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Northwestern Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 29 9 38
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 10 49 59
3 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 51 26 77
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 37 56 93
5 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 42 72 114
6 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 86 41 127
7 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 73 62 135
8 Washington University Washington University Bears 42 107 149
9 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 99 55 154
10 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 89 71 160
11 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 66 MRP 96 MRP 162 MRP
12 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 83 MRP 88 MRP 171 MRP
13 Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes 70 109 179
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 10 Mason Wolters '18 [1-8]
Ryan Davidson '15 [1-4]
Michael Gapuz '18 [5-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 5 2 3 3 1 2 11 29 Emily Oltrogge '15 [1-8]
Cailin Oakes '18 [1-4]
Ce Chen '16 [5-6]
Michael Valverde '18 [7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 1 7 5 7 4 5 2 37 Robert Johnston '15 [1-4]
Travis Cottle '15 [5-8]
Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4]
Washington University Washington University Bears 3 4 6 6 5 6 8 4 42 Theodore Cohen '16 [1-8]
Anna Stebbins '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [5-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 4 6 4 9 2 3 4 10 42 Najwa Jumali '16
Mitchell Calhoun '17
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 10 8 9 4 4 10 3 3 51 Isak Peterson '15
Hannah Girard '18
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5 7 3 2 9 8 7 5 66 MRP Patrick Power '15 [1-4]
Kevin Miller '15 [5-8]
Nicholas Acampora '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Ashley Watkins '16 [5-6]
Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes 7 10 5 12 8 9 11 8 70 Wyatt Richard '17
Ted Grammatico '17
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 11 11 8 10 10 7 10 6 73 Libby Reeg '17 [1-8]
Caroline Ritter '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Mason Hunt '18 [3-4]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 8 3 DNS 7 6 5 6 DNF 83 MRP Melinda Lee '16
Paul Detrempe '18
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 9 9 DNF 8 12 12 13 9 86 Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16 [1-4]
Taylor Valentor '16 [5-8]
Adam Oplustil '15 [1-4]
Kimberly Hu '15 [5-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 13 12 10 13 11 11 12 7 89 Greg Jenson '16
Beatrice Rodrigues '18
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 12 DNF 11 11 DSQ DSQ 9 DNF 99 Connor Lynch '16 [1-4]
Geoffrey Owens '18 [5-6]
Kyra Martin '18 [7-8]
Alexander Slajus '17 [1-4]
Haozhe Shan '17 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 Alison Kent '16 [1-8]
John O'Leary '16 [1-4]
Cailin Oakes '18 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 3 3 1 4 3 5 2 5 26 Hannah Noll '15
Cole Meller '17
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 6 5 6 2 8 6 6 2 41 Brenden Jacobs '16 [1-8]
Taylor Valentor '16 [1-2]
Brian Waddell '16 [3-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines DNF 6 10 5 4 2 5 3 49 Zach Nerod '17 [1-4]
Ryan Davidson '15 [5-8]
Michael Gapuz '18 [1-4]
Zach Nerod '17 [5-8]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 4 7 5 3 10 10 10 6 55 Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-4]
Moritz Matzner '15 [5-8]
Haozhe Shan '17 [1-2]
Mikhail Rezazadeh '17 [3-4]
Hannah Muir '16 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 4 4 RAF 7 8 9 8 56 Zachary Herron '18 [1-4]
Charles Tokowitz '17 [5-8]
Kelly Logacho '18 [1-4]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen DNS DNS 8 DNF 2 3 3 4 62 John Stack '17 [1-2]
Thomas Marowske '15 [3-8]
Jacob Pledger '18 [1-2]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes DNF DNS 7 7 9 7 4 9 71 Eric Hansen '17 [1-2]
Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [3-8]
Maximilian Franze-Soeln '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Eric Hansen '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 7 2 DNF DNS 11 9 8 7 72 Jonathan Ellefsen '16
Brian Ritter '17
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 5 8 3 DSQ 6 4 DNS DNS 88 MRP Daniel Downie '15
Natalie Hein-Ferris '16
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish DNF DNS 9 6 5 11 7 10 96 MRP Katherine Schneeberger '17 [1-8]
Zachary Bequette '17 [1-2, 5-8]
John Porter '17 [3-4]
Washington University Washington University Bears DNS DNS 11 DSQ 12 DNF DNS DNS 107 Russell Melin '17 [1-8]
Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes DNS DNS DNS DNS 13 12 DNS DNS 109 Alex Weber '17
Paige Jehnke '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1010121214141616
Great Lakes Maritime AcademyGreat Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes668810101212
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen779911111313
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1111131315151717
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames1212141416161818
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers88101012121414
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes13131515171766
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines14141616181877
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers151517176688
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats99111113131515
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish161618187799
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers171766881010
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears181877991111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1111131315151717
Great Lakes Maritime AcademyGreat Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes779911111313
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen88101012121414
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1212141416161818
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames13131515171766
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers99111113131515
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes14141616181877
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines151517176688
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers161618187799
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1010121214141616
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish171766881010
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers181877991111
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears668810101212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Great Lakes Maritime Academy Great Lakes Maritime Academy Wyatt Richard '17 Ted Grammatico '17
Great Lakes Alex Weber '17 Paige Jehnke '15
Hope College Hope College Libby Reeg '17 [1-8] Caroline Ritter '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Mason Hunt '18 [3-4]
Flying Dutchmen John Stack '17 [1-2]
Thomas Marowske '15 [3-8]		 Jacob Pledger '18 [1-2]
Indiana University Indiana University Najwa Jumali '16 Mitchell Calhoun '17
Hoosiers Jonathan Ellefsen '16 Brian Ritter '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Robert Johnston '15 [1-4]
Travis Cottle '15 [5-8]		 Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4]
Wildcats Zachary Herron '18 [1-4]
Charles Tokowitz '17 [5-8]		 Kelly Logacho '18 [1-4]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Connor Lynch '16 [1-4]
Geoffrey Owens '18 [5-6]
Kyra Martin '18 [7-8]		 Alexander Slajus '17 [1-4]
Haozhe Shan '17 [5-8]
Maroons Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-4]
Moritz Matzner '15 [5-8]		 Haozhe Shan '17 [1-2]
Mikhail Rezazadeh '17 [3-4]
Hannah Muir '16 [5-8]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Melinda Lee '16 Paul Detrempe '18
Illini Daniel Downie '15 Natalie Hein-Ferris '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16 [1-4]
Taylor Valentor '16 [5-8]		 Adam Oplustil '15 [1-4]
Kimberly Hu '15 [5-8]
Flames Brenden Jacobs '16 [1-8] Taylor Valentor '16 [1-2]
Brian Waddell '16 [3-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Greg Jenson '16 Beatrice Rodrigues '18
Hawkeyes Eric Hansen '17 [1-2]
Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [3-8]		 Maximilian Franze-Soeln '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Eric Hansen '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Mason Wolters '18 [1-8] Ryan Davidson '15 [1-4]
Michael Gapuz '18 [5-8]
Wolverines Zach Nerod '17 [1-4]
Ryan Davidson '15 [5-8]		 Michael Gapuz '18 [1-4]
Zach Nerod '17 [5-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Emily Oltrogge '15 [1-8] Cailin Oakes '18 [1-4]
Ce Chen '16 [5-6]
Michael Valverde '18 [7-8]
Gophers Alison Kent '16 [1-8] John O'Leary '16 [1-4]
Cailin Oakes '18 [5-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Patrick Power '15 [1-4]
Kevin Miller '15 [5-8]		 Nicholas Acampora '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Ashley Watkins '16 [5-6]
Fighting Irish Katherine Schneeberger '17 [1-8] Zachary Bequette '17 [1-2, 5-8]
John Porter '17 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Isak Peterson '15 Hannah Girard '18
Panthers Hannah Noll '15 Cole Meller '17
Washington University Washington University Theodore Cohen '16 [1-8] Anna Stebbins '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [5-6]
Bears Russell Melin '17 [1-8] Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]

Conditions — 04/04/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.0 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1023.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn* · S 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →