Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 66 40 106
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 60 53 113
3 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 66 52 118
4 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 25 97 122
5 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 80 63 143
6 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 70 81 151
7 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 93 79 172
8 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 117 112 229
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 1 4 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 25 Paul Stevens '14 [1-16]
Lauren Cane '14 [1-10]
Alissa Ridarick '14 [11-16]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers DNS 1 3 5 6 4 2 3 2 2 4 3 5 1 8 2 60 Casey Brown '16
James Codega '14
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 5 4 4 2 5 4 6 3 5 5 4 3 6 3 5 66 Chris Myers '15
Ashley Paulino '15
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 3 2 6 4 7 3 7 5 4 2 5 4 4 4 3 66 Zachary Schippe '14
Sean Hartigan '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 8 6 7 5 2 6 2 4 6 1 6 2 3 1 4 70 Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [1-10]
Jack Swikart '15 [11-16]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [1-16]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 4 2 5 2 3 6 5 5 6 3 8 7 6 7 5 6 80 Mackenzie Mcguckin '16
Andrew Daponte '14
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 6 7 7 1 8 3 8 4 7 8 6 2 7 5 7 7 93 Nathan Fulcher '13
Ian Hunt '13
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 5 6 8 8 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 6 8 117 Adam Rybczynski '14 [1-2, 5-10]
Justin Plott '13 [3-4, 11-16]
Samuel Kraft '15 [1-2, 5-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 2 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 6 1 2 2 5 3 3 40 Liam Boyle '16
Jennifer Kempton '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 1 4 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 4 6 4 2 4 7 52 Stephen Ciccariello '13
Tracy Venella '16
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 4 2 3 1 1 4 5 4 1 5 3 6 4 2 5 53 Erin Hub '16
Kurt Gavel '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 4 5 3 5 5 7 3 4 3 3 6 4 1 3 5 2 63 Matthew Guenther '14 [1-16]
Lara Paul '15 [1-8]
Austin Swain '17 [9-16]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 1 3 8 1 DNS 5 5 3 8 4 3 5 5 7 8 4 79 Daniel Christiani '15
Cassaundra Hobbs '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 8 8 6 6 7 8 7 7 7 8 2 1 3 1 1 1 81 Shuchun Wang '13 [1-10]
Christina Johns '13 [11-16]
Elizabeth Hayt '13 [1-10]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 6 6 5 7 4 3 6 8 5 5 7 8 7 6 6 8 97 Matthew Marciano '14 [1-10]
Shawn Diamond '13 [11-16]
Courtney Brooks '16 [1-10]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 7 7 7 8 6 6 8 6 6 7 8 7 8 8 7 6 112 Andrew Kelley '15 [1-2, 11-14]
Christopher Cormier '13 [3-10, 15-16]
Melissa Conway '16 [1-2, 11-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons1133557711335577
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers2288664422886644
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth3355771133557711
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings4422886644228866
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers7711335577113355
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester5577113355771133
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks6644228866442288
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers8866442288664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2244668822446688
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers1177553311775533
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth4466882244668822
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings3311775533117755
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers8822446688224466
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester6688224466882244
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks5533117755331177
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers7755331177553311

Conditions — 05/04/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn · E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →