling Green State UniversityBowling Green State University Bowling Green556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo232324
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red 1667
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red 2778
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University9910
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State889
Ohio UniversityOhio University Ohio181819
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes202021
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.101018
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions191920
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester212122
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo222223
Wittenberg UniversityWittenberg University Tigers24244

Conditions — 04/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 2.9 kn
Gusts to 9.3 kn
From NNE (18°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · NW 14 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →