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South 5-Designate

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 41 16 57
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 70 43 113
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 74 47 121
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 60 64 124
5 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 89 75 164
6 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 86 82 168
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 95 77 172
8 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 109 76 185
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 110 83 193
10 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 109 95 204
11 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 40 187 MRP 227 MRP
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 114 137 251
13 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 115 162 277
14 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 1 152 142 294
15 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 176 154 330
16 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 78 260 338
17 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 2 199 143 342
18 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 175 170 345
19 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 260 127 MRP 387 MRP
20 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 132 260 392
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 190 202 392
22 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 191 213 404
23 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 220 214 434
24 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 209 MRP 246 MRP 455 MRP
25 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 260 260 520
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 7 7 2 1 3 1 5 2 6 6 40 Gregory Dair '15
Bianca Barnes '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 10 1 4 6 1 6 3 1 8 1 41 Michael Dahl '15
Katie Riklin '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 6 2 7 3 5 11 8 8 2 8 60 Eric Alamillo '13 [1-10]
Amanda Suarez '13 [1-6]
John Olson '14 [7-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 8 8 11 10 8 3 4 4 5 9 70 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Alexis Tarakjian '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 1 13 2 2 12 DNS 7 3 74 Ryan Sullivan '12
Katherine Sander '13
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 3 3 17 4 8 1 11 3 DSQ 78 Shane Young '14 [1-10]
Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Chase Young '12 [7-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 13 4 8 5 7 9 13 10 13 4 86 Colin Kincaid '14 [1-6]
Brian Hoover '12 [7-10]
Martha Davis '12 [1-6]
Ashley Hobson '13 [7-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 12 11 13 11 10 7 7 9 4 5 89 Kelsey Rupp '12
Erik Samuels '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 9 6 6 4 6 10 14 12 14 14 95 Travis Benton '14
Sarah Adams '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 4 9 10 9 12 4 18 7 10 DNS 109 Brandon Wood '14
Daniel Marks '14
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 14 13 12 2 9 15 6 19 9 10 109 Zachary Haney '11 [1-10]
Mark Hurdle '13 [1-6]
David Macko '14 [7-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 1 12 15 8 15 5 10 14 15 15 110 Peter Bailey '15
Louise Lehman '14
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 10 17 7 13 12 11 6 DNS 7 114 Erik Lund '14
Rosie Bubb '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 17 20 20 15 20 13 2 5 1 2 115 William Antrobus '15 [1-6]
Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 [7-10]
Nevin Garcia '12 [1-6]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 18 17 9 23 14 16 9 3 12 11 132 Tommy Pastalka '13
Jean Rutledge '13
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 1 11 14 5 22 11 14 15 17 DNS 17 152 Spenser Branch '14
Jennifer Brandon '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 23 21 23 12 21 21 17 13 11 13 175 Karisa Chapa '14
Jessica Brown '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 21 22 19 14 18 19 16 16 19 12 176 Riley Silberman '15
Michael Midgley '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 19 19 18 16 16 18 21 20 17 DNS 190 Nora Brackbill '13 [1-10]
Elizabeth Ficara '15 [1-6]
Zachary Chin '15 [7-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 20 18 14 18 17 23 22 15 18 DNS 191 Charles Shane '13 [1-10]
Laura Sartori '13 [1-8]
Martin Martchovsky '12 [9-10]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 2 15 15 16 19 19 22 19 22 DNS DNS 199 Austin Hodges '14
Kyle Mcmanus '15
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 16 16 21 20 23 17 23 21 16 16 209 MRP Catherine Bevens '14 [1-10]
Elizabeth Michel '12 [1-2, 5-10]
Sarah Rosales '15 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 22 23 22 21 22 20 20 18 DNS DNS 220 Saul Rosen '15
Lauren Savett '14
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 260 Alex Verdoia '15
Amr Amr '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 260 John Olson '14
Jonathan Schafgans '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 16 Molly Mckinney '14
Kaitlyn Baab '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 2 8 7 4 7 4 4 2 3 2 43 Mallory Schluter '14
Olivia Gebelein '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 9 3 2 4 2 2 8 5 7 47 Keely Scates '12
Krystal Treiberg '12
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 6 7 6 10 1 14 5 4 7 4 64 Matthew Nguyen '12
Jennifer Lyons '12
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 11 6 9 8 12 8 1 6 4 10 75 Daniel Kivlovitz '12
Margaret Bobbin '13
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 9 14 11 9 5 10 7 3 2 6 76 Hanna Miller '15 [1-10]
Samantha Ortega '13 [1-6]
Mark Hurdle '13 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 1 1 2 5 6 16 11 10 13 12 77 Megan Hayes '13
Elizabeth Felando '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 16 10 6 9 3 8 7 6 9 82 Nicholas Weis '15 [1-6]
Samuel Heller '15 [7-10]
Ashley Hobson '13 [1-6]
Austin Moore '13 [7-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 7 3 5 3 8 7 15 12 12 11 83 Emelia Pelliccio '13 [1-6]
William Edwards '12 [7-10]
Erica Parker '14 [1-6]
Timothy Pilegard '14 [7-10]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 4 4 4 11 13 9 13 DSQ 8 3 95 John Connor Bathen '14
Katie Everett '15
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 10 11 12 18 10 13 10 9 9 5 127 MRP Andrew Cowley '12 [1-2, 5-10]
Ian Spilman '15 [3-4]
Matthew Kunnari '12 [1-2, 5-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 15 15 16 13 18 12 6 15 14 13 137 Shaun Prestridge '13
Kristen Schlotman '13
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 1 12 17 19 14 14 5 14 11 10 DNS 142 Michael Garrigan '13
Chad Hardgrove '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 2 17 10 8 7 11 6 19 13 DNS DNS 143 Steven Cassingham '14
Kendall Valsvik '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 20 19 20 22 19 21 9 5 11 8 154 Alexander Webster '15
Rose Hendrix '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 14 5 13 12 3 11 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 162 Eric Johnson '14 [1-6]
William Antrobus '15 [7-10]
Jared Jawad '13 [1-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 16 12 14 15 15 20 12 14 DNS DNS 170 Ryan Wilkerson '14
Ryan Lee '12
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 13 13 15 19 16 18 16 16 15 DNS 187 MRP Sierra Marangola '15 [1-4]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [5-10]
Maddie Anzivino '15 [1-8]
Alexa Gaddis '15 [9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 22 21 21 17 20 15 18 DNS 16 DNS 202 Gabriel Monti '15 [1-10]
Zachary Chin '15 [1-6]
Elizabeth Ficara '15 [7-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 21 18 18 16 17 19 DNS DNS DNS DNS 213 Caitiln Westemeier '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Christina Stege '14 [3-4, 7-10]
Martin Martchovsky '12 [1-2, 5-6]
David Macko '14 [3-4, 7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 18 20 22 21 21 17 17 DNS DNS DNS 214 Kelly Goodman '14
Janice Wondolleck '15
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 19 22 17 20 22 22 DNS DNS DNS DNS 246 MRP Ethan Pacewiczh '14 [1-10]
Joseph Rosena '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Jennie Drummond '13 [3-4]
Madison Switzer '15 [5-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 260 Mark Ryan '15 [1-8]
Dustin Durant '12 [9-10]
Lauren Hobson '15 [1-8]
Mark Ryan '15 [9-10]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 260 Ian Spilman '15
Emma Shaw '14
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 260 Christopher Keefe '14
Charlie Davidson '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's 139393939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's 240404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 223232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 11111111111
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 22222222222
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang100100100100100100100100100100
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands9999999999
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers41414141414141414141
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 111111111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 212121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal99999999999999999999
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 133333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 234343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's 139393939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devil's 240404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 223232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 11111111111
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 22222222222
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang100100100100100100100100100100
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands9999999999
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers41414141414141414141
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 111111111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 212121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos19191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal99999999999999999999
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 133333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 234343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Spenser Branch '14 Jennifer Brandon '15
Sun Devil's 1 Michael Garrigan '13 Chad Hardgrove '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Austin Hodges '14 Kyle Mcmanus '15
Sun Devil's 2 Steven Cassingham '14 Kendall Valsvik '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Erik Lund '14 Rosie Bubb '13
Mustang Shaun Prestridge '13 Kristen Schlotman '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy William Antrobus '15 [1-6]
Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 [7-10]		 Nevin Garcia '12 [1-6]
Keelhaulers 1 Eric Johnson '14 [1-6]
William Antrobus '15 [7-10]		 Jared Jawad '13 [1-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Riley Silberman '15 Michael Midgley '15
Keelhaulers 2 Alexander Webster '15 Rose Hendrix '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Bianca Barnes '15
Channel Islands Sierra Marangola '15 [1-4]
Jeffrey Tedmori '15 [5-10]		 Maddie Anzivino '15 [1-8]
Alexa Gaddis '15 [9-10]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Shane Young '14 [1-10] Kristen Barca '13 [1-6]
Chase Young '12 [7-10]
49ers Mark Ryan '15 [1-8]
Dustin Durant '12 [9-10]		 Lauren Hobson '15 [1-8]
Mark Ryan '15 [9-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Zachary Haney '11 [1-10] Mark Hurdle '13 [1-6]
David Macko '14 [7-10]
Otters 1 Hanna Miller '15 [1-10] Samantha Ortega '13 [1-6]
Mark Hurdle '13 [7-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Charles Shane '13 [1-10] Laura Sartori '13 [1-8]
Martin Martchovsky '12 [9-10]
Otters 2 Caitiln Westemeier '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Christina Stege '14 [3-4, 7-10]		 Martin Martchovsky '12 [1-2, 5-6]
David Macko '14 [3-4, 7-10]
Chapman University Chapman University Catherine Bevens '14 [1-10] Elizabeth Michel '12 [1-2, 5-10]
Sarah Rosales '15 [3-4]
Panthers Ethan Pacewiczh '14 [1-10] Joseph Rosena '14 [1-2, 7-10]
Jennie Drummond '13 [3-4]
Madison Switzer '15 [5-6]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Wood '14 Daniel Marks '14
Broncos John Connor Bathen '14 Katie Everett '15
Stanford University Stanford University Michael Dahl '15 Katie Riklin '13
Cardinal Molly Mckinney '14 Kaitlyn Baab '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 Sarah Adams '13
Golden Bears 1 Megan Hayes '13 Elizabeth Felando '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Saul Rosen '15 Lauren Savett '14
Golden Bears 2 Kelly Goodman '14 Janice Wondolleck '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Karisa Chapa '14 Jessica Brown '14
Aggies Ryan Wilkerson '14 Ryan Lee '12
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Colin Kincaid '14 [1-6]
Brian Hoover '12 [7-10]		 Martha Davis '12 [1-6]
Ashley Hobson '13 [7-10]
Anteaters Nicholas Weis '15 [1-6]
Samuel Heller '15 [7-10]		 Ashley Hobson '13 [1-6]
Austin Moore '13 [7-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Peter Bailey '15 Louise Lehman '14
Bruins 1 Emelia Pelliccio '13 [1-6]
William Edwards '12 [7-10]		 Erica Parker '14 [1-6]
Timothy Pilegard '14 [7-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nora Brackbill '13 [1-10] Elizabeth Ficara '15 [1-6]
Zachary Chin '15 [7-10]
Bruins 2 Gabriel Monti '15 [1-10] Zachary Chin '15 [1-6]
Elizabeth Ficara '15 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Eric Alamillo '13 [1-10] Amanda Suarez '13 [1-6]
John Olson '14 [7-10]
Tritons 1 Matthew Nguyen '12 Jennifer Lyons '12
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego John Olson '14 Jonathan Schafgans '13
Tritons 2 Christopher Keefe '14 Charlie Davidson '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ryan Sullivan '12 Katherine Sander '13
Gauchos Keely Scates '12 Krystal Treiberg '12
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Tommy Pastalka '13 Jean Rutledge '13
Banana Slug's 1 Ian Spilman '15 Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alex Verdoia '15 Amr Amr '15
Banana Slug's 2 Andrew Cowley '12 [1-2, 5-10]
Ian Spilman '15 [3-4]		 Matthew Kunnari '12 [1-2, 5-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Alexis Tarakjian '15
Trojans 1 Mallory Schluter '14 Olivia Gebelein '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kelsey Rupp '12 Erik Samuels '13
Trojans 2 Daniel Kivlovitz '12 Margaret Bobbin '13

Conditions — 03/24/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From S (181°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · S 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 16% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →