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Wisconsin's 3 Division Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 5 4 26 35
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 10 15 20 45
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 18 26 25 69
4 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 23 16 42 81
5 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 32 22 28 82
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12 36 47 95
7 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 32 40 29 101
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 35 22 50 107
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 27 50 MRP 35 112 MRP
10 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 29 17 73 119
11 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 40 42 49 131
12 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 48 42 49 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 1 2 5 Connor Trepton '15
Jennifer Burke '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 3 3 3 1 10 Laura Wefer '16
Virginia Debbink '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 4 2 4 12 Jessie Olson '15
Lindsey Puccio '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 6 4 3 18 Travis Cottle '15
Erica Haybron '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 4 2 11 6 23 Ben Otten '11
Brittan Keck '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 BKD 5 5 10 27 Harrison Faust '16
Brendan Walsh '11
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 9 8 7 5 29 David Gates '16
Natalie Chrapla '13
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 6 7 10 9 32 Ryan Mabie '16
Hanna Corneliussen '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 7 11 6 8 32 Brian Moy '14
Brenden Jacobs '16
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 10 9 9 7 35 Christopher Avallone '13
Stephen Anthony '15
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 11 10 8 11 40 Harry Posner '16
Matthew Rothfusz '13
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 12 12 12 12 48 Hobie Ponting '13
Nicole Schmitz '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 1 1 4 Michael Lee '14
Thaddeus Brown '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 2 4 3 6 15 Molly Sitter '15 [1-4]
Arielle Henderson '13 [1-2]
Coral Rodriguez '16 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 4 5 4 3 16 Autumn Morden '15
Perry Spott '15
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 3 2 8 4 17 Kerry Mclaughlin '14 [1-4]
Kathryn Biang '13 [1-2]
Charlie Coombs '14 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 5 7 2 8 22 Vytenis Karaitis '14 [1-4]
Galina Vander Meer '16 [1-2]
Robert O'Brien '16 [3-4]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 6 6 5 5 22 Davis Dolson '14 [1-4]
Megan Heinzinger '16 [1-2]
Lucille Christensen '16 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 9 8 7 2 26 Caroline Darin '14 [1-2]
Ben Breuner '15 [3-4]
Riza Ulman '16 [1-2]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12 3 11 10 36 Sarah Ellis '14 [1-4]
Teresa Westin '16 [1-2]
Emily Johnson '16 [3-4]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 8 11 9 12 40 Tyler Albert '14
Taylor Valentor '16
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 10 9 12 11 42 Rachelle Koch '16
Kelsey Whitcomb '16
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 11 12 10 9 42 Hannah Noll '15
Tom Firmin '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 7 10 6 7 50 MRP Benjamin Reiland '15 [1-4]
Thomas Sorenson '16 [1-2]
Caya Mcfalls '16 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 6 7 2 2 1 2 20 Peter Grimmer '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 2 6 3 2 5 25 Emily Fontaine '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 1 3 9 8 3 26 Ian Norman '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 3 3 1 1 7 DNS 28 Jack Greve '15
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 5 8 5 4 3 4 29 Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 5 7 6 5 8 35 Greg Bammel '14
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 1 DNF 4 11 6 7 42 Gonzalo Couto-Lain '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women BKD 9 11 5 DSQ 1 47 Madeline Hoover '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 8 11 9 8 4 9 49 Lauren Vogel '16
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 9 4 10 7 9 10 49 Kendra Lawrence '14
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 10 6 8 10 10 6 50 Jose Fossas '15
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 11 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 73 James Hoover '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons10101111
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11111212
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles7788
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women12121313
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats8899
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats991010
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 113131414
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 214141515
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan181877
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 115151616
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 216161717
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 317171818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons14141515
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames15151616
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles11111212
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women16161717
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats12121313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats13131414
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 117171818
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2181877
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan10101111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 17788
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 28899
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 3991010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons131319192020
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames191920202424
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles112266
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women202024243131
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats22661313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats6613131919
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1242431313333
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2313133333535
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan44441122
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1333335353939
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2353539394444
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 33939444411
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Christopher Avallone '13 Stephen Anthony '15
Golden Eagles Davis Dolson '14 [1-4] Megan Heinzinger '16 [1-2]
Lucille Christensen '16 [3-4]
Jose Fossas '15
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University David Gates '16 Natalie Chrapla '13
Wildcats Kerry Mclaughlin '14 [1-4] Kathryn Biang '13 [1-2]
Charlie Coombs '14 [3-4]
James Hoover '11
Northwestern University Northwestern University Travis Cottle '15 Erica Haybron '15
Wildcats Caroline Darin '14 [1-2]
Ben Breuner '15 [3-4]		 Riza Ulman '16 [1-2]
Emily Fontaine '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Harry Posner '16 Matthew Rothfusz '13
Maroons Rachelle Koch '16 Kelsey Whitcomb '16
Lauren Vogel '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Brian Moy '14 Brenden Jacobs '16
Flames Tyler Albert '14 Taylor Valentor '16
Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Jessie Olson '15 Lindsey Puccio '16
Minnesota Women Sarah Ellis '14 [1-4] Teresa Westin '16 [1-2]
Emily Johnson '16 [3-4]
Madeline Hoover '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Connor Trepton '15 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers 1 Michael Lee '14 Thaddeus Brown '18
Ian Norman '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Harrison Faust '16 Brendan Walsh '11
Badgers 2 Benjamin Reiland '15 [1-4] Thomas Sorenson '16 [1-2]
Caya Mcfalls '16 [3-4]
Greg Bammel '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 Virginia Debbink '16
Badgers 3 Molly Sitter '15 [1-4] Arielle Henderson '13 [1-2]
Coral Rodriguez '16 [3-4]
Peter Grimmer '16
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Ben Otten '11 Brittan Keck '16
Panthers 1 Autumn Morden '15 Perry Spott '15
Gonzalo Couto-Lain '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Hobie Ponting '13 Nicole Schmitz '16
Panthers 2 Hannah Noll '15 Tom Firmin '16
Kendra Lawrence '14
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Ryan Mabie '16 Hanna Corneliussen '16
Western Michigan Vytenis Karaitis '14 [1-4] Galina Vander Meer '16 [1-2]
Robert O'Brien '16 [3-4]
Jack Greve '15

Conditions — 04/27/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From S (182°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1021.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SE 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →