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Coed Qualifiers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 33 20 53
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 20 36 56
3 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 35 22 57
4 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 26 32 58
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 37 40 77
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 2 1 20 Hanno Kite-Powell '17
Gregory Woollgar '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 4 3 3 1 1 3 1 4 5 26 Stephen Moran '16
Gretchen Rude '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 5 2 2 4 4 3 3 3 33 Gabe Hill '16
Haley Bolin '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 2 4 4 DSQ 5 1 5 1 4 35 Cody Odou '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Andrew Wilkinson '18 [3-4]
Aike Burger '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Madison Thompson '16 [3-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 3 2 5 3 3 5 4 5 2 37 Kate Flanagan '17 [1-10]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Athina Ebert '17 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 5 20 Miles Johannessen '18 [1-10]
Benjamin Kaas '17 [1-2]
Grace Davidson '17 [3-10]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 1 1 1 5 3 3 3 2 2 22 Brian Hickman '15
Kyle Peterzã©N '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 2 3 4 2 2 5 4 4 4 32 Ryan Fritsen '14
Janika Jordan '17
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 36 Joseph Gustafson '18
Elmeri Hakkinen '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 4 5 5 3 5 2 5 5 1 40 Colin Bartels '17
Ezra Boyer '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds7474757581817373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks7373747475758181
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers7575818173737474
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181737374747575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings7373747475758181

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds7474757581817373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks7373747475758181
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers7575818173737474
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181737374747575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings7373747475758181

Conditions — 05/02/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From N (353°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · N 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →